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SDSU

San Diego State 34 at New Mexico 10

UNM
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2022 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG—UNM 1.0%Jack Browning 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 10 · Q4 8:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:21 · Jack Browning 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense−48.9Pregame prior−5.5Score differential−27.9Garbage-time factor−8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:45: CJ Montes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +2.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:12: Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:48: Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Luke Drzewiecki 39 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +2.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:08: Kenan Christon run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 9SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:04UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:35SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:02UNM 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:08SDSU 4th & 1 at UNM 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−1.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:23UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00UNM 4th & 5 at SDSU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:08SDSU 4th & 1 at UNM 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.9%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:24UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:50SDSU 4th & 7 at UNM 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:31UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:59UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 29, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:21SDSU 4th & 9 at UNM 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:25UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 38, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:05SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 37, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:51UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 24, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:23SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:45UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:12SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:48SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:08SDSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5517% → 17%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
16.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
17.1%
CJ Montes run for 6 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
17.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:3283% → 82%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
17.5%
Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+6
17.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSt 22Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+12
18.2%
Jalen Mayden run for 12 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
18.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Bryce Santana) to the SDSt 39Similar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 5
OWN 39
+4
18.3%
Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
18.6%
Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
17.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 51 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:3118% → 22%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
18.1%
CJ Montes run for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-2
18.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+15
18.2%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MCDONALD, Cooper enforced (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
50
-4
18.9%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the NEWMEXICO 44 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaak Gutierrez) to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 16
OWN 44
+51
18.7%
Nathaniel Jones run for 51 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
19.6%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 6Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
22.1%
CJ Montes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0479% → 78%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
21.0%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+4
21.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+10
22.2%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 10 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
22.2%
Jack Browning punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:2423% → 25%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
22.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 10 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
23.0%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+16
23.5%
CJ Montes pass complete to Elijah Queen for 16 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
24.6%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
25.0%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
24.3%
CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 5
50
0
24.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, downed at the SDSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:4676% → 80%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
24.2%
Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the SDSt 12Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+8
24.5%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 8 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.7%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
24.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 12 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
24.7%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
25.1%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+63
25.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 63 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
24.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:5621% → 22%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
21.3%
Christian Washington run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
22.4%
CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 17 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
23.1%
Sherod White run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
22.2%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
21.6%
CJ Montes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:0179% → 79%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
20.8%
Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
20.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+17
21.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 17 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
19.3%
Jalen Mayden run for 10 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
19.4%
Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
19.5%
Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
20.1%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-1
20.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3923% → 21%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
22.7%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+1
22.9%
CJ Montes pass complete to Geordon Porter for 1 yd to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
21.2%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 8
OWN 33
-7
20.7%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 26 fumbled, recovered by NMex J.C. DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:3081% → 87%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
18.9%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-3
18.9%
Jalen Mayden sacked by Reco Hannah for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+30
13.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 1:4614% → 19%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
14.4%
CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
15.2%
CJ Montes pass complete to Christian Washington for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+21
15.1%
CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 21 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
15.8%
CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
16.6%
CJ Montes pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 5 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
16.6%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
16.5%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
15.9%
CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 5 yds to the SDSt 22Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
18.8%
Luke Drzewiecki 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:5282% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
18.2%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 14 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
17.5%
Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-2
17.5%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
17.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+49
9.1%
Kenan Christon run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3311% → 11%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
11.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
11.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
10.8%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
10.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:2991% → 97%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
8.7%
Kenan Christon run for 17 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
8.4%
Cam Davis run for no gain to the SDSt 30Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+28
8.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 28 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
7.6%
Cam Davis run for 5 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
7.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 4 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
7.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
6.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
6.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+6
6.3%
Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
5.8%
Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
5.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
5.7%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
3.2%
Jack Browning 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:124% → 4%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
4.1%
CJ Montes pass complete to Geordon Porter for 5 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-10
4.1%
(03:07) MONTES, C.J. pass to the left incomplete intended for PORTER, Geordon thrown to the SDS43, clock 03:02. PENALTY UNM Holding on MATAUTIA, Shannco enforced 10 yards from the UNM27 to the UNM17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-7
3.9%
CJ Montes sacked by Cooper McDonald for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+8
3.7%
CJ Montes run for 8 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 14
OWN 18
+8
3.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 35 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 8 yds to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1498% → 98%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
2.3%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+18
2.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Josh Nicholson for 18 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
2.1%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
2.1%
Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
2.1%
Jalen Mayden pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:043% → 2%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.8%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
2.5%
CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
2.5%
CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 2 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
2.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:3398% → 99%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
2.1%
Kenan Christon run for 20 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
1.7%
Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
1.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+13
1.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 13 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
1.5%
Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-1
1.4%
Kenan Christon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
1.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
1.0%
Jack Browning 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:012% → 1%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
1.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Noah Avinger) to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
1.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-11
1.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Intentional Grounding (CJ Montes) to the NMex 0Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 15
OWN 38
0
1.1%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 15
OWN 38
-1
1.0%
CJ Montes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.7%
Sheldon Canley II run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
0.6%
Sheldon Canley II run for 1 yd to the SDSt 35Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
0.6%
Liu Aumavae pass complete to Sheldon Canley II for 2 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
0.6%
Jack Browning punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.9%
Sherod White run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
0.8%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
0.8%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
0.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.4%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-10
0.3%
(00:59) SUTTON, Lucky rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the SDS49 (HUNTER, Dion), out of bounds, clock 00:53. PENALTY SDS Holding on SIMMONS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the SDS39 to the SDS29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+4
0.3%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
0.3%
(00:11) [SG] Kneel down by SDS at SDS31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:01.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:08
Kenan Christon run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)
-8.5
TD · Q2 1:48
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)
-5.7
TD · Q2 11:12
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com