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UIW

Incarnate Word 55 at Nevada 41

NEV
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Lindsey Scott Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:28: Jarrell Wiley run for 18 yds for a TD, (L. Scott Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion) — UIW win probability +16.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:05: Kelechi Anyalebechi 59 Yd Fumble Return (Carson Mohr Kick) — UIW win probability +18.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:24: Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 44 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK) — UIW win probability +14.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:19: Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 26 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +17.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:13: Devonte Lee run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +24.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UIW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:51NEV 4th & 5 at UIW 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20UIW 4th & 7 at UIW 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:57UIW 4th & 6 at NEV 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09NEV 4th & 8 at UIW 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:05NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:30UIW 4th & 4 at UIW 16, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:20NEV 4th & 12 at NEV 43, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:18NEV 4th & 9 at UIW 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:01NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:01NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UIW 4th & 5 at NEV 5, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−7.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:56NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:25UIW 4th & 11 at UIW 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−3.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:25NEV 4th & 7 at UIW 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:05UIW 4th & 8 at NEV 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−8.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:33NEV 4th & 11 at UIW 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−7.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:47NEV 4th & 22 at NEV 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:14UIW 4th & 14 at UIW 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:37NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UIW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:38NEV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:45NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:30UIW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:07UIW Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:28UIW Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:05UIW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:24UIW Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:55NEV Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:19NEV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:19UIW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:13NEV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−2.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:10UIW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UIWDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:2838% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
62.2%
Marcus Cooper run for 2 yds to the InWrd 31 Marcus Cooper fumbled, recovered by InWrd Thomas WitteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4162% → 63%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
62.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dyson Frank for 7 yds to the InWrd 24Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
62.2%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
62.2%
Jamaal Bell run for 3 yds to the InWrd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+9
62.2%
Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the InWrd 17Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+1
62.2%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the InWrd 16Similar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
62.2%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
62.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass complete deep left to Bell,Jamaal for 16 yards to the UIW05 (Anyalebechi,Kelechi) PENALTY Nevada Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from UIW21 to UIW26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+34
62.6%
Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:0963% → 64%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 8
OPP 33
+3
62.8%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+15
62.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass incomplete short middle to Curtis,Spencer PENALTY UIW Pass Interference (Warfield,Khalil) 15 yards from UIW30 to UIW15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
62.8%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the InWrd 11Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
64.1%
Toa Taua run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:1237% → 35%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
63.3%
Shotgun Scott,Lindsey pass incomplete short right QB hurried by Love,Christopher PENALTY UIW Holding (Francis,Reid) 10 yards from UIW23 to UIW13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+7
63.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 7 yds to the InWrd 20Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-5
63.4%
PENALTY UIW False Start (Porter,Brandon) 5 yards from UIW20 to UIW15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+4
63.4%
Marcus Cooper run for 4 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+7
63.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 7 yds to the InWrd 26Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
65.5%
Keven Nguyen punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:2765% → 66%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
65.2%
Devonte Lee run for 19 yds to the InWrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
65.5%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 12 yds Jamaal Bell fumbled, recovered by InWrd Isaiah PaulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 7FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:5635% → 36%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
64.8%
run for 5 yds to the Nevad 47 fumbled, recovered by InWrd Ce'Cori ToldsSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+4
65.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+18
65.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Brandon Porter for 18 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon PorterSimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
64.8%
PENALTY UIW False Start (Grimes,Taylor) 5 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+9
65.1%
Jarrell Wiley run for 9 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
64.9%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incomplete to Darion ChafinSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
64.5%
Carson Mohr 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:1265% → 73%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 10 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
65.2%
Toa Taua run for 14 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
65.9%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the InWrd 48Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-8
66.6%
Nate Cox sacked by Steven Parker for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+23
65.6%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 23 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
66.7%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
66.6%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
66.4%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+11
66.4%
Nate Cox run for 11 yds to the InWrd 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
67.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass incomplete short right to Bell,Jamaal QB hurried by Parker,Steven PENALTY UIW Personal Foul (McKinney,Zac) 10 yards from UIW20 to UIW10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
67.6%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the InWrd 8Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
67.6%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the InWrd 7Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
72.6%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 7 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1529% → 34%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
71.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 40 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
69.5%
Jarrell Wiley run for 9 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
69.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 5 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
65.9%
