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2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.7SJSU 81.2%Gianni Smith 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q3 4:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:50 · Gianni Smith 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+18.9Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1Score differential+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 4:50: Gianni Smith 28 yd FG GOOD — PRST win probability +2.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:57: Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 12 yds for a TD, (Gianni Smith KICK) — PRST win probability +35.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:20: Kairee Robinson run for 14 yds to the PrtSt 9 for a 1ST down — SJSU win probability +15.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:25: Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete — SJSU win probability +25.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:11: Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +42.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 1:38PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 17 at SJSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 17 at SJSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:13SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:46SJSU 4th & 2 at PRST 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:50PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 48, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:50PRST 4th & 16 at SJSU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:28SJSU 4th & 14 at PRST 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00PRST 4th & 2 at SJSU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−3.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:06PRST 4th & 2 at SJSU 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−1.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−11.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:06SJSU 4th & 24 at SJSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−7.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:00SJSU 4th & 12 at PRST 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−8.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−17.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:03SJSU 4th & 1 at PRST 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    47.7%−6.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−30.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:25PRST 4th & 2 at PRST 9, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:06PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.2%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PRST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:21PRST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:46SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:05SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:57PRST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−1.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:11SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 5:127% → 10%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
92.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-1
92.8%
Beau Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+16
92.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 16 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
92.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 14 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
92.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 6 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+5
91.5%
Jalynnee McGee run for 5 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
91.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+5
91.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
90.0%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Maclaine Griffin for 11 yds for a TD, (Gianni Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:3190% → 91%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
90.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 3 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-3
90.4%
Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 12Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+11
90.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
90.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+34
90.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 34 yds to the PrtSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
90.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
90.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+32
90.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 32 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0810% → 10%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.2%
Jalynnee McGee run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
90.3%
Dante Chachere run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
89.6%
George Triplett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
93.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+10
93.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 10 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-7
93.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Parker McKenna for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 22
+13
93.4%
Travis Benham punt for 57 yds , Beau Kelly returns for 13 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 22
+13
93.4%
Travis Benham punt for 57 yds , Beau Kelly returns for 13 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:3390% → 91%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
89.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
89.7%
(01:15) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for GARRETT, Shamar thrown to the SJS25. PENALTY PSU Roughing the Passer on MALO, VJ enforced 15 yards from the SJS28 to the SJS43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
90.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 3
50
0
90.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
50
+32
89.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 32 yds to the PrtSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-9
89.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Tyreese Shakir for a loss of 9 yards to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+26
89.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 26 yds to the PrtSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 1 yd for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:039% → 9%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
90.8%
George Triplett punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4991% → 90%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
90.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
90.5%
(12:18) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin broken up by AVERY, Isaiah at the PSU41. PENALTY PSU Offsides on FREEMAN, Kennedy enforced 5 yards from the SJS30 to the SJS35 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.7%
Shamar Garrett run for 8 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
91.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
90.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
90.2%
Travis Benham punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Beau Kelly at the PrtSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 8INT
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:5610% → 12%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
90.1%
Dante Chachere run for no gain to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+10
90.2%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Maclaine Griffin for 10 yds to the PrtSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
90.0%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 14 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
89.7%
Dante Chachere run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
89.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offsides (Viliami Fehoko) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
88.1%
Dante Chachere pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:3190% → 90%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
89.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 16 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.8%
Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+30
89.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 30 yds to the PrtSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
90.5%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 15
OWN 48
-8
90.0%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by VJ Malo for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 23
OWN 40
+21
89.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 21 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-4
89.9%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jake Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:4611% → 14%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
88.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 6 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
88.5%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 6 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
88.4%
Dante Chachere run for 14 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
87.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 1 yd to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+19
87.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 19 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
86.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+8
87.0%
Dante Chachere run for 8 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+5
87.2%
Dante Chachere run for 5 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0412% → 11%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.8%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
88.0%
Ahmir McGee run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
88.4%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
88.6%
George Triplett punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5489% → 88%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
88.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
89.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 3 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
88.7%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
87.8%
Travis Benham punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Beau Kelly at the PrtSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:3013% → 19%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
87.0%
Emmanuel Daigbe run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+15
86.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rico Tolefree) to the PrtSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-5
85.1%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
86.1%
Dante Chachere run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
86.1%
Dante Chachere run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+15
85.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Targeting on WHITE, Tre enforced (Tre White) to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
83.1%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 11 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
82.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 4 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+8
82.7%
Dante Chachere run for 8 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
82.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 2 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
82.7%
Dante Chachere run for 5 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-13
83.8%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 16
OPP 18
+28
81.2%
Gianni Smith 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:2282% → 81%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
82.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 16 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
84.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 26 yds to the PrtSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
84.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 4 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
84.8%
Shamar Garrett run for no gain to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-8
84.0%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Robert Holt for a loss of 8 yards to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
80.7%
Travis Benham punt for 36 yds, downed at the PrtSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15TD
18 plays · 99 yds · 7:3120% → 57%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+48
80.1%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 48 yds to the PrtSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
76.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
75.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 6 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
77.0%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+4
78.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
77.0%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
77.1%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
76.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 5 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
75.0%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
75.6%
Dante Chachere run for 8 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
79.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+8
81.5%
Dante Chachere run for 8 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
77.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 4 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-5
77.7%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SJSt 12Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
78.0%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+12
42.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 12 yds for a TD, (Gianni Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:5154% → 49%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
54.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-14
51.9%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Tyreese Shakir for a loss of 14 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 24
OWN 21
0
48.9%
Travis Benham punt for 49 yds , returns for no gain to the PrtSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0661% → 48%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
61.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
61.1%
Isaiah Hamilton run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-7
61.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Tyreese Shakir for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+5
58.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
57.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+30
47.9%
Taren Schive 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4058% → 59%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
41.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
40.9%
Dante Chachere pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1757% → 45%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
56.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 14 yds to the PrtSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
56.6%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 13Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+12
56.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 12 yds to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3868% → 73%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
31.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
28.3%
Dante Chachere run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 5Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+4
30.1%
Jalynnee McGee run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 9Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+19
26.9%
George Triplett punt for 42 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for 19 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:1453% → 95%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
52.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
52.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
52.7%
CORDEIRO, Chevan sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the PSU21 (HOLT, Robert). PENALTY PSU Face mask on ANE, E.J. enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the PSU17 to the PSU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
52.7%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah broken up by ADAMS, Anthony at the PSU0. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on ADAMS, Anthony enforced 6 yards to the PSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
53.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
52.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+15
48.2%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah thrown to the PSU3. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on AVERY, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the PSU17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
52.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:0613% → 13%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
87.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
85.1%
Dante Chachere run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.5%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
87.1%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
87.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Jalynnee McGee for 5 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+10
87.0%
Jalynnee McGee run for 10 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
88.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
50
0
87.3%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:11
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
+42
TD · Q4 9:57
Dante Chachere pass complete to Beau Kelly for 12 yds for a TD, (Gianni Smith KICK)
-35.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:25
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete
+25.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com