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MASS

Massachusetts 13 at Eastern Michigan 20

EMU
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Austin Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 12:35: Cameron Carson 47 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +7.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:35: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 12:35 — EMU win probability +3.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:12: Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 39 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +25.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:38: Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — EMU win probability +13.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:38: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 09:38 — MASS win probability +5.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 7:12EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:23MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:14EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:05MASS 4th & 11 at EMU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:35MASS 4th & 3 at EMU 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:48EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:35MASS 4th & 11 at EMU 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:57EMU 4th & 5 at MASS 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:28MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:13EMU 4th & 16 at MASS 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:15MASS 4th & 1 at EMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−5.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−6.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:41MASS 4th & 1 at EMU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−6.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−9.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:45MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:56EMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:12EMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:38EMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:2288% → 88%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
87.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
87.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
87.7%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short left to Westmoreland,Zach PENALTY MASS Offside 5 yards from EMU36 to EMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+6
87.6%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
87.6%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+6
87.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Aaron Jackson for 6 yds Aaron Jackson fumbled, recovered by UMass Jordan MahoneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:2613% → 15%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
87.3%
Gino Campiotti sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+4
87.2%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 11
50
+5
87.0%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Miles,Sterling) 5 yards from MASS50 to EMU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+8
87.0%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 8 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
87.0%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Crawford,Jordan) 5 yards from EMU37 to EMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+3
86.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
86.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
86.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 7 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+20
87.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 20 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.1%
Gino Campiotti run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:3385% → 83%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.2%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
85.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 13 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
85.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
85.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
85.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
85.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
83.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 40 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 5:4916% → 20%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
84.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
84.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
84.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
83.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for no gain to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
84.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for 7 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+5
83.8%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Grant-Randall,Tim) 5 yards from MASS28 to MASS33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
83.7%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 3 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
83.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 4 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+6
83.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 6 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
83.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+2
83.4%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 6
50
0
83.6%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to T.Y. HardingSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 6
50
-5
83.8%
(01:31) PENALTY MASS False Start 5 yards from EMU50 to MASS45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
79.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:0980% → 76%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
79.7%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
79.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 10 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
78.9%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+14
79.4%
Samson Evans run for 14 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
79.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin rush left for 4 yards gain to the MASS45 (Johnson,Gerrell), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Holding (Bates Jr.,Richard) 10 yards from MASS49 to EMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+6
79.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+6
79.1%
Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+16
79.6%
Austin Smith run for 26 yds to the EMich 21 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darius Lassiter) to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
78.6%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+16
79.6%
Austin Smith run for 26 yds to the EMich 21 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darius Lassiter) to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
78.6%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
76.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FG
27 plays · 69 yds · 8:0924% → 30%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
76.2%
Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+15
75.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Campiotti,Gino pass incomplete short left to Sullivan-Brown,Cam PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Thomas Jr.,Corry) 15 yards from MASS27 to MASS42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
75.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 7 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
74.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
74.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
74.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
74.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
74.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 7 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+10
74.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 10 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
74.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 4 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
74.4%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+10
74.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 10 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
74.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 4 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
74.4%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+10
74.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 10 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
66.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.0%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
64.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Campiotti,Gino rush left for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:18 PENALTY MASS Holding (Johnson,Josiah) 10 yards from EMU01 to EMU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
70.1%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
70.5%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+30
69.8%
Cameron Carson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
67.3%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
68.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
67.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2630% → 28%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
50
+3
70.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
70.1%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
70.2%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
70.1%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
70.2%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
72.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:4764% → 63%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
64.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
63.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
63.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 3
OWN 14
-5
62.1%
Tomasek,Mitchell punt 51 yards to the MASS35 fair catch by Ross,Isaac at MASS35 PENALTY EMU Illegal Formation 5 yards from EMU14 to EMU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 3
OWN 14
-5
62.1%
Tomasek,Mitchell punt 51 yards to the MASS35 fair catch by Ross,Isaac at MASS35 PENALTY EMU Illegal Formation 5 yards from EMU14 to EMU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+17
62.5%
punt for 47 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+17
62.5%
punt for 47 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:3130% → 29%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
70.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
70.0%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to T.Y. HardingSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
70.5%
PENALTY MASS False Start (Johnson,George) 5 yards from EMU46 to MASS49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
71.3%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
70.5%
PENALTY MASS False Start (Johnson,George) 5 yards from EMU46 to MASS49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
71.3%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
70.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:1763% → 63%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+27
62.6%
Samson Evans run for 27 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
62.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
62.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
63.1%
Austin Smith run for 7 yds to the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:2041% → 53%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
59.2%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Crawford,Jordan) 5 yards from MASS22 to MASS27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+4
58.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+41
58.3%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 41 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
57.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
57.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
53.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the EMich 29 Gino Campiotti fumbled, recovered by UMass Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
54.8%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Josiah Johnson for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+47
47.3%
Cameron Carson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:3950% → 61%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.4%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
50.6%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
50.6%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
58.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
58.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
50
+7
59.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
59.8%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
58.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+15
56.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short left to Knue,Tanner PENALTY MASS Pass Interference (Mahoney,Jordan) 15 yards from MASS43 to MASS28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
59.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+11
59.4%
Austin Smith run for 11 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
59.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
60.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 8 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2745% → 44%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
56.9%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 9 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
55.3%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
55.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15INT
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:3254% → 53%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
53.6%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
53.3%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+10
52.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short left PENALTY MASS Holding 10 yards from EMU24 to EMU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+19
55.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Personal Foul (Marcus Cushnie) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-8
57.8%
Austin Smith sacked by Jalen Mackie for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+7
56.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 7 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+6
55.3%
Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
54.0%
Bryson Moss run for 1 yd to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+9
53.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 9 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
52.8%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2952% → 53%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
47.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
48.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
48.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Campiotti,Gino pass incomplete short right to Orlando,Jacob PENALTY EMU Pass Interference offsetting MASS Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
48.7%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Jacob OrlandoSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+5
47.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 51 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 5 yds to the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:1648% → 78%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
48.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 26 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
52.7%
Zach Westmoreland run for no gain to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
77.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 39 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2730% → 28%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Greg Desrosiers Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
70.0%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to T.Y. HardingSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+8
72.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 8 yds to the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:0774% → 92%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
74.4%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+20
76.1%
Samson Evans run for 20 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
78.0%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
78.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+10
77.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short right to Beydoun,Hassan PENALTY MASS Holding (Ferrell,Jalon) 10 yards from MASS37 to MASS27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
79.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
79.0%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+8
77.7%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
79.0%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
92.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4413% → 12%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
87.2%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
88.1%
Gino Campiotti pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4192% → 94%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
92.2%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
92.0%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
91.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Aaron JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 11
OPP 37
-5
90.5%
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MASS37 to MASS42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
94.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:3210% → 10%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+24
89.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
50
+2
87.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
87.3%
Gino Campiotti run for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
87.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
88.6%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.9%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
87.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+10
88.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
89.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
97.9%
Austin Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-1
97.7%
Austin Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-2
98.3%
Austin Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:12
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 39 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+25
TD · Q4 9:38
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+13.2
FG · Q3 12:35
Cameron Carson 47 yd FG GOOD
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com