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UNM

New Mexico 20 at UNLV 31

UNLV
2022 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2022 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:29 · Marshall Nichols punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Home team on offense−1.3Pregame prior+30.9Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:24: Miles Kendrick run for 8 yds for a TD, (George Steinkamp KICK) — UNM win probability +5.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:29: George Steinkamp 33 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +2.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:24: Daniel Gutierrez 50 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +2.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:27: Daniel Gutierrez 47 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +2.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:03: Doug Brumfield 6 Yd Run (Doug Brumfield Pass to Ricky White for Two-Point Conversion) — UNM win probability +8.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNM made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 8:29UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:57UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:29UNM 4th & 7 at UNLV 11, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:15UNLV 4th & 17 at UNM 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:24UNLV 4th & 8 at UNM 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 48, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:12UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 48, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:27UNLV 4th & 5 at UNM 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:03UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:42UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 25, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:42UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 25, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:42UNLV 4th & 2 at UNM 38, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−2.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:50UNM 4th & 6 at UNLV 20, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−6.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:43UNM 4th & 4 at UNLV 18, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−4.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:45UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 20
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:13UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 20, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:43UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 22, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:53UNLV 4th & 12 at UNM 45, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:28UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 12, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:08UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:24UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:5216% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
84.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
84.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 9 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
84.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Montes,C.J. sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UNM36 (Plant Jr.,Adam) PENALTY UNLV Face Mask (Plant Jr.,Adam) 15 yards from UNM40 to UNLV45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
84.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Trae Hall for 9 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+13
84.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 13 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-5
84.0%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Brown II,Greg) 5 yards from UNLV16 to UNLV21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+9
84.0%
CJ Montes run for 9 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
84.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the UNLV 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
84.0%
CJ Montes pass incomplete to Connor WitthoftSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+5
84.0%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (Johnson,Darius) 5 yards from UNLV13 to UNLV08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
84.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
81.8%
Miles Kendrick 8 Yd Run (George Steinkamp Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 2:3982% → 80%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
82.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
82.2%
Doug Brumfield run for 7 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.3%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
82.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
82.1%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (Fautanu,Leif) 5 yards from UNLV42 to UNLV37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-1
82.0%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Dion Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
80.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 30Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
80.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3220% → 20%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
80.3%
Luke Wysong run for 14 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 24
OWN 16
+15
80.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 15 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
80.5%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
79.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
79.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
79.6%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 22 yds Nick Williams fumbled, recovered by NMex Jerrick Reed IISimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
79.6%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 22 yds Nick Williams fumbled, recovered by NMex Jerrick Reed IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:2221% → 27%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
78.8%
Miles Kendrick run for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
78.8%
Sherod White run for 9 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
78.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for 9 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+3
78.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
78.8%
CJ Montes run for 1 yd to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
72.9%
Miles Kendrick run for 8 yds for a TD, (George Steinkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:5674% → 72%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
73.7%
Shotgun Robbins,Aidan rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNLV34 (Wilson,Ronald) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Trigg-Wright,Amani) 10 yards from UNLV25 to UNLV15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
73.6%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+4
73.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+5
73.5%
Doug Brumfield run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+6
71.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 45 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 6 yds to the NMex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:5929% → 42%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+38
71.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 38 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
70.6%
Bobby Wooden run for 5 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+6
70.6%
Nathaniel Jones run for 6 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
59.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
60.1%
Sherod White run for no gain to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+5
60.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Christian Washington for 5 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+33
58.0%
George Steinkamp 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:1462% → 55%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
62.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 3 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
62.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 10 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
63.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 33 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.0%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+12
63.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 12 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
64.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
64.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-13
63.6%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Reco Hannah for a loss of 13 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 17
OPP 23
+41
54.8%
Daniel Gutierrez 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5452% → 55%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
47.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Kendrick,Miles pass incomplete short right to Porter,Geordon PENALTY UNLV Holding (Williams,Nohl) 10 yards from UNM31 to UNM41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
45.1%
Miles Kendrick pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
45.1%
Miles Kendrick pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5755% → 52%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
55.1%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
54.9%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Courtney Reese for no gain to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+2
54.3%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Courtney Reese for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
51.8%
Daniel Gutierrez 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 3:0758% → 63%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
