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STBK

Stony Brook 3 at Massachusetts 20

MASS
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadSTBK aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreSTBK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:35 · CJ Kolodziey punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense+25.1Score differential+13.7Garbage-time factor+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:20: Jordan Mahoney 94 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick) — MASS win probability +10.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: STBK has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:22: Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UMass 47 — MASS win probability +3.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:49: Cameron Carson 29 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +7.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. INT · Q3 5:07: Gino Campiotti pass intercepted — MASS win probability +3.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:31: Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +3.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 12STBK made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:03STBK 4th & 14 at MASS 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:22MASS 4th & 7 at STBK 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:19STBK 4th & 16 at MASS 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:19MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:16MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:22MASS 4th & 11 at STBK 30, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.6%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    72.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:49MASS 4th & 5 at STBK 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:02STBK 4th & 1 at MASS 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−2.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:30STBK 4th & 3 at MASS 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.3
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:03STBK 4th & 2 at STBK 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:03MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:32MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:45STBK 4th & 10 at MASS 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−5.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:10STBK 4th & 8 at STBK 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:31MASS 4th & 3 at STBK 21, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−6.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:09STBK 4th & 7 at MASS 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:35MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:35STBK 4th & 18 at STBK 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:04STBK 4th & 18 at STBK 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:04MASS 4th & 1 at STBK 47, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:45MASS 4th & 1 at STBK 47, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:01STBK 4th & 7 at MASS 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:20MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STBKDrive 1PUNT
16 plays · 26 yds · 3:3743% → 42%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
57.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 12 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
57.0%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the StBrk 39Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+21
56.9%
Jayden Cook run for 21 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
56.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cletus Mathurin) to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
56.5%
Jayden Cook run for 4 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
56.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 10 yds to the UMass 16 STONY BROOK Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Zamot) to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 16
OPP 36
0
56.9%
Daron Bryden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+2
57.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 14
OPP 34
0
57.4%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Tyler DeveraSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+9
56.4%
Jayden Cook run for 9 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lawton,Ty Son rush right for 10 yards gain to the UMA16, out of bounds at UMA16 PENALTY SBU Holding 10 yards from UMA26 to UMA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+10
56.9%
Jayden Cook run for 10 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
56.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 18
OPP 34
0
57.1%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Tyler DeveraSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
57.6%
Clayton Taylor punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 51 yds · 5:0459% → 61%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
58.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 5 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+21
58.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 21 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
59.1%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
59.2%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 6 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
59.4%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 2 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
59.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Rico Arnold for 11 yds to the StBrk 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
59.8%
Gregory Desrosiers run for 2 yds to the StBrk 46Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
59.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the StBrk 45Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
59.5%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Jacob OrlandoSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
60.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the StBrk 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 6:4558% → 62%
Q1 10:03
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
57.8%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
60.6%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+11
60.4%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 11 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
60.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+10
60.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
61.5%
Gino Campiotti run for 15 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
61.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the StBrk 33Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+11
61.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 11 yds to the StBrk 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
61.7%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 7 yds to the StBrk 15Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+3
61.7%
George Johnson III run for 3 yds to the StBrk 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:0340% → 38%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
60.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the StBrk 34Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+22
60.3%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 22 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
59.2%
Jayden Cook run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
59.6%
Jayden Cook run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
59.7%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Jadon Turner for 8 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
58.9%
Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
59.0%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 34
-5
60.3%
PENALTY SBU False Start (Lawton,Ty Son) 5 yards from UMA34 to UMA39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
61.1%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
62.4%
Clayton Taylor punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0362% → 61%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
62.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
62.3%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Isaiah HolinessSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-11
61.7%
Gino Campiotti sacked by Dakar Edwards for a loss of 11 yards to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
61.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 22Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
61.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 6INT TD
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:5641% → 30%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
59.4%
Joshua Zamot run for 4 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
59.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+15
60.4%
Joshua Zamot run for 15 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
59.4%
PENALTY SBU False Start (Tunc,Collin) 5 yards from UMA02 to UMA07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
59.4%
Joshua Zamot pass incomplete to Tyler DeveraSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
59.4%
Joshua Zamot sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 11Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-94
69.7%
Jordan Mahoney 94 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 7INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:5830% → 29%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
70.5%
STONY BROOK Penalty, False Start (Niko Papic) to the StBrk 30Similar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+2
70.8%
Jayden Cook run for 2 yds to the StBrk 32Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+13
70.9%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 13 yds to the StBrk 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
70.8%
Daron Bryden pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:3374% → 82%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.3%
Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+24
74.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 24 yds to the StBrk 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
74.6%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the StBrk 28Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
