Try the model
TLSA

Tulsa 37 at Wyoming 40

WYO
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · Zack Long 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingScore differentialGarbage-time factorOffense timeouts
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:12: Ryan Marquez 9 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (John Hoyland Kick) — WYO win probability +15.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:12: Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 41 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +15.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:19: Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 51 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +34.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: John Hoyland 25 Yd Field Goal — WYO win probability +26.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT2 0:00: John Hoyland 30 Yd Field Goal — WYO win probability +16.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 10TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:02TLSA 4th & 7 at WYO 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:54WYO 4th & 3 at TLSA 8, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−3.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47TLSA 4th & 12 at TLSA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:14WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:44WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:44WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:48TLSA 4th & 9 at WYO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:12WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:12TLSA 4th & 6 at TLSA 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:47WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:24TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:24TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:11WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:11WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:53WYO 4th & 5 at TLSA 38, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.5%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:46TLSA 4th & 15 at WYO 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−2.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:25TLSA 4th & 7 at TLSA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−4.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:02WYO 4th & 5 at TLSA 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−14.5
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−25.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TLSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:23WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:27TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:57WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:08TLSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:12WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:12TLSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:54TLSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:19WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -25 yds · 0:3769% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.4%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
31.9%
Easton Gibbs 0 Yd Fumble Return (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:2168% → 65%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
31.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
31.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 6 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
31.9%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
31.9%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
31.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
31.8%
Steven Anderson run for 8 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
31.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 11 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
31.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-10
31.8%
FORD, Jordan rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO24 (WHITE, Isaac). PENALTY TUL Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO23 to the WYO33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+17
31.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 17 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
31.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
31.8%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
31.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+32
34.8%
Zack Long 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 8:0835% → 43%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.7%
Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
35.0%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
35.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 9 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+10
35.2%
Andrew Peasley run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
35.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 6 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-5
35.4%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
35.3%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+18
35.0%
Will Pelissier run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
35.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 6 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
35.4%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
35.2%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
35.4%
Joey Braasch run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
35.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joey Braasch for 6 yds to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-2
35.2%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
42.8%
John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0758% → 56%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.3%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
42.9%
Davis Brin run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
43.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
43.9%
TULSA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bryson Powers) to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
44.3%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3344% → 44%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
43.7%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
43.5%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
43.7%
Clayton Stewart punt for 52 yds, downed at the Tulsa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:4756% → 63%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
44.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 7 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+14
43.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 14 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
43.3%
BRIN, Davis pass to the left incomplete intended for STOKES, Keylon thrown to the WYO45. PENALTY TUL Holding on BAAH, Chester enforced 10 yards from the TUL44 to the TUL34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+3
44.4%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+16
44.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 16 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
42.7%
Davis Brin run for 4 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
42.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+24
42.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 24 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
41.7%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
41.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+16
42.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 16 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.6%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3242% → 42%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
42.2%
Joey Braasch run for 3 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
43.1%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
42.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
41.7%
Clayton Stewart punt for 52 yds, downed at the Tulsa 5Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
41.7%
Clayton Stewart punt for 52 yds, downed at the Tulsa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8FG
11 plays · 86 yds · 3:5660% → 63%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
39.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 9 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+5
39.3%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
40.3%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
40.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Bayne Tryon for 7 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+8
40.1%
Steven Anderson run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+54
39.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 54 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
36.9%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
36.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
37.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
37.3%
Zack Long 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5139% → 53%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.7%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
40.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 4 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
39.6%
D.Q. James run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
41.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+11
38.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 11 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
53.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 48 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:4949% → 67%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
50.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 33 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
46.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
47.3%
BRIN, Davis pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Malachai thrown to the WYO10. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on HARRELL, Deron enforced 15 yards to the WYO27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
44.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 22 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
47.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4839% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
39.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
41.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 1 yd to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
40.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
39.7%
Clayton Stewart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tulsa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13PUNT TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0063% → 46%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 9
OWN 15
+3
37.2%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
37.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
