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IDST

Idaho State 21 at UNLV 52

UNLV
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:11 · A.Robbins rushed to IDS 9 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Ike at IDS 9.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+39.8Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:23: T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 45. Catch made by J.Johnson at IDS 45. Gain of 55 yards. J.Johnson for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — IDST win probability +2.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 13:08: A.Robbins rushed to IDS End Zone for 2 yards. A.Robbins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNLV win probability +2.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:38: D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 28. Catch made by R.White at UNLV 28. Gain of 72 yards. R.White for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNLV win probability +4.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:02: D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 9. Catch made by K.Williams at IDS 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Williams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNLV win probability +2.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:28: D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 19. Catch made by R.White at IDS 19. Gain of 19 yards. R.White for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNLV win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 4IDST made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:11UNLV 4th & 2 at IDST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:44IDST 4th & 1 at UNLV 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:57UNLV 4th & 1 at IDST 21, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:36IDST 4th & 12 at IDST 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:32IDST 4th & 4 at IDST 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:47IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:52UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 47, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:48IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 17, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:27IDST 4th & 1 at UNLV 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:54UNLV 4th & 5 at IDST 41, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:19IDST 4th & 2 at UNLV 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:00IDST 4th & 3 at UNLV 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:21IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:48IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IDST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:18UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:23IDST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:08UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:38UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:02UNLV Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:28UNLV Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:48UNLV Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:10IDST Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:00IDST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:10UNLV Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:3592% → 91%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
91.5%
A.Robbins rushed to UNLV 50 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Gonzalez at UNLV 50.Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 7
OPP 0
+11
91.4%
D.Brumfield scrambles to IDS 39 for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Gonzalez at IDS 39.Similar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
91.3%
D.Brumfield rushed to IDS 42 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, forced by IDS. Fumble RECOVERED by IDS-J.Weimer at IDS 42. Tackled by UNLV at IDS 42.Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+21
91.2%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 42. Catch made by S.Zeon at IDS 42. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by Q.Morris-Walker at IDS 21.Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
91.1%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 18 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Jones; T.Gonzalez at IDS 18.Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
91.0%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 15 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hagler at IDS 15.Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
90.8%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 15. Catch made by S.Zeon at IDS 15. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by C.Pitcher at IDS 13.Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+4
90.6%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 9 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Ike at IDS 9.Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
90.6%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 7 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Brown; C.Ike at IDS 7.Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
90.4%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 1 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Pitcher at IDS 1.Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.9%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS End Zone for 1 yards. A.Robbins for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2INT
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:329% → 10%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory.Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.7%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by N.Fahina; A.Ajiake at IDS 26.Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+34
90.7%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 26. Catch made by X.Guillory at IDS 26. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at UNLV 40.Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.3%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory. PENALTY on IDS-O.Stewart, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+5
90.4%
R.Hunter rushed to UNLV 40 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Ajiake; T.Malakius at UNLV 40.Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.2%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to UNLV 40. Catch made by J.Johnson at UNLV 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by UNLV at UNLV 33.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
90.0%
S.Gasu rushed to UNLV 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Plant; T.Holloway at UNLV 31.Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
90.1%