74.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the StBrk 31Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+1
73.8%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Gregory Desrosiers for 1 yd to the StBrk 30Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+14
72.9%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 14 yds to the StBrk 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
74.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the StBrk 15Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+6
74.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the StBrk 9Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
74.0%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the StBrk 11Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
81.9%
Cameron Carson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 9FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:1921% → 22%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
79.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the StBrk 39Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+14
80.0%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 14 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.6%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
79.2%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 8 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
78.4%
Joshua Zamot run for 1 yd to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+20
79.8%
Joshua Zamot pass complete to Tyler Devera for 20 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
78.2%
Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
78.2%
Joshua Zamot run for 5 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+1
79.1%
Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the UMass 11Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
77.6%
Angelo Guglielmello 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:3082% → 82%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the StBrk 47Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
80.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
80.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+40
81.8%
Cameron Carson 55 yd FG MISSED , Ty Son Lawton return for 40 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5721% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.1%
Jayden Cook run for no gain to the StBrk 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.2%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for no gain to the StBrk 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.5%
Daron Bryden run for 8 yds to the StBrk 33Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.1%
Clayton Taylor punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3182% → 83%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
81.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 11 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
82.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
82.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
81.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+9
80.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Shawn Harris Jr. returns for 9 yds to the StBrk 18Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+9
82.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Shawn Harris Jr. returns for 9 yds to the StBrk 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:4718% → 17%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+44
81.9%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 44 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
79.7%
Jayden Cook run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+7
79.8%
Jadon Turner run for 7 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
80.9%
Joshua Zamot pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
81.2%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
82.2%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Tyler DeveraSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
83.4%
Angelo Guglielmello 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3886% → 89%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
86.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
85.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
85.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
86.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Josiah Johnson) to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+7
86.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
86.0%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 6 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
86.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.1%
Gino Campiotti pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5713% → 11%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
87.2%
Jadon Turner run for 1 yd to the StBrk 8Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+6
87.4%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 6 yds to the StBrk 14Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-5
86.9%
STONY BROOK Penalty, False Start (Shawn Harris Jr.) to the StBrk 9Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
87.6%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+8
89.4%
Clayton Taylor punt for 41 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 8 yds to the StBrk 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:3991% → 94%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
90.6%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 3 yds to the StBrk 39Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+11
90.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 11 yds to the StBrk 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
90.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the StBrk 29Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
90.6%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+8
90.4%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Gregory Desrosiers for 8 yds to the StBrk 21Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
94.1%
Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:517% → 6%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the StBrk 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
93.5%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Tyler Devera for 23 yds to the StBrk 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
93.0%
Jayden Cook run for no gain to the StBrk 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
93.0%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to RJ LamarreSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+3
93.1%
Jadon Turner run for 3 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Clayton Taylor punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:3496% → 96%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
95.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
95.7%
Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
95.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:315% → 4%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
95.1%
Jayden Cook run for 23 yds to the StBrk 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
94.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Jayden rush left for 0 yards to the SBU42 (Wallace,Josh), out of bounds PENALTY SBU Holding (Lucas,Cameron) 10 yards from SBU42 to SBU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+9
95.1%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Khalil Newton for 9 yds to the StBrk 41Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
94.8%
Daron Bryden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-7
95.2%
Daron Bryden sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 7 yards to the StBrk 34Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+17
95.3%
Clayton Taylor punt for 49 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+17
96.3%
Clayton Taylor punt for 49 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:1997% → 98%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
96.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+3
96.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
97.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the StBrk 48Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
96.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the StBrk 47Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
96.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 ydsSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
98.2%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 21DOWNS
17 plays · 46 yds · 3:442% → 2%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.8%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 3 yds to the StBrk 20Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+14
97.8%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 14 yds to the StBrk 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.6%
Daron Bryden run for 6 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+1
97.6%
Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the StBrk 41Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
97.6%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+5
97.6%
PENALTY UMA Disconcerting Signals (Turner,Myles) 5 yards from SBU41 to SBU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Daron Bryden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
97.8%
PENALTY SBU False Start (El,Rah'Khem) 5 yards from SBU46 to SBU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+9
98.0%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Tyler Devera for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 6
50
+10
97.8%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Tyler Devera for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
97.6%
Daron Bryden pass complete to Kevonne Wilder for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
97.5%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to RJ LamarreSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Jadon TurnerSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
98.2%
Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.5%
Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-1
99.5%
Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:20
Jordan Mahoney 94 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick)
+10.2
FG · Q2 2:49
Cameron Carson 29 yd FG GOOD
+7.9
FG · Q3 0:31
Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com