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FRES

Fresno State 41 at New Mexico 9

UNM
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:46: Luke Drzewiecki 24 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +4.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Abraham Montano 38 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +5.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:44: Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 75 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK) — FRES win probability +8.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:10: Logan Fife run for 30 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK) — FRES win probability +8.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:59: Luke Drzewiecki 33 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +4.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 10:01FRES 4th & 5 at UNM 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26UNM 4th & 3 at FRES 12, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:26UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:26FRES 4th & 13 at FRES 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:26UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:26FRES 4th & 1 at FRES 35, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:46UNM 4th & 7 at FRES 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00FRES 4th & 4 at UNM 20, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:56UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:36UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:50UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:59UNM 4th & 7 at FRES 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−4.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:08UNM 4th & 25 at UNM 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:19UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 43, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:07FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:44FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:10FRES Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:46FRES Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:42FRES Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1FG
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 10:01
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
22.4%
Abraham Montano 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
22.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
24.4%
Justin Holaday run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
24.4%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-5
24.4%
Sherod White run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+3
24.1%
Justin Holaday run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
24.3%
Luke Drzewiecki 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1976% → 78%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
23.8%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
24.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 18 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
23.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 18 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
23.2%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+6
23.3%
Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
23.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 10 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
23.2%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the NMex 18Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
23.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
23.4%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
23.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
23.2%
FIFE, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for POPE, Zane thrown to the UNM0, clock 07:26. PENALTY UNM Holding on WILSON, Ronald enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UNM8 to the UNM4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
23.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.8%
Logan Fife run for 2 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 15:0022% → 24%
Q1 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
22.0%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Sherod White for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.2%
Justin Holaday run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
23.7%
Justin Holaday run for 10 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
25.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
25.2%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
24.9%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
23.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 5:3477% → 75%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
23.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
23.7%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
24.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
24.7%
Carson King punt for 41 yds , Luke Wysong returns for no gain to the NMex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 4:3725% → 24%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
25.0%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
24.7%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+3
24.1%
Justin Holaday run for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
23.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:3476% → 77%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
24.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
23.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+7
24.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Justin Harris) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
23.2%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
22.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
22.9%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+38
23.4%
Carson King punt for 55 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 38 yds to the NMex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:5126% → 31%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
25.5%
Christian Washington run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
26.1%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+7
26.0%
Austin Erickson run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
26.0%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
26.8%
Justin Holaday sacked by Andres Fox for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+35
25.1%
Justin Holaday run for 35 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.8%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
26.8%
Justin Holaday run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
25.9%
Justin Holaday sacked by Johnny Hudson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
30.7%
Luke Drzewiecki 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 7:2673% → 78%
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
26.9%
FIFE, Logan pass to the left incomplete intended for MORENO-CROPPER, Jalen broken up by LEWIS, Jer'Marius at the FST45, clock 07:26. PENALTY FST Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MIMS, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the FST31 to the FST26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
27.7%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
28.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
26.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to Bula Schmidt for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
26.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
26.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Syaire Riley) to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
26.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 10 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
26.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Ty Jones for 6 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+7
25.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
25.5%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
25.7%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+6
26.4%
Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.7%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
21.9%
Abraham Montano 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0425% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
24.6%
Nathaniel Jones run for 14 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
25.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-3
26.4%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-15
24.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 22
+7
23.6%
Nathaniel Jones run for 7 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
23.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
15.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 75 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0816% → 16%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.9%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
16.3%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
15.9%
Justin Holaday run for 2 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+14
15.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 14 yds to the FrsSt 47 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Syaire Riley) to the FrsSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:2686% → 96%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
13.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
13.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 10 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
13.2%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
13.1%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
13.3%
Logan Fife run for 3 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
13.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 5 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
12.9%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+30
4.2%
Logan Fife run for 30 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:137% → 4%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
6.7%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 15Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-11
4.7%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Justin Holaday for a loss of 11 yards to the NMex 4Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 23
OWN 4
+14
4.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 14 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 9
OWN 18
+5
4.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 57 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5797% → 97%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
3.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
3.3%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
3.1%
Logan Fife pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:545% → 9%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
5.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-1
5.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-1
5.0%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Elijah Queen for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
9.2%
Luke Drzewiecki 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:0595% → 99%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
4.9%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
4.6%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
4.3%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
4.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+9
4.1%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
4.0%
Jordan Mims run for 34 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
3.8%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:381% → 0%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.6%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Elijah Queen for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-15
0.6%
Justin Holaday sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. for a loss of 15 yards to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 25
OWN 25
+7
0.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 52 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 7 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 6:2699% → 100%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
0.6%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
0.5%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
0.5%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
0.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
0.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
0.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
0.5%
Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+7
0.5%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.2%
Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.1%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Duece Jones for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.1%
Justin Holaday pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Justin Holaday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
0.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+6
0.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
0.2%
Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-4
0.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+6
0.1%
Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:10
Logan Fife run for 30 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q3 12:44
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 75 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)
-8.1
FG · Q2 0:00
Abraham Montano 38 yd FG GOOD
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com