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NEV

Nevada 28 at San José State 35

SJSU
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:40 · Harry Webster punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+43.3Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:55: Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +15.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:32: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 14 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +14.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:41: Toa Taua run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK) — NEV win probability +27.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:29: Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +35.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:10: Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +28.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:14SJSU 4th & 4 at NEV 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:16NEV 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30SJSU 4th & 4 at NEV 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55SJSU 4th & 2 at NEV 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:30NEV 4th & 14 at NEV 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:29SJSU 4th & 7 at NEV 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:14NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:24SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:26NEV 4th & 18 at NEV 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:39NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:24NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−4.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:16NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:26NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:58NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:55SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:32SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:41NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:29SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−1.0
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:10SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:4695% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
95.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 13 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.9%
NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jaden Dedman) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
94.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
94.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 4
OPP 29
-2
94.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Drue Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:275% → 6%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
94.7%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
94.6%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 7 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
94.5%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
50
-2
94.4%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-3
94.3%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 45Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
94.2%
Harry Webster punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5394% → 94%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
94.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+13
94.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 13 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
94.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-1
93.9%
Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-9
93.6%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:227% → 9%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
93.4%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+10
93.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 10 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
93.1%
Shane Illingworth run for 4 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.8%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
92.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 7 yds to the SJSt 2Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
92.7%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 5:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.4%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:1592% → 91%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
91.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
91.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 2 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+25
91.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 25 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
91.3%
(04:00) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah broken up by ESSISSIMA, Isaiah at the NEV15. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on ESSISSIMA, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the NEV41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
91.4%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 45Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
90.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+10
90.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 10 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+7
90.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 7 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
90.8%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah thrown to the NEV16. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on ESSISSIMA, Isaiah enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards to the NEV18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
90.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by William Green for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 24Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 16
OPP 24
+9
90.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 9 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+5
90.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+10
91.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 10 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:219% → 9%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 18Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
90.7%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-2
90.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Spencer Curtis for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
90.6%
Harry Webster punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0191% → 90%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
91.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
91.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
90.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
90.2%
Travis Benham punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0310% → 17%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.7%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
89.4%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 25Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-15
89.4%
NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
89.0%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
89.0%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 25Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
89.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Chase Williams) to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
87.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 28 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.5%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
86.8%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+23
83.3%
Toa Taua run for 23 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:4284% → 82%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
84.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 20Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
84.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+24
84.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 24 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
84.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by William Green for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+6
82.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+5
82.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
82.0%
Alex Weir punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bentlee Sanders at the Nevad 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3619% → 21%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
81.1%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
80.6%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 5 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+4
79.8%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
79.0%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
77.3%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
77.8%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
78.7%
Harry Webster punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
79.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Sam Olson) to the SJSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5179% → 75%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-9
78.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Marcel Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 24
OWN 22
+8
77.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+13
76.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 13 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
77.3%
Alex Weir punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
74.5%
(01:17) ILLINGWORTH, Shane pass to the left incomplete intended for CURTIS, Spencer thrown to the NEV24. PENALTY NEV Holding on STARCK, Grant enforced 10 yards from the NEV20 to the NEV10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 0:4725% → 25%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+1
74.8%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+7
74.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 7 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+13
75.3%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
73.1%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 15 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
72.7%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 17
OWN 39
-1
74.4%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
75.0%
Harry Webster punt for 32 yds, downed at the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
75.4%
(00:15) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:0228% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
71.8%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
70.0%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 7 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.9%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 46Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
68.9%
Wesley Kommer run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+53
55.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 53 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0359% → 72%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
58.8%
Shamar Garrett run for no gain to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
57.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 13 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
57.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
57.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 2 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (TEAM) to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
58.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 13 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
56.4%
(10:04) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin broken up by DEDMAN, Jaden at the NEV0. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on DEDMAN, Jaden enforced 12 yards to the NEV2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1136% → 35%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
64.4%
Shane Illingworth run for 2 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
63.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
63.8%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
65.0%
Harry Webster punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:0266% → 80%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
65.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
65.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+12
63.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 12 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
66.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
65.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
67.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 5 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+17
66.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 17 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
66.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+7
65.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 7 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
65.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 2 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
79.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 14 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:5127% → 68%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.3%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
70.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 26 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
67.6%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 20 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
65.5%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-10
65.2%
(01:12) KOMMER, Wesley rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the SJS9 (HARMON, Kyle). PENALTY NEV Holding enforced 10 yards from the SJS18 to the SJS28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+7
66.6%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 13
OPP 21
-7
65.6%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Bryun Parham for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+10
70.4%
(15:00) KILLAM, Matthew field goal attempt from 46 yards NO GOOD (short middle) [kick was spotted at SJS36]. PENALTY SJS Holding on TOIA, Soane enforced 10 yards from the SJS28 to the SJS18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-7
61.8%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Alii Matau for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 17
OPP 25
-4
63.6%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 21
OPP 29
0
65.3%
(13:30) ILLINGWORTH, Shane pass to the right incomplete intended for CURTIS, Spencer broken up by SHELTON, Nehemiah at the SJS0. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on SHELTON, Nehemiah enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the SJS15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
59.6%
Shane Illingworth run for 3 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
59.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Harmon) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.2%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1243% → 71%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 11 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
43.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
45.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
50
+12
45.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 12 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
45.8%
(10:38) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah thrown to the NEV14. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on ESSISSIMA, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the NEV23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
47.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
45.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
44.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 6 yds to the Nevad 6Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
44.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Nevad 6Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+5
40.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 5 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
41.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
40.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 4Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
35.4%
(06:40) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah broken up by ESSISSIMA, Isaiah at the NEV0. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on ESSISSIMA, Isaiah enforced 2 yards to the NEV2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0042% → 40%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
57.9%
NEVADA Penalty, False Start (BJ Casteel) to the Nevad 8Similar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 15
OWN 8
0
58.4%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 8Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 15
OWN 8
-3
58.4%
Shane Illingworth sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 11Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+6
59.5%
Shane Illingworth run for 6 yds to the Nevad 17Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
59.6%
Harry Webster punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:0568% → 96%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
68.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 8 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+4
68.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
68.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 8 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+5
67.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
67.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 12 yds to the Nevad 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22INT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:3112% → 7%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.5%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
88.7%
Shane Illingworth run for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
89.2%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-1
91.1%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Shane Illingworth pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.6%
(00:33) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at NEV50 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:29
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
+35.7
TD · Q4 1:10
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
+28.1
TD · Q4 12:41
Toa Taua run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)
-27
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com