Marcus Cooper run for 21 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:2567% → 67%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
67.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 14 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.8%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
67.6%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
67.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+11
66.7%
Matt Freem punt for 38 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 11 yds to the InWrd 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:3531% → 29%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
69.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 3 yds to the InWrd 13Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-5
69.3%
PENALTY UIW False Start (Obigbo,Jimeto) 5 yards from UIW13 to UIW08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+2
69.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 2 yds to the InWrd 10Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+6
69.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 6 yds to the InWrd 16Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 4
OWN 16
-5
70.0%
PENALTY UIW Delay Of Game 5 yards from UIW16 to UIW11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+5
71.2%
Nguyen,Keven punt 46 yards to the Nevada43 Sanders,Bentlee return 35 yards to the UIW22 (Borjas,Jayden) PENALTY Nevada Running Into The Kicker 5 yards from UIW11 to UIW16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
71.2%
Keven Nguyen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bentlee Sanders at the Nevad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1069% → 68%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
69.4%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
69.4%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-4
68.5%
Nate Cox sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
67.7%
Matt Freem punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the InWrd 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 13TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:1329% → 41%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incomplete to CJ HardySimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
70.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+77
71.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 77 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Roger McCuller for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK)Similar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
58.8%
PENALTY UIW False Start (Grimes,Taylor) 5 yards from Nevada03 to Nevada03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:3264% → 64%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
63.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Carlton Brown IIISimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
63.3%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+9
64.0%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 9 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
65.0%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the InWrd 47Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+11
66.0%
Nate Cox run for 11 yds to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
66.0%
Nate Cox sacked by Chris Whittaker for a loss of 7 yards to the InWrd 43Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+3
64.7%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the InWrd 40Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 14
OPP 40
0
63.8%
NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
63.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 15TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:5038% → 58%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
62.2%
Marcus Cooper run for 3 yds to the InWrd 38Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
61.3%
Marcus Cooper run for 11 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
60.4%
Marcus Cooper run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+19
60.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 19 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
58.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 6 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+4
58.3%
Marcus Cooper run for 4 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
41.9%
Jarrell Wiley run for 18 yds for a TD, (L. Scott Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2049% → 48%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
49.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
48.9%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
48.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
47.8%
Matt Freem punt for 37 yds for a 1ST down , Dekalon Taylor returns for no gain to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
47.8%
Matt Freem punt for 37 yds for a 1ST down , Dekalon Taylor returns for no gain to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:0159% → 56%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
41.3%
Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-10
41.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Scott,Lindsey rush left for 6 yards gain to the Nevada37 (Wilmer,Maurice), out of bounds PENALTY UIW Holding (Jones,Nash) 10 yards from Nevada43 to UIW47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+4
43.6%
Jarrell Wiley run for 4 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+21
43.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 21 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
40.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 1 yd to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+4
40.8%
Jarrell Wiley run for 4 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+14
38.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 14 yds to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
37.9%
Marcus Cooper run for 8 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incomplete to Darion ChafinSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
39.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the Nevad 5Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
44.1%
Carson Mohr 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:5046% → 32%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
45.8%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+16
45.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 16 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
47.8%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the InWrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
49.2%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+7
49.2%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
50.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
50.4%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the InWrd 33Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+59
32.3%
Kelechi Anyalebechi 59 Yd Fumble Return (Carson Mohr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:0930% → 29%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.4%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 24Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
30.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 12 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
31.2%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
30.4%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
30.0%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
28.7%
Harry Webster punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 20TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:3274% → 90%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
25.6%
Marcus Cooper run for 5 yds to the InWrd 49Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
25.7%
Marcus Cooper run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
24.9%
Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
24.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incomplete to Taylor GrimesSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
24.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Brandon Porter for 10 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
24.2%
INCARNATEW Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 44Similar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 19
OPP 44
+44
9.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 44 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2916% → 26%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.0%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
16.5%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 23 yds to the InWrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
17.6%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 14 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
18.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Victor Snow for 1 yd to the InWrd 32Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+1
18.1%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the InWrd 31Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+12
17.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jacob Munro for 12 yds to the InWrd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
18.2%