38.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+9
54.0%
Ryan Marquez 9 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0049% → 65%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.4%
Davis Brin sacked by DeVonne Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
51.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
53.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 14 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
50.3%
Tahj Gary run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
50.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+21
51.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 21 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
47.5%
BRIN, Davis pass to the right incomplete intended for EPPS, Isaiah thrown to the WYO4. PENALTY TUL Holding on MUSKRAT, Jaden enforced 10 yards from the WYO41 to the TUL49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
49.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jordan Ford for no gain to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+10
50.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 10 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+41
35.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 41 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2540% → 38%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
40.3%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
39.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
38.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2363% → 61%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
36.8%
Tahj Gary run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
35.2%
Tahj Gary run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
35.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
38.6%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 56 ydsSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
38.6%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1340% → 37%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
39.6%
D.Q. James run for 4 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 8
-2
39.4%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+2
37.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 2 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+14
36.9%
Clayton Stewart punt for 61 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 14 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+14
36.9%
Clayton Stewart punt for 61 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 14 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:1765% → 82%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
35.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 7 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+9
34.5%
Davis Brin run for 9 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
33.9%
Jordan Ford run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
32.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
34.4%
Davis Brin run for 7 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
32.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 8 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
17.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 19 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:0121% → 28%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.5%
Andrew Peasley run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.4%
Will Pelissier run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
19.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 14 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
21.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 17 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
23.7%
Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-1
23.6%
Joey Braasch run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+5
18.9%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass to the right incomplete intended for COBBS, Joshua thrown to the TUL27. PENALTY TUL Offsides enforced 5 yards from the TUL43 to the TUL38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
19.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+55
27.5%
John Hoyland 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:0778% → 80%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.8%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
21.6%
BRIN, Davis pass up the middle incomplete intended for EPPS, Isaiah thrown to the TUL33. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the TUL33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+26
21.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 26 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
18.7%
BRIN, Davis pass to the right incomplete intended for STOKES, Keylon thrown to the WYO0. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on GLINTON, Keonte enforced 15 yards to the WYO26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
17.9%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+3
17.9%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-10
18.6%
BRIN, Davis pass to the left complete for 10 yards to EPPS, Isaiah caught at the WYO13 and advanced to the WYO11 (HARRELL, Deron). PENALTY TUL Holding on WADE, Dillon enforced 10 yards from the WYO21 to the WYO31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
19.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+49
20.2%
Zack Long 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:2724% → 60%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
23.7%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 6 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+12
26.1%
Titus Swen run for 12 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
60.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 51 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4752% → 48%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
48.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 3 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
48.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
50.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
52.5%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wyom 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FUMBLE
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:4057% → 68%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
57.1%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 8 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
60.5%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
58.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
60.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 8 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+23
61.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to D.Q. James for 23 yds to the Tulsa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
63.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
68.1%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+10
65.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
67.8%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 5 Titus Swen fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Jon-Michael TerrySimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
67.8%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 5 Titus Swen fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Jon-Michael TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:1748% → 46%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
52.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 6 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 11
0
52.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+33
54.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 33 yds Keylon Stokes fumbled, recovered by Wyom Keonte GlintonSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+33
54.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 33 yds Keylon Stokes fumbled, recovered by Wyom Keonte GlintonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25MISSED FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1863% → 63%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
63.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 12 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
68.9%
Joey Braasch run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
68.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
65.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
62.9%
John Hoyland 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0059% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
41.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
41.1%
Jordan Ford run for 8 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
-1
41.1%
Davis Brin sacked by Braden Siders for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
43.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
28.2%
Zack Long 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0042% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
42.2%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
40.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to D.Q. James for 11 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
42.2%
MCNEELY, Dawaiian rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the TUL10 (RAY, Kendarin). PENALTY WYO Holding on PREGNON, Emmanuel enforced 10 yards from the TUL13 to the TUL23. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+4
34.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joey Braasch for 4 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+6
33.6%
Andrew Peasley run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 13Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+7
33.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 7 yds to the Tulsa 6Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+25
59.6%
John Hoyland 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 15:0066% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
65.6%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
65.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 11 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
65.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
65.6%
Andrew Peasley run for no gain to the Tulsa 13Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
63.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
79.8%
John Hoyland 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 30MISSED FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 15%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
71.4%
Steven Anderson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-4
71.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Shae Suiaunoa for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
79.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
85.3%
Zack Long 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:19
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 51 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+34
FG · OT 0:00
John Hoyland 25 Yd Field Goal
+26.7
FG · OT2 0:00
John Hoyland 30 Yd Field Goal
+16.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com