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UNCO

Northern Colorado 10 at Wyoming 33

WYO
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:57 · Jacquez Robertson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 29 Jacquez Robertson fumbled, recovered by Wyom Wyett Ekeler
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:27: John Hoyland 23 yd FG GOOD — UNCO win probability +1.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:54: Hunter Green 32 yd FG GOOD — UNCO win probability +4.1 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:45: Titus Swen 6 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick) — WYO win probability +7.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:48: Jacob Sirmon 6 Yd pass from Trevis Graham (Hunter Green Kick) — UNCO win probability +11.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:45: Titus Swen 22 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick) — WYO win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11UNCO made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 10:51UNCO 4th & 7 at WYO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:51UNCO 4th & 7 at WYO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:27WYO 4th & 6 at UNCO 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:11UNCO 4th & 6 at UNCO 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:11WYO 4th & 1 at UNCO 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:42WYO 4th & 5 at UNCO 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:46UNCO 4th & 6 at UNCO 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:12WYO 4th & 5 at UNCO 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:08WYO 4th & 10 at UNCO 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:30UNCO 4th & 4 at UNCO 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:30UNCO 4th & 4 at UNCO 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:24WYO 4th & 4 at midfield, up 9
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:24UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:43WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 19, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:43UNCO 4th & 6 at UNCO 44, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:54UNCO 4th & 7 at WYO 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−5.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:34UNCO 4th & 7 at UNCO 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:48WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 21, up 13
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.0%
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:48WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 21, up 13
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:31WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:59UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:59UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:50WYO 4th & 18 at UNCO 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−4.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−10.9
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:51UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 35, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNCO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 4:45WYO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:48UNCO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:45WYO Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:56WYO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCODrive 1DOWNS
19 plays · 40 yds · 14:547% → 13%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
92.7%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 11 yds to the NoCol 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.7%
Elijah Dotson run for 6 yds to the NoCol 39Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
92.7%
Elijah Dotson run for 9 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
92.7%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-10
92.1%
Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Shae Suiaunoa for a loss of 10 yards to the NoCol 42Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+17
92.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 17 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
92.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
92.1%
Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
92.1%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Illegal Shift (Alec Pell) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
91.6%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.8%
BRAASCH, Joseph rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the WYO41 (RANTISSI, Elias). PENALTY UNC Offsides enforced 5 yards from the WYO38 to the WYO43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 5
OWN 43
-5
91.9%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
91.6%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
87.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 11 yds to the NoCol 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
87.8%
Elijah Dotson run for 6 yds to the NoCol 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
87.4%
Elijah Dotson run for 9 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
87.3%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-10
87.2%
Dylan McCaffrey sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 6:2492% → 90%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 5 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
91.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 5 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
91.9%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Targeting on CICCIO, Nick enforced (Nick Ciccio) to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
91.9%
Joey Braasch run for 8 yds to the NoCol 29Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
91.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 5 yds to the NoCol 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.9%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass to the left incomplete intended for WIELAND, Wyatt thrown to the UNC17. PENALTY WYO Holding UNC Roughing the Passer , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
91.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 5 yds to the NoCol 19Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
91.9%
D.Q. James run for 1 yd to the NoCol 18Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+8
91.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 8 yds to the NoCol 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
91.9%
Joey Braasch run for 5 yds to the NoCol 5Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
91.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 6Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
90.4%
John Hoyland 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1610% → 10%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
90.5%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 3Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
90.5%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+3
90.6%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the NoCol 6Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
90.5%
Devin Bale punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:2990% → 90%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
90.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to D.Q. James for 4 yds to the NoCol 47Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
90.4%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the NoCol 44Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
90.3%
Joey Braasch run for 2 yds to the NoCol 42Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
90.1%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the NoCol 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
90.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to D.Q. James for 4 yds to the NoCol 35Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
90.5%
D.Q. James run for 4 yds to the NoCol 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+2
89.5%
Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the NoCol 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
89.7%
Joey Braasch run for 4 yds to the NoCol 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
89.5%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
89.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 1 yd Joshua Cobbs fumbled, recovered by Wyom Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
90.2%
John Hoyland 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5610% → 10%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.1%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, False Start (Kassidy Woods) to the NoCol 20Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
90.2%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 9 yds to the NoCol 29Similar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
90.1%
Devin Bale punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:3490% → 90%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.0%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
90.0%
D.Q. James run for 7 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
90.3%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
90.4%
Joey Braasch run for 1 yd to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
90.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 6 yds to the NoCol 47Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-2
90.3%
Joey Braasch run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 49Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
89.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 7INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5911% → 11%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 21Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
89.1%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 7 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
89.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass intercepted NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0590% → 90%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
90.2%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 4 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+10
90.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 10 yds to the NoCol 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
90.5%
Joey Braasch run for 11 yds to the NoCol 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
90.4%
WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NoCol 28Similar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 16
OPP 28
0
90.3%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+6
90.2%
Joey Braasch run for 6 yds to the NoCol 22Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
90.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
90.0%