42.0%
Sherod White run for 6 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
41.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+4
41.2%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
40.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
40.2%
CJ Montes run for 7 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+2
41.5%
CJ Montes run for 2 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
36.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 10Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
36.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:4544% → 39%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
43.9%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 10 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
44.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 15 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
44.6%
Courtney Reese run for 12 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
46.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 6 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+13
47.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 13 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
47.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
43.8%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 1 yd to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
42.9%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
39.0%
Daniel Gutierrez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5737% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.3%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
38.3%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
37.4%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Aidan RobbinsSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
37.7%
Marshall Nichols punt for 42 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 1 yd to the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:2172% → 78%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
28.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 8 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+1
28.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+1
29.0%
Jaden Hullaby run for 1 yd to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
21.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 ydsSimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
21.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:3931% → 27%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
30.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+18
30.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kalvin Souders for 18 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
31.9%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kalvin Souders for 15 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
33.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
33.4%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
33.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+6
32.5%
Doug Brumfield run for 6 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
33.8%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
33.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 15 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
34.1%
Courtney Reese run for 9 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+2
35.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
27.3%
Doug Brumfield 6 Yd Run (Doug Brumfield Pass to Ricky White for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:0885% → 95%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
14.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Trae Hall for 12 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
14.5%
Miles Kendrick run for 2 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
13.5%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+15
13.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Kendrick,Miles sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UNM25 (Dixon,Jalen) PENALTY UNLV Face Mask (Dixon,Jalen) 15 yards from UNM30 to UNM45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
12.7%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
12.7%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 10 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
12.4%
Nathaniel Jones run for 18 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
12.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
12.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
5.8%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
5.5%
George Steinkamp 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:218% → 8%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
8.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 9 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+32
8.6%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 17 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (A.J. Odums) to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
9.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kalvin Souders for 14 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
10.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reese,Courtney rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNM26 (Odums,A.J.) PENALTY UNM Personal Foul (Wilson,Ronald) 13 yards from UNM25 to UNM12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
8.0%
Courtney Reese run for 4 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
8.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
8.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:4096% → 97%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+39
3.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 39 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
3.1%
Sherod White run for 5 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
3.0%
Sherod White run for 1 yd to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
3.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
3.1%
George Steinkamp 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:584% → 4%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
4.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
4.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
4.4%
Doug Brumfield run for 5 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
3.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 44 yds , Luke Wysong returns for no gain to the NMex 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3298% → 98%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
2.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 6 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
2.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-8
2.5%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Elijah Shelton for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 20Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
2.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21INT
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:513% → 3%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
3.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 8 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
3.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
3.1%
Doug Brumfield run for 4 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cody Moon) to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
3.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
3.2%
Doug Brumfield pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3999% → 99%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
1.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
1.6%
Miles Kendrick run for no gain to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
1.6%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Luke WysongSimilar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
1.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 4:502% → 1%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
1.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
1.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kalvin Souders for 10 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
1.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
1.6%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 4 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
1.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
1.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Robbins,Aidan rush left for 0 yards to the UNM43 (Moon,Cody) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Nichols,Preston) 10 yards from UNM43 to UNLV47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+1
1.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Courtney Reese for 1 yd to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+3
1.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+4
0.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
0.7%
Marshall Nichols punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2599% → 99%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
0.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Sherod White for 2 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
0.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Luke WysongSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
1.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Sherod WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 8
OWN 12
-21
0.9%
Cameron Oliver 21 Yd Interception Return (Daniel Gutierrez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.8%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
0.8%
Miles Kendrick run for 11 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.6%
Miles Kendrick run for 6 yds to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+99.4
TD · Q3 7:03
Doug Brumfield 6 Yd Run (Doug Brumfield Pass to Ricky White for Two-Point Conversion)
-8.6
TD · Q1 3:24
Miles Kendrick run for 8 yds for a TD, (George Steinkamp KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com