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FRES

Fresno State 41 at Nevada 14

NEV
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:34 · Matt Freem punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior−44.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:29: Jake Haener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK) — NEV win probability +0.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:31: Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 22 yds for a TD NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined, (Dylan Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +1.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:34: Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 3 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:40: Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 73 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:03: Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 9FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:34NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27NEV 4th & 18 at NEV 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50FRES 4th & 7 at NEV 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:41NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:54FRES 4th & 8 at FRES 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:05NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:35NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:22FRES 4th & 18 at FRES 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:57FRES 4th & 11 at NEV 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:21NEV 4th & 3 at FRES 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:25FRES 4th & 16 at FRES 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:09NEV 4th & 7 at FRES 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:18FRES 4th & 7 at NEV 17, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23NEV 4th & 17 at FRES 25, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:21NEV 4th & 3 at FRES 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:29FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:31FRES Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:34FRES Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:40NEV Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:03FRES Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:21FRES Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:44NEV Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:196% → 6%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
5.5%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
5.5%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 7 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
5.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
5.8%
Matt Freem punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0594% → 94%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
5.8%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
5.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
5.8%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
5.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 8 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Mac DalenaSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
5.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 14 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+28
5.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 28 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.8%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 3 Jordan Mims fumbled, recovered by FrsStSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
5.8%
Jalen Moreno-Cropper run for 2 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.5%
Jake Haener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:027% → 7%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
6.7%
Toa Taua run for 21 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
6.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush right for 0 yards to the Nevada46 (Bailey,Levelle) PENALTY Nevada Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from Nevada46 to Nevada36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+2
6.7%
Nate Cox run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+5
6.7%
Jamaal Bell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 18
OWN 38
0
6.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
7.0%
Matt Freem punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:3793% → 93%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
7.0%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko RemigioSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
7.1%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+45
7.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 45 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko RemigioSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
6.9%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
6.9%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Zane PopeSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
7.3%
Dylan Lynch 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:247% → 8%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
7.4%
Nate Cox run for 6 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-5
7.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada31 (Johnson,Isaiah) PENALTY Nevada Illegal Shift 5 yards from Nevada29 to Nevada24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
7.4%
Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+11
7.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 11 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
7.5%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
7.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-6
7.7%
Nate Cox sacked by David Perales for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 31 Nate Cox fumbled, recovered by FrsSt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:5092% → 94%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
7.7%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-CropperSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
7.7%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
7.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Haener,Jake pass incomplete short left to Jones,Ty PENALTY Nevada Offside (Togiola,Dwight) 5 yards from Nevada27 to Nevada22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+22
6.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 22 yds for a TD NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:446% → 7%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
6.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush left for 9 yards gain to the Nevada19 (Williams,Evan; Langley,Malachi) PENALTY Nevada Holding (Starck,Grant) 5 yards from Nevada10 to Nevada05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
6.3%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 4Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+11
6.3%
Toa Taua run for 11 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+9
6.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
6.5%
Nate Cox run for 5 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
6.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Spencer CurtisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
6.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
6.5%
Matt Freem punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:4794% → 94%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
6.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+6
6.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 6 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
6.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
6.0%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-2
6.1%
Jake Haener sacked by Dwight Togiola for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
6.0%
Carson King punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:497% → 7%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
6.8%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
6.8%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
6.8%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dyson FrankSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
6.7%
Matt Freem punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3194% → 96%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
6.0%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Malik SherrodSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
5.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 1 yd to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+17
5.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 17 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
5.6%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
5.6%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+10
5.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 10 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
5.6%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 8Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
5.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 5 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 3 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:595% → 5%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.2%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.1%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
5.2%
Nate Cox run for 14 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
5.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
5.5%
Jamaal Bell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
5.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jacob MunroSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
5.2%
Matt Freem punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 4:1396% → 97%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
4.0%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+11
4.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 11 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
3.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 24 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
3.7%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-8
3.7%
Jake Haener sacked by Thomas Witte for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+3
4.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
3.5%
Carson King punt for 41 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the Nevad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
4.3%
Nate Cox run for 5 yds to the Nevad 8 Nate Cox fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Nate CoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:5897% → 97%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
3.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 12 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
3.5%
Jordan Mims run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
3.4%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
3.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
3.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 22 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
3.2%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 19Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
3.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
3.4%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-CropperSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
2.9%
Dylan Lynch 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:363% → 3%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.4%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
3.4%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
3.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
3.6%
PENALTY Nevada Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Nevada37 to Nevada32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+41
3.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 41 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
4.1%
Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 19
OPP 36
+10
3.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 10 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+6
3.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 6 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+1
3.1%
Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5698% → 98%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
2.2%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-CropperSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
2.2%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+26
2.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 26 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
2.1%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
2.1%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-9
2.1%
Jake Haener sacked by Micah Lilo for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
2.0%
Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bentlee Sanders at the Nevad 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:162% → 3%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+37
2.4%
Toa Taua run for 37 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
2.6%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
2.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
2.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
2.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
1.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
1.7%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
1.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 27 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
1.6%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-CropperSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
1.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the Nevad 17Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
1.6%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
1.2%
Dylan Lynch 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:381% → 3%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.4%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
2.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 73 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:523% → 3%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
2.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+6
2.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 6 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+17
2.8%
Nate Cox run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
3.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Cameron Zeidler for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+15
2.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:4498% → 100%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
2.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+9
2.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 9 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
1.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 4 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
1.9%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 41Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+8
2.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 8 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
1.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 11 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.3%
Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22INT
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
0.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
0.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Gavriel Lightfoot) to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
0.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 14 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
0.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
0.3%
Jamaal Bell run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 25 Jamaal Bell fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Andrew MadrigalSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 17
OPP 25
0
0.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 17
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Nate Cox pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23TD
4 plays · 97 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+82
0.2%
Jordan Mims run for 82 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
0.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+9
0.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 9 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Jake Haener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:370% → 0%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
0.1%
Nate Cox run for 21 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 1 yd to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+6
0.1%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+17
0.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 17 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
0.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 28 yds for a TD FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Mac Dalena) declined, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.1%
L. Fife takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
0.1%
L. Fife takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
0.1%
L. Fife takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:34
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 3 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)
-1.8
TD · Q1 2:31
Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 22 yds for a TD NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined, (Dylan Lynch KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q4 10:03
Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com