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BOIS

Boise State 19 at Air Force 14

AF
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:30 · Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.2Pregame prior+5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:26: Jonah Dalmas 29 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +3.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:40: Jonah Dalmas 51 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +5.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:18: Haaziq Daniels run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +4.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:49: Jonah Dalmas 39 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +4.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:15: Brad Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +19.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 7BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:00BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30AF 4th & 17 at AF 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:30BOIS 4th & 1 at AF 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:38BOIS 4th & 8 at AF 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:02AF 4th & 7 at AF 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:26BOIS 4th & 9 at AF 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:10AF 4th & 18 at AF 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:40BOIS 4th & 24 at AF 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49BOIS 4th & 2 at AF 22, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:45AF 4th & 6 at BOIS 45, down 12
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:09AF 4th & 3 at AF 37, down 12
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:53BOIS 4th & 20 at BOIS 47, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−4.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:29BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:25AF 4th & 13 at BOIS 21, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−7.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:25AF 4th & 13 at BOIS 21, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−7.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:14BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:18AF Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:15AF Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:5444% → 44%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
55.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+25
55.8%
Taylen Green run for 40 yds to the AIRFORCE 30 BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (John Ojukwu) to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 18
OWN 18
+8
55.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 8 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
55.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyler CroweSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
56.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3056% → 56%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
56.0%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 5 yds to the AFA 25Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+2
56.0%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 23 John Lee Eldridge III fumbled, recovered by AFA John Lee Eldridge IIISimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 17
OWN 23
0
55.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Caleb RillosSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
55.8%
Carson Bay punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:1644% → 49%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
55.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 15 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
55.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
55.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
55.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 9 yds to the AFA 23Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+2
55.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
55.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the AFA 14Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
55.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the AFA 13Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
55.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the AFA 12Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
55.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the AFA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
55.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the AFA 6Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
54.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 5 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
51.2%
PENALTY AF Offside (Taylor,Trey) 2 yards from AF 03 to AF 03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1953% → 52%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
52.6%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 25Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
52.6%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+2
51.9%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 27 John Lee Eldridge III fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Kaonohi KanihoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1150% → 50%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
50.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the AFA 26Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+1
50.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 1 yd to the AFA 25Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
50.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
50.5%
Jonah Dalmas 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3649% → 48%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.4%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
49.5%
Omar Fattah run for 1 yd to the AFA 28Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
49.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 28 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
47.7%
Carson Bay punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:3651% → 56%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
49.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+42
49.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 42 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
47.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 12 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
47.8%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the AFA 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
47.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the AFA 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
48.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cade Beresford) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
44.5%
Jonah Dalmas 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:1646% → 43%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.7%
PENALTY AF False Start (McCollough,Ayden) 5 yards from AF 25 to AF 20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
45.5%
Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the AFA 14 Zac Larrier fumbled, recovered by AFA Zac LarrierSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+4
45.5%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the AFA 18Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-1
45.0%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Demitri Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 17Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
43.3%
Luke Freer punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3058% → 64%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
42.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 44 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
41.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ashton JeantySimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-14
42.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-14 Yards) to the AFA 34Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 24
OPP 34
0
41.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for no gain to the AFA 34Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 24
OPP 34
+51
36.4%
Jonah Dalmas 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2240% → 47%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.7%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
40.5%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
40.8%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+37
41.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Zac Larrier for 37 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
42.1%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
42.1%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
46.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:2956% → 68%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
43.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
44.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 8 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
42.8%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+21
42.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 21 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
42.3%
Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the AFA 35Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
41.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
42.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
38.0%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the AFA 24Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+2
38.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the AFA 22Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
32.5%
Jonah Dalmas 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4938% → 37%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.9%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
38.4%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
38.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
36.7%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Demitri Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:1535% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
35.3%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
34.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
36.6%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to John Lee Eldridge IIISimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
36.3%
Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+3
35.6%
Jensen Jones run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
32.7%
Carson Bay punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 5:3669% → 77%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
30.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
30.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
31.3%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Curran,Garrett) 5 yards from BSU27 to BSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+12
31.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 12 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
30.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyler Crowe for 6 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
23.3%
Taylen Green pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 6:09
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+1
27.9%
Luke Freer punt for 48 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
27.8%
Jensen Jones run for 8 yds to the AFA 26Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
28.6%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
28.2%
Jensen Jones run for 3 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
28.4%
Ben Brittain pass incomplete to Caleb RillosSimilar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
27.5%
Jensen Jones run for 4 yds to the AFA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 31 yds · 6:1675% → 83%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
25.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
25.2%
Kaden Dudley run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+13
25.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 13 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
24.2%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
23.3%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Farrar,Will) 5 yards from BSU38 to BSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+8
25.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 8 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
23.6%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
23.1%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
23.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 10 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
22.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass complete deep right to Caples,Latrell for 19 yards to the AF 24 (Castonguay,Eian) PENALTY BSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from AF 43 to AF 48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+15
23.2%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 28
OWN 39
0
23.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Davis KoetterSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 28
OWN 39
+8
16.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 8 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
17.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 5:3822% → 45%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
21.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 18Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+24
21.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 24 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
22.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for 27 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
25.9%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
26.2%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+5
24.5%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
26.2%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
26.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+13
23.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Amari Terry for 13 yds to the BoiSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
26.2%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.4%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4671% → 71%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.2%
Elelyon Noa run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
27.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
28.4%
PENALTY BSU Illegal Snap (Farrar,Will) 5 yards from BSU34 to BSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
30.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
28.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19DOWNS
19 plays · 51 yds · 6:0434% → 22%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
34.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
34.2%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+1
33.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the AFA 34Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 4
OWN 34
-5
29.3%
Freer,Luke punt 45 yards to the BSU21 fair catch by Caples,Latrell at BSU21 PENALTY BSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from AF 34 to AF 39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
32.7%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
35.0%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 48Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
34.7%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
50
0
36.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon EngelSimilar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 10
50
+22
35.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Amari Terry for 22 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
39.3%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+3
39.3%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
36.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
38.1%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+1
35.0%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 3
OPP 11
-10
32.0%
Daniels,Haaziq pass complete short right to Bryant,James for 6 yards to the BSU05 (Robinson,Rodney) PENALTY AF Holding (Karas,Adam) 10 yards from BSU11 to BSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 13
OPP 21
0
21.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to David CormierSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 13
OPP 21
0
21.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to David CormierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 2 yds · 1:2590% → 94%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
10.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+3
7.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+15
7.7%
Taylen Green run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
6.6%
Kneel down by Boise St. at BSU34 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-20
6.1%
Kneel down by Green,Taylen at BSU33 for loss of 1 yards PENALTY AF Offside (Zdroik,Payton) BSU Personal Foul (Curran,Garrett) 20 yards from BSU34 to BSU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 21
OWN 24
-1
5.6%
T. Green takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:15
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+19.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-5.6
FG · Q2 9:40
Jonah Dalmas 51 yd FG GOOD
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com