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WEB

Weber State 35 at Utah State 7

USU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:33 · Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds, downed at the UthSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+15.5Home team on offense+4.7Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:18: B. Barron pass,to T. MacPherson for 9 yds for a TD, (J. Burgess Run For Two-point Conversion) — USU win probability +6.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:13: Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 24 — USU win probability +4.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:14: Josh Davis run for no gain to the UthSt 33 — WEB win probability +5.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:42: Ty MacPherson 18 Yd pass from Bronson Barron (Kyle Thompson Kick) — USU win probability +1.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 6:35: Cooper Legas sacked by Brayden Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 13 — USU win probability +7.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11WEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:49USU 4th & 11 at WEB 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16USU 4th & 2 at USU 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:09WEB 4th & 15 at USU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:02WEB 4th & 3 at USU 3, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28USU 4th & 7 at USU 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53WEB 4th & 3 at WEB 17, down 8
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:16USU 4th & 9 at USU 36, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:33WEB 4th & 3 at WEB 23, down 8
    Close callPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:05USU 4th & 13 at USU 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:00WEB 4th & 9 at USU 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:48USU 4th & 9 at USU 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:20USU 4th & 1 at WEB 14, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:47USU 4th & 7 at USU 40, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:02USU 4th & 17 at WEB 23, up 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.0 ptsWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%−4.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−10.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:42WEB 4th & 6 at WEB 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:14USU 4th & 17 at USU 33, up 8
    Numbers favored punt by 5.1 ptsWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%−5.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:05WEB 4th & 15 at WEB 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:22USU 4th & 10 at WEB 20, up 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−3.7
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:1173% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
72.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 20 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
72.8%
BONNER, Logan pass to the left incomplete intended for MCGRIFF, Justin thrown to the WSU48. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on GARRETT, Kamden enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the WSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
72.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the WebSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
72.8%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+1
72.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the WebSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
-5
72.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 49Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
72.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Haze Hadley at the WebSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 2INT
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:4227% → 29%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
72.6%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
72.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WebSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.5%
Josh Davis run for no gain to the WebSt 34Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
72.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (AJ Vongphachanh) to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
72.5%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Haze Hadley for 10 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
72.4%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 14 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
72.4%
Josh Davis run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
71.5%
Bronson Barron pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5172% → 71%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
72.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 14
-2
72.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 12Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+4
71.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 4 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
71.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Haze Hadley at the WebSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 4FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:0729% → 29%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
71.3%
Damon Bankston run for 25 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
71.0%
Damon Bankston run for no gain to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
71.0%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+14
71.2%
Damon Bankston run for 14 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
71.0%
BARRON, Bronson pass to the right incomplete intended for SHARP, Jacob thrown to the USU12. PENALTY USU Pass Interference on NEVES, Kaleo enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the USU10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
70.2%
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 12Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
70.2%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-3
70.5%
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 15Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
70.6%
Kyle Thompson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 5TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:4426% → 27%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+62
74.2%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Ty MacPherson for 62 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
73.1%
J. Davis run for 17 yds for a TD, (K. Thompson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:0574% → 74%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
74.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 14 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
74.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
74.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
74.4%
Logan Bonner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 7FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5727% → 26%
Q1 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
73.1%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the UthSt 7Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
73.1%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.6%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
74.1%
Kyle Thompson 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3475% → 75%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.9%
Pailate Makakona run for 9 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
75.2%
Pailate Makakona run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.2%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
75.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
74.9%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
74.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3525% → 24%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
75.2%
Josh Davis run for 1 yd to the WebSt 11Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+6
75.3%
Josh Davis run for 6 yds to the WebSt 17Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
75.7%
Josh Davis run for no gain to the WebSt 17Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
76.1%
Jack Burgess punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3775% → 75%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
75.5%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
75.2%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
74.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 58 yds, downed at the WebSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:4324% → 23%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
75.9%
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 5Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+10
75.9%
Bronson Barron run for 10 yds to the WebSt 15Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+1
75.8%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the WebSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
75.5%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the WebSt 17Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+8
75.6%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Josh Davis for 8 yds to the WebSt 25Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 25
-5
75.4%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 20Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+3
75.9%
Bronson Barron run for 3 yds to the WebSt 23Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
76.8%
Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds, downed at the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2876% → 75%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
76.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 19 yds to the WebSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the WebSt 49Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
76.9%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-3
76.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+2
75.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 37 yds , Haze Hadley returns for 2 yds to the WebSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:0524% → 23%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+28
76.5%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 28 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
75.4%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 25 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
74.1%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
74.1%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
75.0%
Damon Bankston run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
77.1%
Kyle Thompson 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1277% → 76%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
77.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
77.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
76.5%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
75.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, downed at the WebSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 15INT
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:2823% → 24%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
77.3%
Josh Davis run for 9 yds to the WebSt 36Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
76.2%
Josh Davis run for 2 yds to the WebSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
76.6%
Josh Davis run for 13 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
