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MRSH

Marshall 31 at Bowling Green 34

BGSU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:54 · S.Sir punts 40 yards to MSH 26, Center-BGN. Fair catch by T.Keaton.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 152Pregame prior−2.9Home team on offense+0.7Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:44: M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 30. Catch made by C.Croom at MSH 30. Gain of 30 yards. C.Croom for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BGSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:08: H.Fannin rushed to MSH End Zone for 1 yards. H.Fannin for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BGSU win probability +27.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:43: K.Laborn rushed to BGN End Zone for 8 yards. K.Laborn for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MRSH win probability +33.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: R.Verhoff 38 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH. — MRSH win probability +16.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 2. Catch made by T.Keith at MSH 2. Gain of 2 yards. T.Keith for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BGSU win probability +52.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:09BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:49BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:03BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:12BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:11MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:30BGSU 4th & 4 at MRSH 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:44BGSU 4th & 2 at MRSH 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−1.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:55BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:00MRSH 4th & 3 at BGSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.0%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:24BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−3.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:42MRSH 4th & 23 at MRSH 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−6.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:00BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:54BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−9.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:04MRSH 4th & 7 at BGSU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:59MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:28MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:30BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:25MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:10BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:44BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:08BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:43MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0186% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.9%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 25. Catch made by K.Laborn at MSH 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 32.Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
14.1%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 49 for 17 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 49.Similar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
14.2%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
14.2%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 49. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 49. Gain of 51 yards. C.Gammage for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5014% → 14%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.2%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Broden.Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
14.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 35. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 35. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 39.Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
14.4%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Lewis.Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+40
14.4%
S.Sir punts 40 yards to MSH 21, Center-BGN. Fair catch by T.Keaton.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:4186% → 86%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
14.4%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 22 for 1 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 22.Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+78
14.2%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 22. Catch made by C.McMillan at MSH 22. Gain of 78 yards. C.McMillan for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BGN-BGN, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3314% → 14%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
14.2%
J.Patterson rushed to BGN 19 for 3 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 19.Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+1
14.2%
P.Wimberly rushed to BGN 20 for 1 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 20.Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
14.2%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire.Similar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+40
14.2%
S.Sir punts 40 yards to MSH 40, Center-BGN. Fair catch by T.Keaton.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1386% → 86%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
14.2%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 40.Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
14.2%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 40. Catch made by D.Miller at MSH 40. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 42.Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
14.3%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for T.Keaton.Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+44
14.4%
J.McConnell punts 44 yards to BGN 14, Center-MSH. Downed by MSH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1715% → 15%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
14.8%
C.Orth rushed to BGN 6 for 1 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 6.Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+6
14.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 6. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 6. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 12.Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
14.6%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire.Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+42
14.6%
S.Sir punts 42 yards to MSH 46, Center-BGN. T.Keaton returned punt from the MSH 46. Tackled by BGN at MSH 46.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:5386% → 86%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+49
14.0%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 5 for 49 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 5.Similar
Q1 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
14.0%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 4 for 1 yards. K.Laborn FUMBLES, forced by J.Brown. Fumble RECOVERED by BGN-K.Brooks at BGN 4. Tackled by MSH at BGN 4.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5815% → 14%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
15.0%
J.Patterson rushed to BGN 6 for 2 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 6.Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
14.9%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire.Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
14.3%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Croom.Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+46
14.4%
S.Sir punts 46 yards to MSH 48, Center-BGN. T.Keaton returned punt from the MSH 48. Tackled by C.Rosser at MSH 50. PENALTY on MSH-D.Hill, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0186% → 86%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
14.0%
H.Colombi rushed to MSH 48 for 8 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 48.Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-7
14.0%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi sacked at MSH 41 for -7 yards (B.Horne)Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+6
14.2%
H.Colombi rushed to MSH 47 for 6 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 47.Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+34
14.3%
J.McConnell punts 34 yards to BGN 19, Center-MSH. Fair catch by J.Embry.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 3:4115% → 19%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
14.7%
T.Keith rushed to BGN 23 for 4 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 23.Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+9
14.8%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 23. Catch made by C.Sims at BGN 23. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 32.Similar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
14.9%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 32. Catch made by C.Sims at BGN 32. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 30.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
14.7%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Lewis.Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+14
14.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 30. Catch made by C.Lewis at BGN 30. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 44.Similar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
15.6%
C.Orth rushed to BGN 41 for -3 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 41.Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+28
15.1%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 41. Catch made by T.Broden at BGN 41. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 31.Similar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
15.8%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Lewis.Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
15.8%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 31. Catch made by T.Broden at MSH 31. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 25.Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
15.6%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Keith.Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+25
19.1%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 25. Catch made by O.Hilaire at MSH 25. Gain of 25 yards. O.Hilaire for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 2:5982% → 87%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