T.Vander Waal rushed to UNLV 29 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson; A.Ajiake at UNLV 29.Similar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.6%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory.Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
89.6%
T.Vander Waal pass INTERCEPTED at UNLV 23. Intercepted by A.Ajiake at UNLV 23. Tackled by T.Vander Waal at IDS 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3491% → 90%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
90.5%
D.Brumfield steps back to pass. D.Brumfield sacked at IDS 31 for -1 yards (D.Hagler)Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 21
OPP 41
+20
90.2%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 41. Catch made by R.White at IDS 41. Gain of 20 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Pitcher at IDS 21.Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
90.2%
D.Brumfield steps back to pass. D.Brumfield pass incomplete intended for J.Weimer.Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
90.3%
D.Gutierrez 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-W.Hardan, Holder-C.Butt.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2910% → 13%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.8%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Holloway; A.Ajiake at IDS 30.Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
89.8%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Holloway; A.Ajiake at IDS 32.Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
89.8%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Ehimare at IDS 35.Similar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.7%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Ehimare; L.Bell at IDS 37.Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
89.6%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 37. Catch made by X.Guillory at IDS 37. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by UNLV at IDS 44.Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
89.3%
S.Gasu rushed to IDS 45 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson; K.Beaudry at IDS 45.Similar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
87.1%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 45. Catch made by J.Johnson at IDS 45. Gain of 55 yards. J.Johnson for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0787% → 90%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.4%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 25. Catch made by R.White at UNLV 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Alford; J.Genova at UNLV 31.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
87.6%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 31. Catch made by J.Weimer at UNLV 31. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by J.Brown at UNLV 44.Similar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+32
87.7%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 44. Catch made by J.Weimer at UNLV 44. Gain of 32 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Ike at IDS 24.Similar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
88.0%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 24 for 0 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Hagler at IDS 24.Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
87.8%
D.Brumfield steps back to pass. D.Brumfield pass incomplete intended for S.Zeon.Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+22
87.4%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 24. Catch made by R.White at IDS 24. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by Q.Morris-Walker at IDS 2.Similar
Q2 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.9%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS End Zone for 2 yards. A.Robbins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:2611% → 11%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.4%
S.Gasu rushed to IDS 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by A.Plant; E.Shelton at IDS 24.Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
89.3%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 24. Catch made by X.Guillory at IDS 24. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by UNLV at IDS 37.Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
88.9%
S.Gasu rushed to IDS 36 for -1 yards. Tackled by A.Plant; E.Shelton at IDS 36.Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+4
88.8%
S.Gasu rushed to IDS 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Plant; A.Ajiake at IDS 40.Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
88.9%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal pass incomplete intended for C.Fredrickson. PENALTY on IDS-T.Carey, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
89.3%
PENALTY on IDS-IDS, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+45
89.5%
I.Hershey punts 45 yards to UNLV 20, Center-IDS. Downed by S.Dailey.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4589% → 94%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.0%
A.Robbins rushed to UNLV 20 for yards. Tackled by Q.Morris-Walker; K.Sanchez at UNLV 20. PENALTY on UNLV-T.Shanks, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
88.9%
D.Brumfield steps back to pass. D.Brumfield pass incomplete intended for K.Williams.Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+18
88.9%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 10. Catch made by R.White at UNLV 10. Gain of 18 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Brown at UNLV 28.Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+72
93.5%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 28. Catch made by R.White at UNLV 28. Gain of 72 yards. R.White for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8BLOCKED PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:577% → 7%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.9%
H.Hays rushed to IDS 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Beaudry; T.Malakius at IDS 28.Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
92.8%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal sacked at IDS 24 for -4 yards (I.Sayles)Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
93.1%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 24. Catch made by S.Dailey at IDS 24. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at IDS 31.Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
92.9%
I.Hershey punts yards to IDS 31, Center-IDS. D.Walden blocked the kick. UNLV recovered the blocked kick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:2394% → 96%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
93.6%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 31. Catch made by K.Williams at IDS 31. Gain of 22 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Alford at IDS 9.Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 9
