Try the model
WYO

Wyoming 24 at BYU 38

BYU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.5BYU 99.5%Justen Smith 25 yd FG GOOD WYOMINGPenalty, Defensive Offside (TitusSwen) declinedAWAY 24 - HOME 38 · Q4 1:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:24 · Justen Smith 25 yd FG GOOD WYOMING Penalty, Defensive Offside (Titus Swen) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+1.4Home team on offense+31.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.8Garbage-time factor+15.2Score differential+15.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+9.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:04: Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +8.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:51: Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +5.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:13: Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +7.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 19 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +8.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:54: Timeout BYU, clock 14:54 — BYU win probability +8.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:54BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59WYO 4th & 8 at BYU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25WYO 4th & 5 at BYU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:14BYU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:32WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:58WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:37WYO 4th & 17 at WYO 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:21BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 34, up 11
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:33WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:11BYU 4th & 4 at WYO 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:11BYU 4th & 4 at WYO 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:07WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:24BYU 4th & 8 at WYO 8, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:33WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:50BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:03WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:04BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:51BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:13BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54WYO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:31BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:15WYO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0193% → 93%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
93.3%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+2
93.3%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
93.3%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
93.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Wyatt Wieland at the Wyom 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:557% → 8%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
93.1%
Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
93.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 4 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
93.1%
Titus Swen run for 10 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Parker ChristensenSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+19
92.6%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 19 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
92.6%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+5
92.6%
PENALTY BYU Offside (Lutui,Logan) 5 yards from BYU18 to BYU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
92.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Titus SwenSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
92.6%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
92.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
91.9%
John Hoyland 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5992% → 91%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Miles Davis for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
91.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Miles Davis for 1 yd to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
91.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:359% → 10%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.3%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
91.2%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+8
91.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 8 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
91.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 1 yd to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
91.2%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
91.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
89.8%
Clayton Stewart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:3589% → 91%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+47
89.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 47 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
89.8%
Jaren Hall run for 6 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+32
89.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 32 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4710% → 15%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.5%
BYU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
90.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 7 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
89.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
90.0%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
88.8%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+19
89.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 19 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
88.6%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+9
88.6%
Wyatt Wieland run for 9 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
88.6%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.3%
Wyatt Wieland run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:4986% → 83%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
86.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 7 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
86.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
86.4%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Hall,Jaren) 5 yards from BYU44 to BYU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
86.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.7%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 6
50
0
86.5%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 6
50
0
83.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 5:4216% → 19%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
84.4%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
84.5%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+10
84.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 10 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
84.1%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 8 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+9
83.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 9 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
83.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
83.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-11
84.1%
Andrew Peasley sacked by John Nelson for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
80.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 50 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for no gain to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9TD
17 plays · 76 yds · 3:2879% → 89%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
79.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 8 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+6
80.4%
Jaren Hall run for 6 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+23
78.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 23 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.1%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Brayden CosperSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
80.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+13
81.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 13 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
80.4%
Jaren Hall run for 9 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+4
80.4%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
80.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
80.4%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+15
78.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 15 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:0216% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.6%
Peasley,Andrew pass complete short right to Welch,Treyton for 8 yards to the WYO33 (Harper,Micah) PENALTY BYU Holding (Harper,Micah) 10 yards from WYO25 to WYO35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.1%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
83.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
83.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Parker ChristensenSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
84.0%
Clayton Stewart punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:0784% → 91%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
83.9%
Puka Nacua run for 14 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
84.1%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+25
83.8%
Miles Davis run for 25 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for no gain to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+17
85.5%
Miles Davis run for 17 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
85.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 14 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
85.9%
Jaren Hall sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+15
85.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hall,Jaren pass incomplete short left to Hill,Keanu PENALTY WYO Pass Interference (Hawkins,Jakorey) 15 yards from WYO21 to WYO06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
86.0%
Jaren Hall run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:1410% → 10%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.7%
Andrew Peasley run for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-13
89.1%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 13 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 23
OWN 25
+6
90.0%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 17
OWN 31
0
89.7%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+17
89.9%
Clayton Stewart punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 33 , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 17 yds to the BYU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:2492% → 99%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
91.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Miles Davis for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
91.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+26
91.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 26 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
92.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 13 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
92.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 3 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
91.8%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Lopini KatoaSimilar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+8
91.7%
Jaren Hall run for 8 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
91.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
98.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
98.5%
PENALTY BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hill,Keanu) 15 yards from BYU35 to BYU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:195% → 14%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+4
95.2%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+15
95.1%
BYU Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Payton Wilgar) to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
95.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 8 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
86.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 19 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:3394% → 95%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the BYU 27 Miles Davis fumbled, recovered by BYU Miles DavisSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
94.2%
Miles Davis run for 7 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
93.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hall,Jaren pass complete short right to Nacua,Puka for 4 yards to the BYU38, out of bounds at BYU38 PENALTY BYU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Pay,Connor) 5 yards from BYU34 to BYU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
94.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:489% → 7%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
90.8%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+9
91.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 9 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+2
92.3%
Ryan Marquez run for 2 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
93.1%
Clayton Stewart punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 6 yds · 2:2298% → 98%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
97.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 8 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-16
97.6%
No Huddle Davis,Miles rush middle for 14 yards gain to the WYO25 (White,Isaac) PENALTY BYU Personal Foul (Wake,Masen) 16 yards from WYO39 to BYU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+14
97.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Miles Davis for 14 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Brayden CosperSimilar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Brayden CosperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:046% → 4%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
94.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+13
95.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 45 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 13 yds to the BYU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:3698% → 100%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.2%
Miles Davis run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
98.2%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+68
99.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 68 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:161% → 5%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
98.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 28 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
98.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
98.4%
PENALTY WYO False Start (Tulafono,Nofoafia) 5 yards from BYU36 to BYU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Ryan MarquezSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+31
98.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 31 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
98.1%
Shotgun Peasley,Andrew pass incomplete short left to Pelissier,Will PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Mandell,D'Angelo) 8 yards from BYU10 to BYU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+7
98.0%
Wyatt Wieland run for 7 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
98.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Peasley,Andrew pass incomplete short right broken up by Jackson,Fisher PENALTY BYU Personal Foul 5 yards from BYU09 to BYU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 4 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 1:5199% → 100%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+70
98.7%
Miles Davis run for 70 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
99.0%
No Huddle Davis,Miles rush right for 5 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:28 PENALTY BYU Holding (Pay,Connor) 10 yards from WYO05 to WYO15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
99.1%
Miles Davis run for 5 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.0%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
99.0%
Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.5%
Justen Smith 25 yd FG GOOD WYOMING Penalty, Defensive Offside (Titus Swen) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 7 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
99.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
99.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
99.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.6%
Jaren Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:54
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 19 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q2 0:04
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q4 14:54
Timeout BYU, clock 14:54
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com