Devonte Lee run for 8 yds to the InWrd 11Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+5
14.1%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the InWrd 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
14.1%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the InWrd 3Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.7%
Nate Cox run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:3081% → 83%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.7%
Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
19.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. sacked by Tyson Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 20Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
19.5%
Jarrell Wiley run for 14 yds to the InWrd 34Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
17.4%
PENALTY UIW False Start (Obigbo,Jimeto) 5 yards from UIW34 to UIW29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
17.4%
PENALTY UIW Delay Of Game 5 yards from UIW29 to UIW24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+20
16.6%
Keven Nguyen punt for 51 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for 20 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:0620% → 40%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
19.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
50
0
21.4%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
50
-10
21.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UIW45 (Anyalebechi,Kelechi) PENALTY Nevada Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from UIW50 to Nevada40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+20
19.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 20 yds to the InWrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
21.9%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the InWrd 37Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
21.8%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
21.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Spencer CurtisSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+8
21.0%
Nate Cox run for 8 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
22.8%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the InWrd 26Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
40.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 26 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 24FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 1:5570% → 77%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
30.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 12 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+41
29.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 41 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
25.7%
Marcus Cooper run for 9 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+7
25.4%
Marcus Cooper run for 7 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
23.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 2 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+4
23.5%
Jarrell Wiley run for 4 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
23.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon PorterSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
23.4%
Carson Mohr 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:3219% → 28%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
19.2%
Nate Cox run for 13 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
20.3%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+36
20.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 36 yds to the InWrd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
23.8%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-5
21.7%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (World,Isaiah) 5 yards from UIW19 to UIW24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+2
20.5%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
19.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Devonte LeeSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
27.7%
Brandon Talton 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 26TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:1475% → 97%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
25.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Scott,Lindsey pass incomplete short left PENALTY UIW Intentional Grounding 5 yards from UIW25 to UIW20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+29
26.6%
Brandon Porter run for 29 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
22.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 2 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
22.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Scott,Lindsey pass complete deep left to Grimes,Taylor for 22 yards to the Nevada27 (Essissima,Isaiah) PENALTY UIW Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Jones,Nash) 5 yards from Nevada49 to UIW46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+9
23.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 9 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+34
22.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 34 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
20.7%
Marcus Cooper run for 1 yd to the Nevad 10Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
3.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Marcus Cooper for 10 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 1:264% → 4%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
4.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jacob MunroSimilar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
4.0%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
4.0%
Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 4 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 25
-13
3.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass complete deep right to Campbell,Dalevon for 31 yards to the UIW44 (Hayes,Seth) PENALTY Nevada Pass Interference (Campbell,Dalevon) 13 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 22
OWN 12
0
3.6%
Matt Freem punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:3398% → 98%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
2.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wiley,Jarrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada49 (Cresto,Louie) PENALTY UIW Personal Foul (McCuller,Roger) 15 yards from UIW49 to UIW34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 25
OWN 34
+2
2.7%
Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the InWrd 36Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 23
OWN 36
+4
2.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Brandon Porter for 4 yds to the InWrd 40Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+5
2.6%
Jarrell Wiley run for 5 yds to the InWrd 45Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
1.9%
Keven Nguyen punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 29TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:042% → 18%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
1.9%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (Walker,Marcel) 5 yards from Nevada28 to Nevada23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+37
1.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 37 yds to the InWrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
2.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass incomplete short left to Brown,Carlton PENALTY UIW Holding (Thompson,Donte) 10 yards from UIW40 to UIW30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
2.2%
Nate Cox sacked by Chris Whittaker for a loss of 8 yards to the InWrd 38Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+6
2.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 6 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+26
2.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 26 yds to the InWrd 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
26.7%
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
17.7%
Killam,Matthew onside kickoff 16 yards to the UIW49 PENALTY Nevada Offside (Campbell,Dalevon) 5 yards from Nevada35 to Nevada30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 30TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 0:5993% → 99%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
6.6%
Marcus Cooper run for 2 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
6.5%
Marcus Cooper run for 1 yd to the Nevad 41Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+41
0.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Darion Chafin for 41 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.0%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
1.0%
Nate Cox pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
1.0%
NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Matt Freem punt for 70 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 32Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
0.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:13
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
+24.5
TD · Q3 12:05
Kelechi Anyalebechi 59 Yd Fumble Return (Carson Mohr Kick)
-18.1
TD · Q3 0:19
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 26 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com