18.1%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 33.Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
18.1%
H.Colombi rushed to MSH 44 for 11 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 44.Similar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
17.7%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 47.Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
17.8%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+38
18.0%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 47. Catch made by T.Keaton at MSH 47. Gain of 38 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 15.Similar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
17.5%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 12.Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
17.7%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for T.Keaton.Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
17.9%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for T.Keaton. PENALTY on BGN-D.Kelly, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+2
17.9%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 5 for 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 5.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
13.1%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN End Zone for 5 yards. K.Laborn for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:1514% → 22%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.3%
N.Mosley rushed to BGN 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 31.Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
14.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 31. Catch made by O.Hilaire at BGN 31. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 34.Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
14.5%
P.Wimberly rushed to BGN 42 for 8 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 42.Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
14.9%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 42. Catch made by N.Mosley at BGN 42. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 49.Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+24
15.0%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 49. Catch made by O.Hilaire at BGN 49. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 27.Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
22.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 27. Catch made by O.Hilaire at MSH 27. Gain of 27 yards. O.Hilaire for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:4081% → 82%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
19.1%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 23. Catch made by D.Miller at MSH 23. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 27.Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+14
18.7%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 27. Catch made by S.Ahmed at MSH 27. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 41.Similar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
18.0%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 41. Catch made by K.Laborn at MSH 41. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 49.Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
17.9%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 46 for 5 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 46.Similar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
18.0%
H.Colombi pass INTERCEPTED at BGN 40. Intercepted by T.Simms at BGN 40. Tackled by MSH at BGN 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:4021% → 32%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
21.3%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 41. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 41. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 41.Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
20.8%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Broden.Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+21
20.4%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 41. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 41. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 38.Similar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
22.6%
O.Hilaire rushed to MSH 42 for -4 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 42.Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+7
21.3%
M.McDonald rushed to MSH 35 for 7 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 35.Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+5
22.6%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 35. Catch made by C.Sims at MSH 35. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 30.Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+30
32.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 30. Catch made by C.Croom at MSH 30. Gain of 30 yards. C.Croom for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2872% → 69%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
28.5%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 17 for 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 17.Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+2
28.9%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 19.Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 19
-1
30.2%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 18 for -1 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 18.Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+44
31.5%
J.McConnell punts 44 yards to BGN 38, Center-MSH. Downed by MSH. PENALTY on BGN-BGN, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0533% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.7%
P.Wimberly rushed to BGN 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 28.Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
33.3%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 28. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 28. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 34.Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
34.2%
O.Hilaire rushed to BGN 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 34.Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+38
33.0%
S.Sir punts 38 yards to MSH 28, Center-BGN. Fair catch by T.Keaton.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:5569% → 68%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
30.8%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 33 for 5 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 33.Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
30.1%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 39 for 6 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 39.Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
29.8%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 43 for 18 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 43.Similar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
29.0%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 40.Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
29.3%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for J.Harrison.Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+7
29.9%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 40. Catch made by E.Payne at BGN 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 33.Similar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
28.7%
E.Payne rushed to BGN 26 for 7 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 26.Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
28.6%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage. PENALTY on MSH-K.Sartor, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
30.8%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+10
31.9%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 36. Catch made by C.Montgomery at BGN 36. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 26.Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+1
32.4%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 25 for 1 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3636% → 36%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
36.3%
T.Keith rushed to BGN 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 36.Similar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.8%
T.Keith rushed to BGN 36 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 36.Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
37.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 36. Catch made by C.Croom at BGN 36. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 36.Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-2
36.6%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 36. Catch made by J.Patterson at BGN 36. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 34.Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+5
35.9%
PENALTY on BGN-P.Day, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+46
35.9%
S.Sir punts 46 yards to MSH 25, Center-BGN. T.Keaton returned punt from the MSH 25. Tackled by BGN at MSH 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1465% → 68%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
35.5%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 26. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 26. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 37.Similar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
34.5%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
35.1%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 37. Catch made by D.Miller at MSH 37. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 42.Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+12
33.9%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 42. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 42. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 46.Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
32.5%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 46. Catch made by C.Montgomery at BGN 46. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 49.Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+11
34.6%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 49. Catch made by S.Ahmed at BGN 49. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 38.Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+11
33.1%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 27 for 11 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 27.Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
