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BOIS

Boise State 20 at Wyoming 17

WYO
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:35 · James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Wyatt Wieland at the Wyom 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior−12.8Home team on offense−5.6Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7Score differential−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Jonah Dalmas 47 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +4.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 4:57: Taylen Green run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +13.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:42: Titus Swen run for 83 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +23.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:20: Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +29.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. INT · Q4 0:39: Jayden Clemons pass intercepted, touchback. — WYO win probability +31.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 7BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:13BOIS 4th & 6 at WYO 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:26BOIS 4th & 8 at WYO 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:15WYO 4th & 7 at BOIS 36, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:46BOIS 4th & 2 at WYO 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−2.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:12WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:39BOIS 4th & 5 at WYO 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:23WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:35BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−5.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:32WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−4.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:32BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.7%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:46WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:16BOIS 4th & 5 at WYO 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−4.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:41WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:57BOIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:42WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:20BOIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4087% → 85%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
13.4%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+14
13.4%
Taylen Green run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
13.4%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+5
13.4%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
13.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
14.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5315% → 15%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
14.6%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
14.7%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
14.6%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
14.9%
Clayton Stewart punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2285% → 85%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+25
15.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 25 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
14.8%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+27
15.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 27 yds Davis Koetter fumbled, recovered by Wyom Deron HarrellSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+27
15.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 27 yds Davis Koetter fumbled, recovered by Wyom Deron HarrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 3:1716% → 20%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
15.8%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 5 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+18
15.8%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 18 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
16.0%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
16.1%
Jayden Clemons run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+42
16.1%
Titus Swen run for 42 yds to the BoiSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.0%
Wyatt Wieland run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:0981% → 78%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
19.3%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-5
19.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Caleb Biggers) to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
19.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+25
19.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 25 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
18.9%
George Holani run for 21 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
18.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
18.6%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
18.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
21.8%
Jonah Dalmas 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:1122% → 27%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
22.3%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
22.2%
Jayden Clemons run for 5 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+9
22.1%
Jayden Clemons run for 9 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
22.7%
Jayden Clemons pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 10 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
26.3%
Jayden Clemons run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
26.4%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
26.4%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
27.9%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
27.4%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
27.0%
John Hoyland 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2973% → 69%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
27.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
27.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
26.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
26.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+2
28.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 2 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
31.2%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3432% → 32%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
31.6%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
31.7%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
31.1%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
32.0%
Clayton Stewart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9FG
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:3366% → 61%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
34.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 23 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
33.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
32.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
32.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 11 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
32.5%
Taylen Green run for no gain to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
32.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+8
32.6%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
31.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 11 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
31.4%
George Holani run for 15 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
38.2%
HOLANI, George rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the WYO0, TOUCHDOWN BSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:05. PENALTY BSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO1 to the WYO11. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
38.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
38.2%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
39.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (JL Skinner) to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
39.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 4 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
38.6%
Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2941% → 42%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
40.6%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+8
40.4%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-1
43.5%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
42.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:0456% → 65%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
44.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 7 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+10
42.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 10 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
42.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 11 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
40.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 4 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
40.2%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+11
40.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 11 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
39.2%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+47
34.6%
Jonah Dalmas 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 5:0537% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.0%
Jayden Clemons run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
37.2%
Titus Swen run for 15 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
39.1%
Titus Swen run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
39.9%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
40.5%
Jayden Clemons pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
40.5%
Dawaiian McNeely run for no gain to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
40.4%
WYOMING Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+1
39.0%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 14
OPP 32
0
46.1%
Jayden Clemons pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:5856% → 75%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.6%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
43.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 15 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
42.1%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
40.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
39.5%
Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
39.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+7
38.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
38.0%
George Holani run for 18 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.9%
Taylen Green run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3432% → 31%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.8%
Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
34.6%
Jayden Clemons run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
32.8%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
31.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 50 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 5 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4870% → 68%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
29.8%
George Holani run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
28.7%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
29.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 2 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
29.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
32.5%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Wyatt Wieland at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
2 plays · 88 yds · 0:5334% → 58%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
34.4%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+83
57.9%
Titus Swen run for 83 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:4243% → 39%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
57.7%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-5
59.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
61.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Wyatt Wieland at the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2161% → 59%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
60.5%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+6
59.2%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
58.9%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
59.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 6:1240% → 75%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
60.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
58.7%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
58.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
58.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
57.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+6
58.9%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.3%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
56.5%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
55.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 4 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
54.7%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+38
25.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3437% → 33%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.7%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
37.4%
Jayden Clemons run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.9%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
32.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 44 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 11 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:3075% → 80%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
24.6%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
22.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
22.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
22.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
17.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
19.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:2830% → 27%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
29.9%
Jayden Clemons pass complete to Titus Swen for 17 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
30.8%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
29.8%
Jayden Clemons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
26.6%
Jayden Clemons pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5791% → 94%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
9.5%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
9.5%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
6.3%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 George Holani fumbled, recovered by Wyom DeVonne HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
38.3%
Jayden Clemons pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
7.0%
Kneel down by GREEN, Taylen at BSU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
INT · Q4 0:39
Jayden Clemons pass intercepted, touchback.
+31.9
TD · Q4 7:20
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-29.7
TD · Q3 0:42
Titus Swen run for 83 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+23.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com