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SJSU

San José State 10 at Fresno State 17

FRES
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:22 · run for 1 yd to the SJSt 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior−11.2Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:57: Jordan Mims run for 6 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK) — FRES win probability +12.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 32 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +24.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: [NH] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at SJS28 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00. — FRES win probability +11.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 1:09: Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK) — FRES win probability +23.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:41: Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete — SJSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:22FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:10FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32FRES 4th & 12 at FRES 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:22FRES 4th & 2 at SJSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:22SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:34SJSU 4th & 6 at FRES 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:53SJSU 4th & 28 at SJSU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−4.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:57FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:46SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:32SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−4.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:29SJSU 4th & 8 at FRES 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−13.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:23FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 28, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−2.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:21SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:48SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 28, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%−3.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:15FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:52SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:10FRES 4th & 5 at SJSU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 1:57FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:15SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:09FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3335% → 36%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
35.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
35.2%
Jalen Moreno-Cropper run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-3
35.2%
Logan Fife sacked by Soane Toia for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
35.7%
Carson King punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:1464% → 64%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
35.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (TEAM) to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
35.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
35.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+35
36.4%
punt for 50 yds, downed at the FRESNOST 6 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jermaine Braddock) to the FrsSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5836% → 37%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
36.4%
Logan Fife run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 18 Logan Fife fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Logan FifeSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
36.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
36.2%
Logan Fife sacked by Lando Grey for 0 yards to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
36.7%
Carson King punt for 53 yds, downed at the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:2963% → 63%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
37.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 15 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
36.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-7
36.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by David Perales for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+19
37.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
36.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
36.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
37.2%
Travis Benham punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0938% → 38%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
38.3%
Nikko Remigio run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
38.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-7
37.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced (-7 Yards) to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+5
37.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
38.3%
Carson King punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:5062% → 62%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+39
38.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 39 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
37.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
37.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:2040% → 42%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
39.5%
Logan Fife sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+14
39.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 14 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
39.3%
run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
39.6%
run for no gain to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
39.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+22
39.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 22 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
40.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 5 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
40.8%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
42.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+1
41.8%
run for 1 yd to the SJSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0060% → 58%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
39.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+26
40.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 26 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
38.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 13
OWN 46
0
39.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
40.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
41.6%
Travis Benham punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2142% → 43%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
42.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Zane Pope for 16 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
42.3%
run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+17
42.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 17 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.9%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
43.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+19
43.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 19 yds Raymond Pauwels fumbled, recovered by SJSt Kenyon ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:0459% → 62%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
40.7%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
41.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+14
40.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 14 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
39.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
39.4%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Targeting on SCOTT, Raymond enforced (Raymond Scott) to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
38.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 7 yds to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+9
37.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
38.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
38.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
39.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
38.2%
Taren Schive 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:3739% → 56%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
38.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+15
38.5%
FIFE, Logan sacked for a loss of 2 yards at the FST29 (JOHNSON, Rahyme). PENALTY SJS Horse Collar Tackle on JOHNSON, Rahyme enforced 15 yards from the FST31 to the FST46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
41.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
42.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
42.2%
Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
42.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Rico Tolefree) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
43.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 22 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
55.6%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5948% → 44%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-8
52.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by David Perales for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 6Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 18
OWN 6
+6
53.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+5
54.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
55.6%
Travis Benham punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2257% → 58%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
57.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 14 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
58.1%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-9
58.1%
Logan Fife run for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 32 Logan Fife fumbled, recovered by SJSt Viliami FehokoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
33.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 32 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
45.1%
[NH] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at SJS28 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:0761% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
39.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 11 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
38.8%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+28
39.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 28 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
36.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
36.9%
QB Keeper CORDEIRO, Chevan rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the SJS48 (BAILEY, Levelle). PENALTY SJS Holding enforced 10 yards from the SJS47 to the SJS37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
39.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 37
-8
39.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by David Perales for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 28
OWN 29
0
42.4%
Travis Benham punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5639% → 37%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
39.2%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
38.6%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
38.6%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 4
OWN 34
-5
37.7%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
36.6%
Carson King punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1161% → 63%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 9 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
37.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
37.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
36.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
37.2%
Travis Benham punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19INT
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:5239% → 45%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
39.1%
Jordan Mims run for 22 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
42.8%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+13
42.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Zane Pope for 13 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.5%
Logan Fife pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2263% → 59%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
36.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 8 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-10
35.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
36.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
38.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 8
OWN 32
-5
39.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
40.8%
Travis Benham punt for 53 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for no gain to the FrsSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:2340% → 70%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
39.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Zane Pope for 24 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
43.9%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
44.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 8 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
45.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+15
45.0%
Malik Sherrod run for 15 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
46.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+17
46.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 17 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
46.6%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:4040% → 40%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
60.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 13 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
57.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 27 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
52.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 6 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
52.7%
Shamar Garrett run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
52.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-12
52.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Elijah Gates for a loss of 12 yards to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 29
+14
59.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 14 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
59.6%
Taren Schive 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0668% → 66%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
67.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
67.8%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
66.5%
Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
66.4%
Carson King punt for 64 yds, downed at the SJSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0235% → 32%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
64.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-3
65.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 13
OWN 5
0
66.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 13
OWN 5
0
68.1%
Travis Benham punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:4073% → 78%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.3%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
72.6%
Jordan Mims run for 11 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
73.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
77.5%
Carson King punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5334% → 33%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
66.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
68.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
67.3%
Travis Benham punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:3377% → 85%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
76.9%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
76.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
76.6%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
77.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
79.6%
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
86.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for no gain to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
85.4%
Carson King punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2324% → 18%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
75.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 2 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-10
76.5%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by David Perales for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
81.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 29FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3692% → 98%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
92.4%
run for 4 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
94.7%
run for 3 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-2
94.7%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
97.8%
Abraham Montano 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:108% → 10%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+18
92.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Terence Loville for 18 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
90.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:15
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 32 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
-24.7
TD · Q3 1:09
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)
+23.4
TD · Q2 1:57
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com