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IDST

Idaho State 7 at San Diego State 38

SDSU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:11 · Ian Hershey punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 1 yd to the SDSt 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+9.5Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+22.1Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:01: Braxton Burmeister 47 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick) — SDSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:48: Jordan Byrd 53 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick) — SDSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:32: Hunter Hays pass incomplete — IDST win probability +2.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:32: Jack Browning 20 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:35: Tyrell Shavers 14 Yd pass from Braxton Burmeister (Jack Browning Kick) — SDSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 10IDST made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 13:58SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:58IDST 4th & 8 at IDST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:37IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:50SDSU 4th & 17 at SDSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:11IDST 4th & 1 at IDST 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:50IDST 4th & 3 at SDSU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:43SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:18IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:18SDSU 4th & 1 at IDST 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:11SDSU 4th & 8 at IDST 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:11SDSU 4th & 8 at IDST 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:20IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:37SDSU 4th & 8 at IDST 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:42IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 11:42IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:02IDST 4th & 2 at SDSU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−3.8
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:32SDSU 4th & 2 at IDST 2, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−3.5
    average punt
  20. Q3 0:23SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:17IDST 4th & 10 at SDSU 41, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:11IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:58IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:58IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IDST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:46IDST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:58SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:01SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:48SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:35SDSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:22SDSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDSTDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:143% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.1%
Xavier Guillory 75 Yd pass from Tyler Vander Waal (Ian Hershey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jesse Matthews for no gain to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
96.9%
Jack Browning punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Christian Fredrickson at the IdaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 3PUNT TD
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:003% → 3%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
96.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 19Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+4
96.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
96.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 9 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-2
96.9%
Raiden Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 3
OWN 30
-5
96.9%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Xavier Guillory) to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+66
96.7%
Jordan Byrd 66 Yd Punt Return (Jack Browning Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:213% → 4%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
96.6%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Daniel Okpoko for a loss of 6 yards to the IdaSt 19Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+9
96.7%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 9 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.4%
Ian Hershey punt for 27 yds , Chris Johnson returns for no gain to the SDSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:4797% → 96%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
96.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Cam Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+1
96.5%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 45Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
96.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brionne Penny for 11 yds to the IdaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
96.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Chance Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
96.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Chance Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
96.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-5
96.4%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 49Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
95.8%
Jack Browning punt for 44 yds, downed at the IdaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:394% → 4%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
95.8%
Hunter Hays run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 1
OWN 16
0
95.9%
Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
95.9%
Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
95.6%
Ian Hershey punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 1:1096% → 96%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.6%
Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Cam Davis for 6 yds to the IdaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
96.1%
Braxton Burmeister 47 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:164% → 5%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 2 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 14 yds to the IdaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 14 yds to the IdaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
95.8%
Benjamin Omayebu run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+5
95.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Dezjhon Malone) to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-10
95.7%
OMAYEBU, Benjamin rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the ISU50 (LAKALAKA, Seyddrick). PENALTY ISU Holding on WALLACE, Cyrus enforced 10 yards from the ISU45 to the ISU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+6
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 6 yds to the IdaSt 41Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+5
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 5 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+10
95.3%
Ian Hershey punt for 39 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 10 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5795% → 96%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.4%
Kenan Christon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 23Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
95.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Darius De Los Reyes for 8 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
95.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Darius De Los Reyes for 8 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+16
94.9%
Jack Browning run for 26 yds to the SANDIEGOST 43 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mekhi Shaw) to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
96.4%
Jordan Byrd 53 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:524% → 4%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
95.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
50
+8
95.8%
Raiden Hunter run for 8 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
95.7%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
95.7%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 3 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
95.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 9 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
95.6%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+18
95.7%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 18 yds to the SDSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
95.6%
Benjamin Omayebu run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-3
95.7%
Raiden Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 16Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+11
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 11 yds to the SDSt 5Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 3
OPP 5
0
95.7%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:0796% → 96%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
96.2%
Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 7Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+9
96.2%
Chance Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
96.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for 9 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+5
96.3%
Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 6 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+2
96.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
95.8%
Jack Browning punt for 59 yds, downed at the IdaSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:254% → 4%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
95.8%
Hunter Hays sacked by Michael Shawcroft for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+3
95.8%
Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 4Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
95.9%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+46
95.9%
Ian Hershey punt for 46 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 12 yds · 4:0796% → 96%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
