Try the model
BOIS

Boise State 31 at New Mexico 14

UNM
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2022 · University Stadium (NM)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:45 · James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 yds, downed at the NMex 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior−29.9Home team on offense−4.7Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:49: Deven Wright 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jonah Dalmas Kick) — BOIS win probability +6.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: George Holani 3 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Jonah Dalmas Kick) — BOIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:35: Geordon Porter 69 Yd pass from Miles Kendrick (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +6.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:31: George Holani run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33 — BOIS win probability +3.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 12 of 13BOIS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:14UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:25UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:14BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:20UNM 4th & 7 at BOIS 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:10BOIS 4th & 1 at UNM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:04UNM 4th & 1 at BOIS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−2.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:45BOIS 4th & 7 at UNM 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:35UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:57BOIS 4th & 18 at UNM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:45UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:23BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:07UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  14. Q2 2:11BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:02UNM 4th & 13 at BOIS 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:45BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:49UNM 4th & 21 at UNM 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:45UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:23BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 14, up 17
    Close callPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q3 4:04UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:27UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 4, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:08BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:08UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:40BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:53BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:49BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:53BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:35UNM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:21BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3813% → 13%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
12.7%
Miles Kendrick sacked by George Tarlas for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 14Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+1
13.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 15Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+3
13.3%
Miles Kendrick run for 3 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
13.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BoiSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0887% → 86%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
13.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+4
13.9%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
14.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
14.2%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2414% → 14%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
14.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 57 yds , Stefan Cobbs returns for 9 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5786% → 84%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
14.4%
George Holani run for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+6
14.7%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+1
15.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 1 yd to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
15.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:4616% → 19%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
15.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+4
15.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
16.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
16.7%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-4
17.2%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Ezekiel Noa and George Tarlas for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
17.1%
(05:47) KENDRICK, Miles pass to the right incomplete intended for ERICKSON, Austin broken up by LEBEAUF, Tyric at the UNM46, clock 05:47. PENALTY BSU Personal Foul on JONES, Tyreque enforced 15 yards from the UNM41 to the BSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
17.9%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Ezekiel Noa for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+2
18.0%
Luke Wysong run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47 Luke Wysong fumbled, recovered by NMex Luke WysongSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+6
18.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
18.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 32 yds, downed at the BoiSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:1881% → 84%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
18.6%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 17 George Holani fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Kekaniokoa Holomalia-GonzalezSimilar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+5
18.6%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+47
18.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cole Wright for 47 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
18.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
18.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Delay Of Game (Omar Darame) to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
18.0%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
18.6%
George Holani run for no gain to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+4
19.4%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
15.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:4817% → 18%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
16.8%
Sherod White run for 21 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
17.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kade Zimmerman for 3 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-1
18.1%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+7
17.9%
Miles Kendrick run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-3
18.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1483% → 83%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
16.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
16.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for no gain to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
16.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
17.5%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 yds, downed at the NMex 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5918% → 17%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
18.0%
Sherod White run for 1 yd to the NMex 6Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
17.2%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 6
0
16.8%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 9
OWN 6
0
16.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Reco Hannah) to the NMex 3Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 12
OWN 3
0
16.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 63 yds, downed at the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:2583% → 83%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
17.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+41
17.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 41 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
16.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
16.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Jake Saltonstall) to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-3
16.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-10
16.1%
(07:37) BACHMEIER, Hank pass up the middle complete for 16 yards to CAPLES, Latrell caught at the UNM6 and advanced to the UNM5 (WILSON, Ronald), clock 07:37. PENALTY BSU Holding on BERESFORD, Cade enforced 10 yards from the UNM21 to the UNM31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 18
OPP 31
0
16.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 18
OPP 31
+48
16.7%
Jonah Dalmas 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1016% → 16%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.9%
Luke Wysong run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
15.6%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (J.C. Davis) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+63
15.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 53 yds, downed at the NEWMEXICO 21 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ezekiel Noa) to the BoiSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2084% → 82%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
16.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 4 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
16.7%
George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
17.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 6
OWN 15
-4
17.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 56 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0516% → 16%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.3%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
15.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-2
15.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 52 yds , Stefan Cobbs returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5483% → 82%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
16.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
17.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+5
17.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 5 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
17.7%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:5917% → 16%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
16.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
16.5%
(01:54) KENDRICK, Miles pass up the middle incomplete intended for PORTER, Geordon broken up by BIGGERS, Caleb at the UNM45, clock 01:54. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on BIGGERS, Caleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the UNM43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
17.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
16.8%
Bobby Wooden run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
17.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+8
17.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-9
18.8%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Divine Obichere and Herbert Gums for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 19
OPP 37
0
16.8%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 19
OPP 37
+6
16.5%
Miles Kendrick run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+48
15.8%
George Steinkamp 48 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:1383% → 82%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.0%
Stefan Cobbs run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
16.6%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
17.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
16.6%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Cody Moon and Justin Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+6
17.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
17.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+44
17.7%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT TD
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:4717% → 10%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
16.8%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
16.7%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-9
16.0%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Scott Matlock and George Tarlas for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 21
OWN 8
0
9.7%
Deven Wright 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jonah Dalmas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0010% → 10%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.1%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
10.0%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Caleb Biggers) to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
10.7%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
10.4%
Luke Wysong run for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-8
10.1%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Isaiah Bagnah for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
9.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 61 yds, downed at the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1491% → 90%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
9.2%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-3
9.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Cody Moon for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+8
9.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 8 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
9.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 37Similar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
10.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Isaak Gutierrez) to the NMex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1110% → 9%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
9.6%
Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
9.3%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Bobby Wooden for no gain to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
9.2%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
9.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BoiSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:0592% → 99%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
8.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 7 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+15
7.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
7.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
6.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the NEWMEXICO 36 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (Jerrick Reed II) to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
5.6%
Billy Bowens run for 12 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
4.4%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
4.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 2 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.3%
George Holani 3 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Jonah Dalmas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
7.9%
Geordon Porter 69 Yd pass from Miles Kendrick (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2996% → 96%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
4.4%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
4.3%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
4.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 7 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
3.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 20 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
5.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
3.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:305% → 4%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
5.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
5.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
5.0%
Miles Kendrick run for no gain to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+19
4.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds , Stefan Cobbs returns for 19 yds to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:5397% → 99%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
3.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+5
3.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
3.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+7
2.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 7 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
2.7%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.6%
Latrell Caples 4 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Jonah Dalmas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5697% → 98%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
2.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30 BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Will Farrar) to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
2.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
2.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
2.0%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:593% → 2%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
2.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-5
2.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 13
OWN 23
0
2.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
2.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+1
2.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Stefan Cobbs returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:2098% → 99%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
1.7%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
1.6%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+1
1.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
1.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 38 yds, downed at the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
1.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:35
Geordon Porter 69 Yd pass from Miles Kendrick (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)
+6.6
TD · Q3 9:49
Deven Wright 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jonah Dalmas Kick)
-6.4
TD · Q2 14:53
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com