OWN 9
+9
95.9%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 9. Catch made by K.Williams at IDS 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Williams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:024% → 4%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.6%
T.Vander Waal pass complete to IDS 25. Catch made by J.Johnson at IDS 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by N.Williams at IDS 32.Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
95.4%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 30 for -2 yards. Tackled by E.Shelton at IDS 30.Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.5%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal pass incomplete intended for C.Fredrickson.Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+49
95.7%
I.Hershey punts 49 yards to UNLV 21, Center-IDS. N.Williams returned punt from the UNLV 21. Tackled by J.Boone; K.Sanchez at UNLV 27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:0596% → 99%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
96.2%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 27. Catch made by K.Williams at UNLV 27. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by Q.Morris-Walker; V.Gasu at UNLV 43.Similar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
96.4%
A.Robbins rushed to IDS 46 for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Pitcher at IDS 46.Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
96.5%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 46. Catch made by J.Weimer at IDS 46. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by C.Ike at IDS 40.Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+21
96.5%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 40. Catch made by K.Williams at IDS 40. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by Q.Morris-Walker at IDS 19.Similar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.8%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 19. Catch made by R.White at IDS 19. Gain of 19 yards. R.White for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
98.9%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 38. Catch made by R.White at UNLV 38. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by J.Alford; C.Ike at IDS 49.Similar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.0%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 49. Catch made by J.Weimer at IDS 49. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by V.Gasu; T.Tuioti at IDS 37.Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.0%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 37. Catch made by J.Weimer at IDS 37. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by IDS at IDS 29.Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
99.0%
D.Brumfield steps back to pass. D.Brumfield pass incomplete intended for K.Ballungay.Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+12
98.9%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 29. Catch made by R.White at IDS 29. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by C.Pitcher; T.Payne at IDS 17.Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.1%
D.Brumfield scrambles to IDS 14 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by P.Helu at IDS 14.Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
99.1%
D.Brumfield steps back to pass. D.Brumfield pass incomplete intended for R.White. PENALTY on IDS-P.Helu, Personal Foul / Defense, 7 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.3%
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 7. Catch made by A.Robbins at IDS 7. Gain of 7 yards. A.Robbins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.2%
T.Vander Waal rushed to IDS 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Shelton at IDS 36.Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.2%
T.Vander Waal steps back to pass. T.Vander Waal pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1899% → 100%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.4%
C.Reese rushed to UNLV 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hagler at UNLV 42.Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
99.5%
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 42. Catch made by K.Ballungay at UNLV 42. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Hagler at UNLV 47.Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
99.5%
H.Bailey steps back to pass. H.Bailey pass incomplete intended for K.Ballungay.Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+41
99.5%
M.Nichols punts 41 yards to IDS 12, Center-W.Hardan. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.5%
H.Hays pass complete to IDS 12. Catch made by C.Wallace at IDS 12. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at IDS 17.Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
99.5%
R.Hunter rushed to IDS 17 for 0 yards. Tackled by I.Sayles; F.Thompkins at IDS 17.Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
99.5%
H.Hays steps back to pass. H.Hays pass incomplete intended for C.Wallace.Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+65
99.5%
I.Hershey punts 65 yards to UNLV 18, Center-IDS. Downed by S.Dailey.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 16TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:430% → 0%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.7%
H.Hays pass complete to IDS 48. Catch made by B.Omayebu at IDS 48. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at UNLV 43.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
99.7%
S.Gasu rushed to UNLV 40 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Baldwin at UNLV 40. PENALTY on IDS-T.Clemons, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 0
0
99.6%
H.Hays steps back to pass. H.Hays pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory. PENALTY on UNLV-C.Oliver, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.7%
S.Gasu rushed to UNLV 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Holloway at UNLV 30.Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
S.Gasu rushed to UNLV 27 for 3 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins; A.Plant at UNLV 27.Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
99.7%
S.Gasu rushed to UNLV 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Shelton at UNLV 26.Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+8
99.6%
H.Hays rushed to UNLV 18 for 8 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at UNLV 18.Similar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.7%
R.Hunter rushed to UNLV 16 for 2 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at UNLV 16.Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
99.7%
