Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 0 at Temple 28

TEM
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:00 · CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+6.8Home team on offense+26.9Score differential+19.4Garbage-time factor+7.0Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:04: Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the UMass 40 — TEM win probability +3.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:39: E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jakari Norwood — TEM win probability +3.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 11 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK) — TEM win probability +7.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:52: Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK) — TEM win probability +9.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:14: Layton Jordan 41 Yd Interception Return (Rory Bell Kick) — TEM win probability +7.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 12 of 15
  1. Q1 10:57MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:03MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:03MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:52TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:37MASS 4th & 1 at TEM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:57MASS 4th & 13 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:56TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:48MASS 4th & 3 at TEM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:33MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:40MASS 4th & 5 at TEM 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:07MASS 4th & 10 at TEM 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%
    28% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.1%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:53MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:25TEM 4th & 3 at MASS 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:18MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:00MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:50MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:39TEM 4th & 3 at MASS 21, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:41MASS 4th & 10 at TEM 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:47TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 46, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:05MASS 4th & 5 at TEM 46, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 1:54TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:52TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:14TEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:29TEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 8:2424% → 26%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
76.0%
Gino Campiotti sacked by Jordan Magee for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+9
75.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
75.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 13 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
75.6%
Gino Campiotti run for 12 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
75.1%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 3 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
75.2%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
75.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 17Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
74.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 17Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
74.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5775% → 75%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
75.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
75.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 9 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-5
74.9%
PENALTY TEM False Start (Mathis,D'Wan) 5 yards from TEM26 to TEM21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
74.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
74.6%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 3:3525% → 26%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
74.6%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
74.3%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
74.3%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jacob OrlandoSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.4%
George Johnson III run for 3 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
74.3%
Gino Campiotti run for 6 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+9
73.9%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 9 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
73.5%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
73.5%
Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
73.6%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
74.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0174% → 73%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
73.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the Temp 5Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+1
73.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 9
OWN 6
-5
73.4%
E.J. Warner sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 1Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 14
OWN 1
0
72.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0828% → 28%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
72.4%
PENALTY MAS False Start (Longman,Max) 5 yards from MAS45 to MAS40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+8
73.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 8 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
72.3%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+4
72.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
72.4%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:0574% → 74%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
74.0%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
73.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 8
50
+18
73.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 8 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyler Rudolph) to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
74.5%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
74.5%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jordan SmithSimilar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
73.8%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1028% → 28%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
71.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
71.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the UMass 13Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+6
72.2%
Gino Campiotti run for 6 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
72.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds , returns for no gain to the UMass 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5430% → 31%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
69.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
69.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
69.5%
Gino Campiotti pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5773% → 73%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
73.4%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
73.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to D'Wan Mathis for 1 yd to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
72.8%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:1730% → 33%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
69.8%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 8 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-5
68.7%
PENALTY MAS False Start (Longman,Max) 5 yards from MAS43 to MAS38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
68.6%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 9 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
68.0%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
67.5%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-10
67.6%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Baldwin Jr.,Tim rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEM45 (Wilson,Kobe; Turay,Lancine) PENALTY MAS Holding (Longman,Max) 10 yards from TEM48 to MAS42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+22
68.5%
Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Layton Jordan) to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
65.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
64.8%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 5 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
65.1%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
66.6%
Cameron Carson 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:4570% → 80%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jakari NorwoodSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
70.0%
Jakari Norwood run for 4 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+34
68.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 34 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
72.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
72.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 8 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
72.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+9
72.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 9 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
72.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
80.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 11 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 1:4722% → 21%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
76.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
77.1%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Rico Arnold for 10 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
76.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
75.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 8 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.2%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
75.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-5
76.2%
(00:18) PENALTY MAS False Start (Longman,Max) 5 yards from TEM38 to TEM43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
77.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 43
+3
79.0%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
80.1%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0878% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
78.2%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
77.9%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
77.2%
Quincy Patterson run for 8 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+30
76.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 30 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
80.0%
Darvon Hubbard run for 10 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
80.1%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Ian Stewart for 11 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
80.1%
Quincy Patterson run for 8 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+4
80.1%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
80.1%
Shotgun Warner,E.J. pass incomplete short right to Barbon,Jose PENALTY MAS Pass Interference (Ferrell,Jalon) 6 yards from MAS08 to MAS02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
80.1%
PENALTY TEM False Start (Quarshie,Wisdom) 5 yards from MAS02 to MAS07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
80.1%
Quincy Patterson run for 5 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.4%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5413% → 12%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
87.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
87.7%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-BrownSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+13
88.2%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 44 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 13 yds to the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2890% → 88%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
89.6%
E.J. Warner run for 5 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
88.1%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 7 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
88.3%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
88.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+4
87.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jakari Norwood for 4 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
88.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jakari NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-41
95.6%
Layton Jordan 41 Yd Interception Return (Rory Bell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:564% → 3%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
95.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
95.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the UMass 27 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcus Cushnie) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
95.9%
PENALTY MAS False Start (Igwenagu,Zukudo) 5 yards from MAS27 to MAS22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
96.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0397% → 98%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.7%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
96.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 8 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
96.8%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Marcus Cushnie) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.9%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+9
98.0%
Quincy Patterson run for 9 yds to the UMass 42 Quincy Patterson fumbled, recovered by UMass Nahji LoganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:153% → 2%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.1%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
97.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+1
97.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
98.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:3199% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+26
98.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 11 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Hugo Klages) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 50 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.8%
Zamar Wise run for no gain to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 5 yds to the UMass 13 Tim Baldwin Jr. fumbled, recovered by UMass Cameron Sullivan-BrownSimilar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 5
OWN 13
+12
99.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 12 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.8%
Quincy Patterson run for 1 yd to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
99.8%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 15 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.8%
Quincy Patterson run for 7 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
99.8%
Rory Bell 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:580% → 0%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Zamar Wise pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Zamar Wise run for 15 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
Zamar Wise run for 9 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
99.8%
Zamar Wise pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 20 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Zamar Wise run for no gain to the Temp 18Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-4
99.8%
Zamar Wise sacked by Muheem McCargo for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+37
99.9%
Cameron Carson 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+19
99.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 19 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+36
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 36 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
Zamar Wise sacked by Jacob Hollins for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+10
100.0%
Zamar Wise pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-3
99.9%
Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:52
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 1:54
E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 11 yds for a TD, (Rory Bell KICK)
+7.9
TD · Q3 6:14
Layton Jordan 41 Yd Interception Return (Rory Bell Kick)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com