96.1%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
96.1%
Cam Davis run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
96.0%
Cam Davis run for no gain to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+1
95.8%
Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
96.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on ULUAVE, Alama enforced (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-3
96.0%
Kenan Christon run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 18
OPP 49
0
96.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-3
96.0%
Kenan Christon run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 18
OPP 49
0
96.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+10
95.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Chance Bell for 10 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
95.7%
Jack Browning punt for 38 yds, downed at the IdaSt 1Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
95.7%
Jack Browning punt for 38 yds, downed at the IdaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
95.6%
Benjamin Omayebu run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 5Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
95.4%
Benjamin Omayebu run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
95.5%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
95.6%
Ian Hershey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the IdaSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4396% → 96%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
96.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 7 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
96.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-5
96.2%
BYRD, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the ISU30 (SANCHEZ, Kris;MORRIS-WALKER, Quantraill). PENALTY Before the snap, SDS Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the ISU39 to the ISU44. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
96.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
96.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
95.9%
Jack Browning punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:4096% → 96%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
95.7%
Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
95.7%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+16
95.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for 16 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 21 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Jihad Brown for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, Holding Personal Foul on MORRIS-WALKER, Quantraill enforced ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
95.0%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
95.1%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
95.2%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
95.3%
punt for 2 yds, downed at the IdaSt 23Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
95.3%
punt for 2 yds, downed at the IdaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3696% → 96%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
95.7%
Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-1
95.6%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 19 Jordan Byrd fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Raemo TrevinoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 5:045% → 7%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
94.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 4 yds to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
94.8%
Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
94.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
94.7%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 5 yds to the IdaSt 35Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
94.5%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
94.7%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 5 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
94.5%
IDAHO ST Penalty, False Start (Owen Stewart) to the IdaSt 35Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+14
94.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 14 yds to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
94.1%
Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
94.3%
Raiden Hunter run for 11 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
94.2%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 25 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.8%
Hunter Hays run for no gain to the SDSt 15Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+8
93.8%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 8 yds to the SDSt 7Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
92.4%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 2
OPP 7
0
93.0%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for no gain to the SDSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:3094% → 97%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+23
94.4%
Jaylon Armstead run for 23 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.7%
Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
94.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+34
94.8%
Kenan Christon run for 34 yds to the IdaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.2%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 22Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+13
95.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 13 yds to the IdaSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
95.2%
Kenan Christon run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 2Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.2%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the IdaSt 2Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
97.0%
Jack Browning 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 22PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.6%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.6%
Hunter Hays pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1897% → 97%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.2%
Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brionne Penny for 5 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Jack Browning punt for 58 yds, downed at the IdaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:063% → 3%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
96.9%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the IdaSt 0Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
96.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
97.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Noah Avinger) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.5%
Keoua Kauhi run for no gain to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.5%
Keoua Kauhi run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
96.6%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Keshawn Banks) to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+15
96.5%
GRONAUER, Sagan pass to the left incomplete intended for WALLACE, Cyrus broken up by CELESTINE, Davaughn at the SDS30. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on CELESTINE, Davaughn enforced 15 yards to the SDS41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.4%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Chedon James for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+4
96.4%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 4 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-3
96.5%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 41Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Ian Hershey punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4298% → 100%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
97.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 16 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.9%
Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
98.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
50
+4
98.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Mark Redman for 4 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+30
98.0%
Cam Davis run for 15 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Quantraill Morris-Walker) to the IdaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
98.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 14Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
Tyrell Shavers 14 Yd pass from Braxton Burmeister (Jack Browning Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Keoua Kauhi run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Keoua Kauhi run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Sagan Gronauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
Ian Hershey punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 1 yd to the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+61
99.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 61 yds to the IdaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 5Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.6%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Cam Davis 3 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:240% → 0%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 41Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-3
99.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Keoua Kauhi run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Ian Hershey punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the SDSt 16Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Ian Hershey punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the SDSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
100.0%
Martin Blake run for 9 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 1
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Martin Blake run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 24Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Martin Blake run for 6 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Martin Blake run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:32
Hunter Hays pass incomplete
-2.4
TD · Q2 14:48
Jordan Byrd 53 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick)
+1.5
TD · Q4 8:35
Tyrell Shavers 14 Yd pass from Braxton Burmeister (Jack Browning Kick)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com