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USU

Utah State 26 at BYU 38

BYU
2022 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2022 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:36 · Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 2 yds to the UthSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+29.9Score differential+15.0Garbage-time factor+14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:04: Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 14 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +5.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:19: Jaren Hall pass complete to Ethan Erickson for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +5.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:03: Connor Coles 33 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +2.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:12: Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +6.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:18: Christopher Brooks run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 4:26USU 4th & 15 at BYU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:55BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:26BYU 4th & 17 at BYU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41USU 4th & 1 at BYU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:34USU 4th & 25 at BYU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:13BYU 4th & 12 at BYU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:32BYU 4th & 21 at USU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17USU 4th & 10 at BYU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:03USU 4th & 3 at BYU 16, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:49USU 4th & 8 at BYU 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:08BYU 4th & 14 at USU 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:22USU 4th & 1 at USU 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:09USU 4th & 5 at USU 30, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:36BYU 4th & 3 at USU 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:20BYU 4th & 8 at USU 18, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:39USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:56BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:35BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:04USU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:19BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:12BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:18BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:09USU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:145% → 7%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.8%
Cooper Legas run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
94.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
94.6%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
94.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 16 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
94.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-1
94.3%
Cooper Legas sacked by Max Tooley for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+12
94.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 12 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
94.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+6
94.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
93.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (8 Yards) to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.8%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.4%
Cooper Legas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
93.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:2893% → 94%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
93.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 34 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
93.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3INT TD
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:216% → 6%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
93.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 19Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
93.6%
Legas, Cooper pass incomplete to Cobbs, Brian, PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the UTAHST24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
93.4%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-34
94.0%
Cooper Legas pass intercepted for a TD Max Tooley return for 34 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 4:036% → 7%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Terrell VaughnSimilar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.9%
Robert Briggs run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
93.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.7%
Robert Briggs run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
93.6%
Robert Briggs run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
93.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
93.5%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
93.3%
Cooper Legas run for 6 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
93.1%
Robert Briggs run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
93.0%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-6
93.1%
Cooper Legas sacked by Alden Tofa for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
93.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2593% → 93%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
93.3%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
93.3%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
93.1%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+4
93.0%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 45 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 4 yds to the UthSt 48 UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Kyrese Rowan) to the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:047% → 8%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
93.0%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
92.8%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+14
92.7%
Legas, Cooper rush for no gain to the UTAHST48, PENALTY BYU unsportsmanlike conduct 14 yards to the BYU38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
92.5%
Robert Briggs run for 8 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
92.1%
Cooper Legas run for 1 yd to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
92.1%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+5
92.2%
BYU Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
91.7%
Robert Briggs run for 8 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+4
91.8%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the BYU 12 Cooper Legas fumbled, forced by Micah Harper, recovered by BYUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5492% → 92%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
92.3%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 7 Lopini Katoa fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 15
OWN 7
0
92.2%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 7Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 15
OWN 7
-2
91.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 5Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 17
OWN 5
+18
91.5%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 18 yds to the BYU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8FG
10 plays · -4 yds · 2:299% → 10%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
90.8%
Cooper Legas run for 6 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
90.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
90.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
91.4%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
90.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
90.6%
Legas, Cooper pass incomplete to McGriff, Justin, PENALTY UTAHST illegal touching (McGriff, Justin) 0 yards to the BYU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
91.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to NyNy DavisSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 10
OPP 18
-15
91.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 25
OPP 33
+50
90.4%
Connor Coles 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5490% → 89%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
89.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 9 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-9
89.9%
Jaren Hall sacked by MJ Tafisi for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-2
89.3%
Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+3
88.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 45 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:5611% → 18%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
88.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
88.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 3
50
+6
88.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
88.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 7 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+23
87.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 23 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
82.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 14 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:1884% → 85%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
84.8%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
84.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 10 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+40
84.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 40 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
85.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
85.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-5
84.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Clark Barrington) to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 15
OPP 22
-6
83.2%
Jaren Hall run for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 21
OPP 28
+45
85.2%
Jake Oldroyd 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:0716% → 18%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
83.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 14Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+4
83.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 4 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+8
83.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 8 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+10
83.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
82.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 24 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
80.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
80.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
80.7%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
82.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
84.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1384% → 90%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
83.7%
Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+14
83.8%
Miles Davis run for 14 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
84.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 15 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
84.7%
Miles Davis run for 8 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+16
84.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 16 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
90.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Ethan Erickson for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:0213% → 16%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
87.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+28
86.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 28 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
85.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
85.4%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-2
86.2%
Cooper Legas run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
83.7%
Connor Coles 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3786% → 93%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
84.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
86.2%
Gunner Romney run for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+27
86.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 27 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
87.1%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Blake Freeland) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+26
86.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 26 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:109% → 9%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
90.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
90.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
89.7%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-1
89.6%
Robert Briggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
90.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
91.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18MISSED FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 3:3592% → 92%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
92.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
92.1%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Hobbs NybergSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+23
91.7%
Chris Jackson run for 7 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gurvan Hall Jr.) to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
92.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Connor Pay) to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+35
92.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 20 yds to the UTAHST 47 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Byron Vaughns) to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
93.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
92.9%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
92.9%
Keanu Hill pass complete to Jaren Hall for 6 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+4
92.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
93.3%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
93.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for no gain to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
92.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Connor Pay) to the UthSt 16Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
92.7%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
92.0%
Jake Oldroyd 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:359% → 9%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.3%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
91.4%
Legas, Cooper pass complete to Davis, NyNy for no gain to the UTAHST20, PENALTY BYU unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeudy-Lally, Gabe) 15 yards to the UTAHST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
90.7%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
91.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
91.3%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the UthSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:5293% → 98%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
93.2%
Miles Davis run for 5 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
94.0%
Miles Davis run for 7 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.4%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
94.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+10
94.2%
Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
98.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:582% → 2%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
97.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Terrell VaughnSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+12
97.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 52 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 12 yds to the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:2398% → 99%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+34
98.5%
Christopher Brooks run for 34 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.6%
Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+4
99.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+2
98.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 2 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:102% → 2%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-14
98.4%
Cooper Legas pass intercepted Ben Bywater return for 14 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
99.0%
Chris Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+5
99.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Ethan EricksonSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
99.1%
Jake Oldroyd 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:051% → 3%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 5 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
98.5%
BYU Penalty, Roughing Passer (Brayden Cosper) to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
98.5%
Cooper Legas run for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+10
98.4%
Cooper Legas run for 10 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
98.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 16 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
96.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 27 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2199% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:12
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 5:04
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 14 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q3 12:19
Jaren Hall pass complete to Ethan Erickson for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com