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WMU

Western Michigan 6 at San José State 34

SJSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for 15 yds to the WMich 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense+1.4Pregame prior+15.7Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:50: Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: Elijah Cooks 13 Yd pass from Chevan Cordeiro (Taren Schive Kick) — SJSU win probability +7.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:36: Charles Ross 39 Yd pass from Chevan Cordeiro (Taren Schive Kick) — SJSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:18: Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 18 — WMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:45: Kairee Robinson 23 Yd Run (Taren Schive Kick) — SJSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:17SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18WMU 4th & 2 at SJSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:09SJSU 4th & 18 at WMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54WMU 4th & 20 at WMU 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:20SJSU 4th & 1 at WMU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.6%−1.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:05WMU 4th & 2 at SJSU 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−0.8
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:15WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:47SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 18, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:00WMU 4th & 23 at WMU 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−3.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:32SJSU 4th & 1 at WMU 16, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−1.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:14WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:18SJSU 4th & 3 at WMU 39, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:28SJSU 4th & 7 at WMU 9, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:39WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00WMU 4th & 19 at SJSU 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:50SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:10SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:36SJSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:45SJSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3671% → 70%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
70.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.8%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
70.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-2
70.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Travis Benham punt for 48 yds, downed at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2DOWNS
17 plays · 78 yds · 7:5930% → 32%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
70.5%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 5 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
70.4%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 19Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+39
70.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass complete to Corey Crooms for 39 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
69.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+14
69.6%
Sean Tyler run for 14 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
69.3%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-1
69.2%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+8
69.1%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 8 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
68.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 18Similar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-5
68.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+11
68.5%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 11 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-10
68.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 16
OPP 19
0
68.9%
(06:14) HRABOWSKI, Mareyohn pass up the middle intercepted by WILLIAMS, Chase at the SJS9 intended for CROOMS, Corey. Williams return for 0 yards to the SJS9, End of Play, clock 06:07. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on PARHAM, Bryun enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards to the SJS14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
68.1%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 17Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+7
68.0%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 7 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+4
68.0%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 2
OPP 6
-2
68.3%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:5469% → 69%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
68.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 1
OWN 17
-8
68.9%
(03:33) ROBINSON, Kairee rush up the middle for a loss of 8 yards to the SJS9 (GARNER, Bricen;MOMENT, Corvin). PENALTY SJS Holding on PARDUE, Anthony enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the SJS17 to the SJS8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-5
68.6%
(03:20) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to COOKS, Elijah caught at the SJS21 and advanced to the SJS21 (GARNER, Bricen). PENALTY SJS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on PARDUE, Anthony enforced 5 yards from the SJS9 to the SJS4 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 13
OWN 5
+82
68.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 82 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
70.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
70.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-8
69.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Zaire Barnes and Braden Fiske for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 21Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
68.9%
Taren Schive 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · -10 yds · 1:1130% → 29%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
70.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
70.1%
(00:36) HRABOWSKI, Mareyohn pass to the right incomplete intended for SAMBUCCI, Anthony thrown to the WMU35. PENALTY WMU Personal Foul on JEFFERSON, La'Darius enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the WMU15 to the WMU7 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 14
OWN 8
0
70.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the WMich 4Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 18
OWN 4
0
70.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the WMich 2Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 20
OWN 2
0
70.5%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the WMich 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 2
0
70.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 20
OWN 2
+15
71.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for 15 yds to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:5471% → 76%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
71.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
71.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
71.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+10
70.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 10 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
71.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Elijah Cooks) to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+19
71.4%
Elijah Cooks pass complete to Chevan Cordeiro for 19 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
76.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6DOWNS
16 plays · 63 yds · 8:4025% → 23%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
75.1%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
74.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+12
75.7%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
75.4%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
75.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
75.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
75.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
75.3%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 3 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
75.6%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
75.5%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
74.8%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
75.6%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
75.1%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
75.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+2
76.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
77.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 2:4579% → 87%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
78.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 4 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
78.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
78.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 5 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+15
78.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
78.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 19 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
79.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 15 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
80.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
80.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 6 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
87.4%
Elijah Cooks 13 Yd pass from Chevan Cordeiro (Taren Schive Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
85.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4513% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+6
86.0%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass complete to Blake Bosma for 6 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.2%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
86.2%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 29 yds, downed at the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:3988% → 96%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
87.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
88.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 8 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
89.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
89.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Fernando Carmona Jr.) to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+20
89.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 20 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
91.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Jaime Navarro) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 15
50
+7
91.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
91.9%
Shamar Garrett run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+39
96.0%
Charles Ross 39 Yd pass from Chevan Cordeiro (Taren Schive Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3193% → 92%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
93.4%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
93.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-10
93.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaime Navarro) to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
93.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
92.1%
Travis Benham punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:478% → 7%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
91.8%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
92.1%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 29 Mareyohn Hrabowski fumbled, recovered by WMich Mareyohn HrabowskiSimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 15
OWN 29
-8
92.5%
Mareyohn Hrabowski sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 21Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 23
OWN 21
0
93.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:2894% → 94%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
94.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 12 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
94.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 24 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
95.0%
(03:57) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass up the middle complete for 38 yards to COOKS, Elijah caught at the WMU18 and advanced to the WMU0, TOUCHDOWN SJS, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:47. PENALTY SJS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HARBERT, Joseph enforced 5 yards from the WMU38 to the WMU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 15
OPP 43
-5
95.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
95.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+8
94.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+15
94.8%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BRADDOCK, Jermaine thrown to the WMU0. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on SELIG, Ryan enforced 15 yards to the WMU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
95.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+8
95.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
94.1%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the WMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:417% → 6%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
93.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass complete to Sean Tyler for 6 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
93.0%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 1
OWN 25
-2
94.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.3%
Kairee Robinson 23 Yd Run (Taren Schive Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:313% → 2%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski sacked by Lando Grey for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
97.0%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5699% → 100%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
99.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 7 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Travis Benham punt for 37 yds, downed at the WMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:251% → 0%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
98.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+7
98.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass complete to Blake Bosma for 7 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.9%
ABDUS-SALAAM, Zahir rush to the left for a loss of 6 yards to the WMU7 (JOHNSON, B.J.;GUIDRY, Elisha), out of bounds. PENALTY WMU Holding on WILSON JR., Henry enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the WMU13 to the WMU6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 16
OWN 7
+3
98.8%
Stone Hollenbach pass complete to Blake Bosma for 3 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
99.2%
Stone Hollenbach pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
99.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 20
OPP 22
0
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+13
99.8%
Kenyon Sims run for 13 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
99.9%
Taren Schive 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Stone Hollenbach pass complete to Joshua Burgett for 7 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Stone Hollenbach pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Trae Allen run for 7 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Trae Allen run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Trae Allen run for no gain to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-9
99.9%
Stone Hollenbach sacked by Noah Lavulo for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+36
100.0%
Palmer Domschke 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Elijah Cooks 13 Yd pass from Chevan Cordeiro (Taren Schive Kick)
+7
TD · Q2 11:50
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q4 14:45
Kairee Robinson 23 Yd Run (Taren Schive Kick)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com