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AF

Air Force 14 at Wyoming 17

WYO
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2022 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:52 · Carson Bay punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior−33.6Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:16: Timeout AIR FORCE, clock 09:16 — WYO win probability +15.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:45: Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +16.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 9:58: Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Cade Harris for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +31.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:06: Titus Swen run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +35.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:06: John Lee Eldridge III run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down — AF win probability +12.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 15
  1. Q1 7:28WYO 4th & 2 at AF 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:46AF 4th & 7 at WYO 36, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:52AF 4th & 5 at WYO 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:32AF 4th & 5 at WYO 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:32AF 4th & 5 at WYO 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:32WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 31, up 3
    Close callPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:07WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 31, up 3
    Close callPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:07WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 31, up 3
    Close callPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:07AF 4th & 7 at AF 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:46AF 4th & 7 at AF 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:21AF 4th & 8 at AF 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:17AF 4th & 8 at AF 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:17AF 4th & 8 at AF 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:23WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:16AF 4th & 1 at WYO 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−6.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−5.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:45WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:59WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:59WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 4:59AF 4th & 2 at AF 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−0.9
    average punt
  20. Q3 2:52AF 4th & 2 at AF 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 13:53WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  23. Q4 13:53WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  24. Q4 6:06AF 4th & 7 at AF 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−0.5
    average punt
  25. Q4 4:47AF 4th & 7 at AF 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.8
    average punt
  26. Q4 4:47AF 4th & 7 at AF 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:21WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:45AF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:58AF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:06WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 7:3211% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
11.3%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+6
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 6 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
11.3%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the AFA 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
11.3%
Ryan Marquez run for 6 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 5 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
11.3%
Andrew Peasley run for 7 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+7
11.3%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 13 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
11.3%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
11.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 9 yds to the AFA 2Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
15.3%
John Hoyland 20 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 6:4285% → 81%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.3%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 5 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
15.2%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
15.2%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
15.2%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
15.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
15.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 10 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
14.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+15
15.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Amari Terry for 15 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
14.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
14.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 40Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+4
15.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Cade Harris for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
19.1%
Matthew Dapore 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:5420% → 21%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
19.5%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 21 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
20.2%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
20.8%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
20.8%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
20.9%
Andrew Peasley pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
20.9%
Andrew Peasley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2081% → 79%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
19.5%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 10 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
19.1%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
19.0%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-3
19.0%
John Lee Eldridge III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
19.7%
Carson Bay punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
21.4%
Carson Bay punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
21.4%
Carson Bay punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2521% → 23%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
21.4%
Titus Swen run for 12 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
21.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 2 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
21.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
21.3%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
20.9%
Clayton Stewart punt for 66 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
22.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 66 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
22.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2176% → 74%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
23.9%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 4Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
24.1%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 6Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
24.6%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
25.1%
Carson Bay punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
26.1%
Carson Bay punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 1:2526% → 35%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
26.3%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+23
26.3%
Titus Swen run for 23 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
35.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 14 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:0467% → 60%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.4%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
32.8%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 6 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
32.7%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
33.0%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 11 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
31.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
31.7%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-2
31.9%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by DeVonne Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 49Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
33.5%
Carson Bay punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
39.7%
Carson Bay punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
39.7%
Carson Bay punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5440% → 45%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
40.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 2 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+13
39.8%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 13 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.3%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
40.3%
Will Pelissier run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
39.4%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
46.5%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
45.3%
Clayton Stewart punt for 43 yds, downed at the AFA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2355% → 53%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
45.4%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
46.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:1555% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.7%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
44.0%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
44.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
43.7%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
43.2%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
42.7%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
42.0%
Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
42.0%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
42.3%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
56.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+35
57.9%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 35 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
54.5%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
54.5%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Illegal Shift (Amari Terry) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
38.2%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:4644% → 44%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.6%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
43.3%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Cobbs) to the Wyom 22Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
43.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 8 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
42.8%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Nofoafia Tulafono) to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
41.5%
Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
44.1%
Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
44.1%
Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0756% → 50%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
44.5%
Ben Jefferson run for 3 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
44.1%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+3
45.0%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
45.8%
Carson Bay punt for 48 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for no gain to the Wyom 16Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
49.7%
Carson Bay punt for 48 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for no gain to the Wyom 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:5949% → 58%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
49.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 15 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
49.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 7 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+8
52.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 8 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
52.4%
Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+5
49.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+5
53.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+8
52.7%
Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-5
54.1%
WYOMING Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
52.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
57.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
57.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5545% → 78%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
55.5%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 9 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
52.2%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
54.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+9
51.1%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 9 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
50.5%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 48Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+11
53.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 11 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
22.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Cade Harris for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5233% → 77%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
33.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+24
31.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
50
+5
38.1%
Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+10
38.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
41.3%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the AFA 34Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+29
41.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 29 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
76.5%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:1936% → 34%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
64.5%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
60.2%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
58.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
61.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
64.6%
Carson Bay punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
66.2%
Carson Bay punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
66.2%
Carson Bay punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18END OF GAME
14 plays · 30 yds · 3:5073% → 93%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
73.0%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
72.7%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
71.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 8 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
73.7%
Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
86.3%
Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+17
84.1%
Titus Swen run for 17 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
89.1%
Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-1
90.4%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-1
92.8%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
92.5%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:06
Titus Swen run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+35.3
TD · Q4 9:58
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Cade Harris for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-31
TD · Q3 7:45
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com