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USM

Southern Miss 27 at Tulane 24

TULN
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUSM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:48 · Michael Pratt pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+2.6Home team on offense−24.9Score differential−9.8Garbage-time factor−12.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:01: Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 23 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +5.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:53: Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 37 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +20.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:26: Briggs Bourgeois 26 yd FG GOOD — USM win probability +13.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:07: Eric Scott Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (Briggs Bourgeois Kick) — USM win probability +29.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:19: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 25 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK) — TULN win probability +21.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9USM made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:57USM 4th & 6 at USM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19USM 4th & 3 at USM 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:30TULN 4th & 5 at USM 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00USM 4th & 10 at USM 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:47USM 4th & 3 at USM 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:46TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:34TULN 4th & 15 at TULN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:31USM 4th & 4 at TULN 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03TULN 4th & 3 at USM 11, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:10TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−2.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:47USM 4th & 10 at USM 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:59TULN 4th & 9 at USM 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 1 at USM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−3.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−13.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:16TULN 4th & 10 at USM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−3.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−15.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:26USM 4th & 9 at TULN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−21.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:48TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:42USM 4th & 1 at TULN 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−2.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:56USM 4th & 5 at TULN 30, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:14TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:57TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:01USM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:53USM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:07USM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:19TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0320% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.7%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 3 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
79.7%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 6 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
79.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
79.7%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 29Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
79.3%
Mason Hunt punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:4379% → 80%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
79.3%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
50
0
79.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 10
50
+20
79.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 20 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
79.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+16
79.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton for 16 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
79.4%
Shaadie Clayton run for 2 yds to the SoMis 8Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
80.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5520% → 20%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.6%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 4 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
79.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
79.5%
Ty Keyes run for 4 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
79.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-2
79.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
79.6%
Mason Hunt punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:4980% → 80%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
79.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
50
+5
80.1%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
80.1%
run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
80.0%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.1%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the SoMis 39Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-10
80.1%
SPEARS, Tyjae rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the USM31 (STANLEY, Jay). PENALTY TLN Holding on WATTS, Duece enforced 10 yards from the USM39 to the USM49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+12
79.9%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+3
80.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 3 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
79.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:3021% → 21%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
79.0%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 5 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
78.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
78.5%
Zach Wilcke run for 1 yd to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
78.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 44Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
78.8%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
79.1%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Mason Hunt punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 3:0379% → 85%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
79.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+29
79.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 29 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
80.2%
Dea Dea McDougle run for 3 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Daylen Gill) to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
80.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 2 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
80.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+34
84.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 34 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0517% → 16%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
83.2%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 15 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.0%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 9 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
82.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 45Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-1
82.6%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 44Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
83.7%
Mason Hunt punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0185% → 84%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
84.8%
Shaadie Clayton run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+2
84.7%
Shaadie Clayton run for 2 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 5
OWN 7
-1
84.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Armondous Cooley for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
83.8%
Casey Glover punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:4517% → 23%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
83.5%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 7 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+10
83.3%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 10 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
82.7%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
83.0%
Zach Wilcke run for 4 yds to the Tulan 23 Zach Wilcke fumbled, recovered by SoMisSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+23
77.4%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 23 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1981% → 79%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
81.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
81.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-9
80.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Dominic Quewon for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
78.6%
punt blocked by Jay Jones blocked by Jay JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0324% → 27%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
76.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
76.5%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 5 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+2
77.2%
Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
73.0%
Briggs Bourgeois 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 2:2875% → 79%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
75.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
76.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
75.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
75.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 17 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
77.7%
Michael Pratt run for 19 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
77.8%
Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
77.8%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
77.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+3
77.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 3 yds to the SoMis 11Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
79.3%
Kriston Esnard 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:5080% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
80.8%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
80.1%
run for 11 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
80.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-10
80.8%
PRATT, Michael pass to the left incomplete thrown to the TLN47. PENALTY TLN Holding on BAUMAN, Alex enforced 10 yards from the TLN47 to the TLN37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+3
79.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+2
78.7%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
78.1%
Casey Glover punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2321% → 20%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
78.7%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
79.0%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
79.9%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+45
80.5%
Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 5:4880% → 82%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
79.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Iverson Celestine for 8 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
81.3%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
81.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 13 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
81.7%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
81.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 3 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
81.1%
run for 2 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
81.9%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jalen Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+8
80.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 8 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-1
81.0%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 30Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
81.6%
Kriston Esnard 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:0622% → 44%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
78.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
77.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
76.9%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 4 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
77.3%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Latreal Jones for 7 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
75.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
75.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 10 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
55.7%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 37 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:3764% → 63%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
64.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 23 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
68.3%
Michael Pratt run for 11 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
69.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
68.5%
run for 5 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
67.9%
run for 2 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
69.5%
run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
69.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Reggie Brown for 5 yds to the SoMis 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
68.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SoMis 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
65.9%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
69.5%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
67.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
62.9%
Kriston Esnard 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:5047% → 62%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
53.4%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 14 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
51.7%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 31 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
49.1%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Kyron Barnes) to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+15
49.8%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 15 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
49.2%
Zach Wilcke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
48.2%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
50.6%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
51.4%
Zach Wilcke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
37.7%
Briggs Bourgeois 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20INT TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:1944% → 15%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
44.8%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-35
15.3%
Eric Scott Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1916% → 12%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
15.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Averie Habas for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+19
15.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 19 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
16.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton for 6 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
17.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
16.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
11.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 17 yds · 3:4192% → 98%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
8.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-3
8.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+11
7.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
7.0%
run for 1 yd to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
6.6%
Janari Dean run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+5
6.8%
Janari Dean run for 5 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+2
2.1%
Janari Dean run for 2 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+2
2.3%
Janari Dean run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 0:373% → 27%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
3.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 12 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
3.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 20 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
3.8%
PRATT, Michael sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the USM49 (BIVENS, Quentin). PENALTY USM Unnecessary Roughness on BIVENS, Quentin enforced 15 yards from the USM40 to the USM25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
4.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
26.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 25 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:07
Eric Scott Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)
-29.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-26.7
TD · Q4 0:19
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 25 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)
+21.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com