H.Hays pass complete to UNLV 16. Catch made by C.Wallace at UNLV 16. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at UNLV 10. PENALTY on UNLV-F.Thompkins, Personal Foul / Defense, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
H.Hays rushed to UNLV 5 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Plant at UNLV 5.Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
H.Hays steps back to pass. H.Hays pass incomplete intended for C.Wallace.Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
H.Hays scrambles to UNLV End Zone for 5 yards. H.Hays for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.7%
C.Reese rushed to UNLV 42 for 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Q.Morris-Walker at UNLV 42.Similar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
H.Bailey steps back to pass. H.Bailey pass incomplete intended for Z.Griffin.Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
C.Reese rushed to UNLV 46 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Sanchez at UNLV 46.Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
H.Bailey scrambles to IDS 44 for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Hagler at IDS 44.Similar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.8%
H.Bailey rushed to IDS 44 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Sanchez at IDS 44.Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
99.8%
H.Bailey pass complete to IDS 44. Catch made by C.Reese at IDS 44. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by T.Gonzalez at IDS 41.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
99.8%
H.Bailey steps back to pass. H.Bailey pass incomplete intended for K.Ballungay.Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-8
99.8%
H.Bailey steps back to pass. H.Bailey sacked at IDS 49 for -8 yards (C.Horton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 18TD
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:490% → 1%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
H.Hays rushed to IDS 49 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Williams at IDS 49.Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
H.Hays pass complete to IDS 49. Catch made by B.Omayebu at IDS 49. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by I.Sayles; J.Morgan at UNLV 42.Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-1
99.8%
R.Hunter rushed to UNLV 43 for -1 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at UNLV 43.Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
H.Hays pass complete to UNLV 43. Catch made by C.Wallace at UNLV 43. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Williams at UNLV 39.Similar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
H.Hays steps back to pass. H.Hays pass incomplete intended for C.Fredrickson.Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
R.Hunter rushed to UNLV 35 for 4 yards. Tackled by F.Thompkins at UNLV 35.Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
H.Hays pass complete to UNLV 35. Catch made by C.Wallace at UNLV 35. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by O.Egbase at UNLV 26.Similar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.9%
R.Hunter rushed to UNLV 21 for 5 yards. Tackled by I.Sayles; F.Thompkins at UNLV 21.Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
99.8%
H.Hays rushed to UNLV 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by L.Pleasant-Johnson at UNLV 19.Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
99.9%
H.Hays steps back to pass. H.Hays pass incomplete intended for C.James.Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+19
99.0%
H.Hays pass complete to UNLV 19. Catch made by X.Guillory at UNLV 19. Gain of 19 yards. X.Guillory for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
99.1%
B.Omayebu rushed to IDS 27 for -3 yards. Tackled by M.McDuffie at IDS 27.Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
99.2%
H.Hays steps back to pass. H.Hays pass incomplete intended for C.Wallace.Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+4
99.2%
H.Hays scrambles to IDS 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by M.McDuffie at IDS 31.Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+35
99.4%
I.Hershey punts 35 yards to UNLV 34, Center-J.Brusatto. Fair catch by J.Weimer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 2:0499% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+47
99.2%
C.Reese rushed to IDS 19 for 47 yards. Tackled by C.Pitcher; C.Minor at IDS 19.Similar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
99.3%
C.Friel steps back to pass. C.Friel sacked at IDS 23 for -4 yards (S.Tatafu)Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+9
99.4%
C.Friel pass complete to IDS 23. Catch made by Z.Griffin at IDS 23. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Davis at IDS 14.Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
C.Friel pass complete to IDS 14. Catch made by Z.Griffin at IDS 14. Gain of 14 yards. Z.Griffin for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
B.Omayebu rushed to IDS 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by L.Bell at IDS 29.Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
B.Omayebu rushed to IDS 30 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Williams at IDS 30.Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
S.Gronauer steps back to pass. S.Gronauer pass incomplete intended for O.Hussey.Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+39
100.0%
I.Hershey punts 39 yards to UNLV 31, Center-J.Brusatto. Fair catch by J.Weimer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
J.Younge-Humphrey rushed to UNLV 30 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hagler; Z.Conner at UNLV 30.Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+30
99.9%
J.Younge-Humphrey rushed to IDS 40 for 30 yards. Tackled by J.Brown at IDS 40.Similar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
J.Younge-Humphrey rushed to IDS 31 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Brown at IDS 31.Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+9
100.0%
J.Younge-Humphrey rushed to IDS 22 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Pitcher; J.Genova at IDS 22.Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
100.0%
J.Wilson rushed to IDS 15 for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Hagler at IDS 15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:38
D.Brumfield pass complete to UNLV 28. Catch made by R.White at UNLV 28. Gain of 72 yards. R.White for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+4.7
TD · Q2 13:08
A.Robbins rushed to IDS End Zone for 2 yards. A.Robbins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.4
TD · Q2 7:02
D.Brumfield pass complete to IDS 9. Catch made by K.Williams at IDS 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Williams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com