75.5%
Josh Davis run for 7 yds to the UthSt 42 Josh Davis fumbled, recovered by WebStSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
75.4%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-5
75.8%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+5
76.2%
BARRON, Bronson pass to the left incomplete intended for MACPHERSON, Ty broken up by GRAYSON, Andre at the USU16. PENALTY USU Offsides on VAUGHNS, Byron enforced 5 yards from the USU47 to the USU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
75.8%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
75.5%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
75.5%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
75.7%
Bronson Barron pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16INT
14 plays · 44 yds · 2:1680% → 79%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
79.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 11 yds to the WebSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
80.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
79.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 13 yds to the WebSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
80.1%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
80.1%
Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the WebSt 20Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+6
79.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the WebSt 14Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+8
78.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the WebSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
80.1%
Logan Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 7Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.1%
BONNER, Logan pass to the right incomplete intended for COBBS, Brian thrown to the WSU0. PENALTY WSU Holding on HECKARD, Eddie enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the WSU7 to the WSU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.9%
Pailate Makakona run for no gain to the WebSt 3Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.2%
Logan Bonner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 18INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4722% → 21%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
78.3%
Josh Davis run for no gain to the WebSt 26Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
78.5%
Bronson Barron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
79.4%
Bronson Barron pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
79.4%
Bronson Barron pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1881% → 81%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
80.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+6
80.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Parker Buchanan for 6 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-5
79.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Jamie Nance) to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+5
80.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds , Haze Hadley returns for 5 yds to the WebSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 20TD
18 plays · 86 yds · 9:2921% → 19%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
79.1%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Justin Malone for 2 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
79.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the WebSt 20Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+5
79.6%
Bronson Barron run for 5 yds to the WebSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the WebSt 31Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
78.1%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 30Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+20
79.0%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Jacob Sharp for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+1
76.5%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
76.6%
Damon Bankston run for no gain to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+18
77.6%
Bronson Barron run for 18 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
75.4%
Creyton Cooper run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
75.1%
Creyton Cooper run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
76.4%
Josh Davis run for 7 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
75.1%
Josh Davis run for 8 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 2
OPP 11
-3
75.1%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+6
76.4%
Damon Bankston run for 6 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
75.1%
Creyton Cooper run for 3 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
75.1%
Creyton Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 9Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
81.3%
B. Barron pass,to T. MacPherson for 9 yds for a TD, (J. Burgess Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21INT
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
85.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 4:3486% → 87%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
86.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 16Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
86.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 11 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
86.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 16 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
87.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
87.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
88.0%
Brian Cobbs run for 3 yds to the WebSt 42Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
87.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+10
87.4%
BONNER, Logan pass to the left complete for 5 yards to MCGRIFF, Justin caught at the WSU35 and advanced to the WSU35 (GARRETT, Kamden). PENALTY WSU Holding on WILLIAMS, Desmond enforced 10 yards from the WSU40 to the WSU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
88.6%
BONNER, Logan pass to the left incomplete dropped by VAUGHN, Terrell thrown to the WSU3. PENALTY USU Holding on DOLPHIN, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the WSU30 to the WSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+17
88.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 17 yds to the WebSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+7
89.5%
Pailate Makakona run for 7 yds to the WebSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
89.5%
Pailate Makakona run for 2 yds to the WebSt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-10
89.5%
MAKAKONA, Pailate rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the WSU10 (ANDERSON, LJ;WILLIAMS, Desmond). PENALTY USU Holding on LANE, Broc enforced 10 yards from the WSU14 to the WSU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 24
+1
89.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the WebSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 23
0
88.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 17
OPP 23
0
87.4%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:2015% → 13%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
85.4%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the WebSt 25Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
85.3%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the WebSt 28Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-1
85.6%
Kris Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 27Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+16
87.1%
Jack Burgess punt for 49 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 16 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2891% → 89%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
90.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
90.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 6 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
90.1%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-15
89.5%
BONNER, Logan pass to the right complete for 9 yards to VAUGHN, Terrell caught at the WSU45 and advanced to the WSU43 (ANDERSON, LJ). PENALTY USU Pass Interference on COBBS, Brian enforced 15 yards to the USU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
89.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 25TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:3217% → 16%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.1%
Josh Davis run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
83.1%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (Ethan Atagi) to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+6
85.7%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Justin Malone for 6 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+12
84.7%
Josh Davis run for 12 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
82.8%
Josh Davis run for 2 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
84.3%
Ty MacPherson 18 Yd pass from Bronson Barron (Kyle Thompson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:4492% → 88%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
92.0%
Cooper Legas sacked by Brayden Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
92.2%
Cooper Legas pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
88.0%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (George Barrera) to the WebSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4610% → 8%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the WebSt 35Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
90.2%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the WebSt 35Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Damon Bankston run for no gain to the WebSt 35Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+1
91.7%
Jack Burgess punt for 53 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28DOWNS
16 plays · 72 yds · 3:4394% → 97%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
93.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 7 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+7
93.8%
Cooper Legas run for 7 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
93.9%
Cooper Legas run for 9 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+5
94.3%
Robert Briggs run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.5%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
94.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
94.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for 15 yds to the WebSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
94.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 8 yds to the WebSt 36Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+16
94.4%
Robert Briggs run for 16 yds to the WebSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
94.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Xavier Williams for 7 yds to the WebSt 13Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-2
97.4%
Cooper Legas sacked by Jack Kelly and Shad Pulsipher for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 15Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
97.3%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 5
OPP 15
-5
96.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 20Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+5
96.7%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the WebSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-96.7
SACK · Q4 6:35
Cooper Legas sacked by Brayden Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 13
+7.7
TD · Q3 3:18
B. Barron pass,to T. MacPherson for 9 yds for a TD, (J. Burgess Run For Two-point Conversion)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com