31.8%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 27. Catch made by D.Miller at BGN 27. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 14.Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
32.0%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 14. Catch made by K.Laborn at BGN 14. Gain of 14 yards. K.Laborn FUMBLES, forced by J.Brown. Fumble RECOVERED by BGN-BGN at BGN End Zone. Touchback. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 5:5441% → 80%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.9%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Lewis.Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
40.8%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire. PENALTY on MSH-C.Gray, Defensive Pass Interference, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
41.2%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald sacked at BGN 17 for -8 yards (D.Barber)Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+16
41.1%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 17. Catch made by C.Croom at BGN 17. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 33.Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
42.5%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 33. Catch made by C.Croom at BGN 33. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 37.Similar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
44.0%
C.Lewis pass complete to BGN 37. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 37. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 48.Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
47.7%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire.Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
48.0%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Lewis.Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+20
45.5%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 48. Catch made by C.Lewis at MSH 48. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 28.Similar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
50.9%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 28. Catch made by C.Lewis at MSH 28. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 23.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
51.1%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire.Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+10
49.6%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 23. Catch made by C.Sims at MSH 23. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 13.Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
52.1%
M.McDonald rushed to MSH 1 for 12 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 1.Similar
Q4 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.4%
M.McDonald rushed to MSH 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 1.Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.5%
H.Fannin rushed to MSH End Zone for 1 yards. H.Fannin for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21BLOCKED PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:1830% → 23%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
70.3%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 27. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 27. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 25.Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+15
71.7%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 25. Catch made by E.Payne at MSH 25. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 40.Similar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
69.4%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 40. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 40. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 45.Similar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
67.9%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi sacked at MSH 47 for -8 yards (D.Hardamon)Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+2
72.3%
E.Payne rushed to MSH 49 for 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 49.Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 16
OWN 49
-7
73.1%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi sacked at MSH 42 for -7 yards (D.Kelly)Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 23
OWN 42
0
77.0%
MSH punts 0 yards to MSH 42, Center-MSH. J.Miller blocked the kick. Downed by MSH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4280% → 81%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
80.2%
P.Wimberly rushed to BGN 7 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 7.Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+6
80.6%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 7. Catch made by C.Lewis at BGN 7. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 13.Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
80.6%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for O.Hilaire.Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+40
80.9%
S.Sir punts 40 yards to MSH 47, Center-BGN. Downed by BGN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:1726% → 59%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
73.8%
C.Fancher rushed to BGN 36 for 17 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 36.Similar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.9%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN 30 for 6 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 30.Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+14
72.5%
C.Fancher pass complete to BGN 30. Catch made by C.McMillan at BGN 30. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 16.Similar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
73.0%
C.Fancher rushed to BGN 9 for 7 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 9.Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+1
73.8%
C.Fancher pass complete to BGN 9. Catch made by C.Gammage at BGN 9. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 8.Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
40.6%
K.Laborn rushed to BGN End Zone for 8 yards. K.Laborn for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4953% → 50%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
52.9%
M.McDonald rushed to BGN 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 36.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
55.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 36. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 36. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 44.Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
59.0%
M.McDonald rushed to MSH 47 for yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 47. PENALTY on BGN-J.Grant, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
53.8%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Sims.Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
51.5%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Keith.Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+40
50.3%
S.Sir punts 40 yards to MSH 26, Center-BGN. Fair catch by T.Keaton.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:5052% → 51%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
47.6%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 26. Catch made by S.Ahmed at MSH 26. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 37.Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.0%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 40.Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
44.0%
H.Colombi pass complete to MSH 40. Catch made by D.Miller at MSH 40. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 45.Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
43.4%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 50 for 5 yards. Tackled by BGN at MSH 50.Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
39.9%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for K.Laborn.Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 0
+3
39.9%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 50. Catch made by J.Harrison at MSH 50. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 47.Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
43.0%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.McMillan.Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+46
48.9%
J.McConnell punts 46 yards to BGN 1, Center-MSH. Downed by MSH. PENALTY on BGN-BGN, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:1156% → 53%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
55.5%
M.McDonald rushed to BGN 6 for 5 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 6.Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
55.1%
C.Orth pass complete to BGN 6. Catch made by C.Sims at BGN 6. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 9.Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+3
52.6%
M.McDonald rushed to BGN 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by MSH at BGN 12.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 73%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
39.9%
H.Colombi steps back to pass. H.Colombi pass incomplete intended for C.Montgomery.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
40.9%
H.Colombi rushed to BGN 23 for yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 23. PENALTY on MSH-D.Tucker, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+12
44.0%
H.Colombi pass complete to BGN 35. Catch made by C.Gammage at BGN 35. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 23.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+2
43.8%
H.Colombi rushed to BGN 21 for 2 yards. Tackled by BGN at BGN 21.Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
0
27.3%
R.Verhoff 38 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0038% → 92%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
37.8%
P.Wimberly rushed to MSH 2 for 23 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 2.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 2. Catch made by T.Keith at MSH 2. Gain of 2 yards. T.Keith for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 2. Catch made by T.Keith at MSH 2. Gain of 2 yards. T.Keith for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+52.1
TD · Q4 5:43
K.Laborn rushed to BGN End Zone for 8 yards. K.Laborn for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-33.2
TD · Q4 13:08
H.Fannin rushed to MSH End Zone for 1 yards. H.Fannin for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+27.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com