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CSU

Colorado State 10 at Boise State 49

BOIS
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:17 · Paddy Turner punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+35.0Home team on offense+9.8Score differential+3.4Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:19: George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:00: Michael Boyle 41 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:14: Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:26: Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:13: Taylen Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:29CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:00CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:47CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00CSU 4th & 6 at BOIS 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:17CSU 4th & 19 at CSU 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:47BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:21CSU 4th & 19 at CSU 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:47CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:53CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 33, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:31CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 40, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:15BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 32, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:46CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 36, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:32CSU 4th & 3 at BOIS 3, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:04BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:19BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:14BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:26BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:47CSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:13BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:41BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:29BOIS Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:315% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Clay Millen pass complete to Dane Olson for 3 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
95.0%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.0%
Clay Millen pass incomplete to Avery MorrowSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
94.7%
Paddy Turner punt for 42 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0395% → 94%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
94.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
94.8%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
94.8%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
94.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:266% → 6%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
94.3%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Bivens,Dante) 5 yards from CSU10 to CSU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 15
OWN 5
0
94.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for no gain to the ColSt 5Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+2
94.3%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 7Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
94.3%
Clay Millen pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
94.0%
Paddy Turner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:5694% → 94%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
94.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 15 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
94.1%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+21
94.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 21 yds to the ColSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
94.1%
George Holani run for 10 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.3%
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:106% → 6%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
94.1%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for no gain to the ColSt 17Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
94.1%
Peter Montini run for no gain to the ColSt 17Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-3
94.1%
Clay Millen sacked by Divine Obichere for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 14Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
93.8%
Paddy Turner punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the ColSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:2894% → 95%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for no gain to the ColSt 47Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+28
94.0%
George Holani run for 28 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
94.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
94.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 7 yds to the ColSt 1Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.0%
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:195% → 7%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.6%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
94.6%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+33
94.6%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 33 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
94.4%
PENALTY BOISE Personal Foul (Washington,Demitri) 15 yards from BOISE43 to BOISE28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
94.2%
Keegan Holles run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-5
94.2%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Arkin,Tanner) 5 yards from BOISE22 to BOISE27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
94.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Keegan Holles for 3 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
94.3%
Clay Millen pass incomplete to Tory HortonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
93.3%
Michael Boyle 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4693% → 95%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.4%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+33
93.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 33 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
93.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 8 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+24
93.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 24 yds to the ColSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
93.4%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the ColSt 3Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
93.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the ColSt 8Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
95.3%
PENALTY BOISE UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Smith,Riley) 15 yards from BOISE35 to BOISE20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:505% → 5%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
94.7%
Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 46Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+4
95.1%
Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 12
50
-7
95.0%
Clay Millen sacked by Divine Obichere for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 43Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 19
OWN 43
0
95.2%
Paddy Turner punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3095% → 95%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
95.3%
George Holani run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
95.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 10 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
95.5%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
95.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
95.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
94.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the ColSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:265% → 5%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.9%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the ColSt 19Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
94.9%
Clay Millen pass incomplete to Tory HortonSimilar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-8
95.1%
Clay Millen sacked by Ezekiel Noa for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 11Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
95.1%
Paddy Turner punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:5596% → 97%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.6%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
95.7%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+21
95.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 21 yds to the BOISEST 34 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (CJ Onyechi) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
95.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 12 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+12
95.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 12 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
95.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ColSt 1Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:395% → 5%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.4%
PENALTY CSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CSU25 to CSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
95.5%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 4 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+76
95.1%
Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 76 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:4196% → 96%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 15 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.7%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+25
95.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 25 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
95.8%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the ColSt 37 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by ColSt Taylen GreenSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+15
96.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 15 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+39
96.0%
Jonah Dalmas 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
95.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4795% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
95.2%
Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
95.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+46
95.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 31 yds to the BOISEST 29 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (CJ Onyechi) to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
95.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
98.9%
Taylen Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ColSt 27Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+10
98.6%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 10 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+4
98.6%
Keegan Holles run for 4 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:0699% → 100%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.0%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+5
99.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
99.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 20 yds to the ColSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.0%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the ColSt 1Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
99.7%
PENALTY CSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CSU26 to CSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Clay Millen pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Clay Millen pass complete to Keegan Holles for no gain to the ColSt 21Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+12
99.7%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Paddy Turner punt for 44 yds , Latrell Caples returns for no gain to the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 6:24100% → 100%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.7%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
99.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 3 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-10
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass complete short middle to Bowens,Billy for 2 yards to the CSU42 (Anusiem,Chigozie) PENALTY BOISE Holding (Beresford,Cade) 10 yards from CSU44 to BOISE46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 13
OWN 46
-5
99.7%
PENALTY BOISE False Start (Farrar,Will) 5 yards from BOISE46 to BOISE41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
Tyler Crowe run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 14
OWN 45
+15
99.8%
Ferguson-Reynolds,James punt 40 yards to the CSU15 fair catch by Horton,Tory at CSU15 PENALTY CSU Roughing The Kicker (Kamara,Mohamed) 15 yards from BOISE45 to CSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.8%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Chigozie Anusiem) to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ColSt 16Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
99.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ColSt 15Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 15 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 8 yds to the ColSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-6
99.9%
Clay Millen sacked by Andrew Simpson for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Bivens,Dante) 5 yards from CSU37 to CSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Paddy Turner punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
99.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Sam Vidlak pass incomplete to Cole WrightSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
99.9%
Keegan Holles run for 14 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Matt Greenwald for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Keegan Holles run for 5 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Peter Montini run for no gain to the ColSt 36Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jackson Stratton pass incomplete to Justice McCoySimilar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jackson Stratton pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Paddy Turner punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Kaden Dudley run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
99.9%
Kaden Dudley run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-8
99.9%
Sam Vidlak sacked by Henry Blackburn for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 7 Sam Vidlak fumbled, recovered by ColSt Henry Blackburn , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q4 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
100.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Jackson Stratton pass incomplete to Jaylen ThomasSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Jackson Stratton pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 4:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Jackson Stratton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 37 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
100.0%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+12
100.0%
Elelyon Noa run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+15
99.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
S. Vidlak takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-2
100.0%
S. Vidlak takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:13
Taylen Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 11:14
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 2:26
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com