John Hoyland 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:389% → 9%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Elijah Dotson run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
90.4%
Jacob Sirmon run for 1 yd to the NoCol 31Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Devin Bale punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Devin Bale punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0690% → 90%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.1%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
90.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 6 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
90.2%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.6%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
90.4%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+2
90.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 4
50
0
89.8%
Clayton Stewart punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0010% → 10%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 1 yd to the NoCol 21Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
90.3%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
90.3%
Devin Bale punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
90.3%
Andrew Peasley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1189% → 88%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
88.7%
Joey Braasch run for 3 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
88.7%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 5 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
88.3%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
87.3%
DOTSON, Elijah rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the UNC43 (HARRIS, DeVonne). PENALTY Before the snap, UNC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UNC40 to the UNC35. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+4
87.5%
Clayton Stewart punt for 45 yds , Uryan Hudson returns for 4 yds to the NoCol 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 14FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:4912% → 18%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+8
88.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Noah Ford for 8 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+8
88.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Noah Ford for 8 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
87.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Noah Ford for 1 yd to the NoCol 44Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
87.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+9
88.3%
Kurt Gallup run for 9 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
86.7%
Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
86.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+8
86.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 8 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
86.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 16 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
85.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
85.8%
Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
86.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
82.5%
Hunter Green 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0985% → 94%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.1%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
85.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 15 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.6%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (RJ Potts) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
87.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
87.0%
Titus Swen run for 11 yds to the NoCol 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
87.0%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 6 yds to the NoCol 11Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
87.0%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 2 yds to the NoCol 9Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
86.3%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the NoCol 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.0%
Titus Swen 6 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:068% → 8%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
92.0%
SIRMON, Jacob pass to the right incomplete intended for FORD, Noah thrown to the WYO41. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on STONE, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the UNC45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.5%
Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the NoCol 45Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
91.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.9%
Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the NoCol 48Similar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
93.5%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
92.2%
Devin Bale punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:4694% → 93%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+4
93.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 4 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+7
93.4%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-5
93.2%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
93.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-12
93.1%
Clayton Stewart run for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-12
93.1%
Clayton Stewart run for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 18TD
11 plays · 9 yds · 2:0010% → 19%
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
90.3%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Oluwaseyi Omotosho for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
90.3%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Oluwaseyi Omotosho for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+3
91.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
93.7%
SIRMON, Jacob pass to the left incomplete intended for DOTSON, Elijah thrown to the WYO10; QB hurried by HARRIS, DeVonne. PENALTY WYO Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the WYO14 to the WYO7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+3
93.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
93.8%
SIRMON, Jacob pass to the left incomplete intended for DOTSON, Elijah thrown to the WYO10; QB hurried by HARRIS, DeVonne. PENALTY WYO Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the WYO14 to the WYO7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
92.8%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.5%
Jacob Sirmon 6 Yd pass from Trevis Graham (Hunter Green Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1787% → 89%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.3%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
87.4%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
86.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 12 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.5%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
88.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 6 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-2
88.0%
Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+16
88.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 50 yds , Uryan Hudson returns for 16 yds to the NoCol 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3215% → 13%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
85.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
86.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
86.8%
Devin Bale punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
86.8%
Devin Bale punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:0991% → 93%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
50
+5
90.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 5 yds to the NoCol 45Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
91.2%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the NoCol 42Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+8
90.6%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 8 yds to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
91.4%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the NoCol 26Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+17
92.1%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 17 yds to the NoCol 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.3%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the NoCol 9Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.5%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-9
92.0%
Andrew Peasley sacked by Uryan Hudson for a loss of 9 yards to the NoCol 18Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+35
93.1%
John Hoyland 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:576% → 4%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
94.2%
Jacob Sirmon run for no gain to the NoCol 2Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
94.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Trevis Graham for 8 yds to the NoCol 10Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 2
OWN 10
-2
94.4%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-2 Yards) to the NoCol 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+29
94.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 29 yds to the NoCol 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
93.5%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Easton Gibbs for 0 yards to the NoCol 35Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-13
95.6%
Jacob Sirmon sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the NoCol 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.6%
Titus Swen 22 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 24INT
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-8
99.0%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Oluwaseyi Omotosho for a loss of 8 yards to the NoCol 9Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 18
OWN 9
0
99.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0299% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 2 yds to the NoCol 1Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Titus Swen 1 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.8%
Jacquez Robertson run for 5 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Jacquez Robertson run for no gain to the NoCol 29 Jacquez Robertson fumbled, recovered by Wyom Wyett EkelerSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Jacquez Robertson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 29 Jacquez Robertson fumbled, recovered by Wyom Wyett EkelerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:48
Jacob Sirmon 6 Yd pass from Trevis Graham (Hunter Green Kick)
-11.3
TD · Q3 4:45
Titus Swen 6 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)
+7
FG · Q3 7:54
Hunter Green 32 yd FG GOOD
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com