Try the model
SYR

Syracuse 32 at Boston College 23

BC
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.7BC 57.9%Andre Szmyt 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 10 · Q3 1:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:34 · Andre Szmyt 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior−7.1Home team on offense+3.6Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:58: Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +17.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:56: Devaughn Cooper 8 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — SYR win probability +21.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 7:05: Damien Alford 58 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — SYR win probability +30.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:29: Sean Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +22.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:07: Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmett Morehead pass to Ozzy Trapilo for Two-Point Conversion) — BC win probability +4.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:30BC 4th & 4 at SYR 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.5%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:50SYR 4th & 5 at BC 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:57BC 4th & 10 at SYR 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:57SYR 4th & 25 at SYR 17, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:57SYR 4th & 25 at SYR 17, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:02BC 4th & 21 at SYR 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−2.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:18SYR 4th & 10 at BC 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:37BC 4th & 12 at SYR 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:34SYR 4th & 12 at BC 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−3.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−12.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:55BC 4th & 17 at BC 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−7.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:48BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:47BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:58BC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:56SYR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:05SYR Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.2%−1.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:29SYR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−4.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:35SYR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:07BC Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.4%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4474% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
26.0%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
26.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-3
26.4%
Garrett Shrader sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4626% → 27%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
26.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
26.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
26.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
26.9%
Connor Lytton 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
26.9%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+6
26.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 6 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
26.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-5
27.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:1328% → 30%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
28.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
28.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
29.6%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:5771% → 68%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
29.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 14 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
28.9%
Sean Tucker run for 19 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
28.8%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+10
28.7%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
28.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-7
28.6%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kam Arnold for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+8
28.9%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-7
28.6%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kam Arnold for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+8
28.9%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
32.3%
Andre Szmyt 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:5333% → 36%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
32.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
32.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Spencer Witter for 7 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
33.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Encroachment on LINTON, Steve enforced (Steve Linton) to the BC 38Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+33
33.4%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 33 yds to the BOSTONCOLL 29 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Darian Chestnut) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
33.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-3
33.6%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
33.2%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
35.9%
Connor Lytton 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 3:5765% → 61%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
34.8%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-10
34.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Damien Alford) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 25
OWN 17
0
35.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for 0 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-10
34.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Damien Alford) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 25
OWN 17
0
35.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for 0 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
37.9%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 41 yds, downed at the BC 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-3
39.3%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Edwin Kolenge for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
16 plays · 23 yds · 7:3239% → 47%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
39.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
39.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
40.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
40.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
40.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
40.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
40.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 4 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-1
40.9%
Alex Broome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+7
40.3%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
40.9%
Zay Flowers run for no gain to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
40.9%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-10
40.2%
MOREHEAD, Emmett pass to the left complete for -2 yards to GARWO, Patrick caught at the SYR28 and advanced to the SYR27 (CHESTNUT, Duce). PENALTY BOS Holding on TRAPILO, Ozzy enforced 10 yards from the SYR25 to the SYR35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 35
+5
39.8%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 30
-5
38.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Izaiah Henderson) to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 21
OPP 35
0
44.6%
Sam Candotti punt for 30 yds, downed at the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
46.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FG
19 plays · 66 yds · 6:4453% → 51%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
46.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Enrique Cruz Jr.) to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+17
46.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
46.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 12 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
46.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 19 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
44.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+6
45.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+5
44.9%
QB Keeper SHRADER, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the BOS43 (DEPALMA, Vinny). PENALTY BOS Offsides on BANKS, Khris enforced 5 yards from the BOS45 to the BOS40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
44.6%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
45.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+9
44.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
43.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 4 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
43.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the BC 24Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
43.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the BC 24Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-5
52.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 29Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
51.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
50.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
49.4%
Andre Szmyt 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:2250% → 50%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.6%
Alex Broome run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
49.8%
Emmett Morehead sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 20 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anwar Sparrow) to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11Uncategorized
12 plays · -2 yds · 1:2755% → 48%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
45.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 10 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
44.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 8 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
44.4%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
44.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 6 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 6
-6
45.3%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 12Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-10
48.8%
SHRADER, Garrett pass to the right complete for 12 yards to GADSDEN II, Oronde caught at the BOS0 and advanced to the BOS0, TOUCHDOWN SYR, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:51. PENALTY SYR Holding on ELLIS, Kalan enforced 10 yards from the BOS12 to the BOS22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 20
OPP 22
-15
50.6%
SHRADER, Garrett pass to the left incomplete intended for GADSDEN II, Oronde broken up by BURTON, CJ at the BOS0. PENALTY SYR Personal Foul on CRUZ, Enrique enforced 15 yards from the BOS22 to the BOS37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 20
OPP 22
-15
50.6%
SHRADER, Garrett pass to the left incomplete intended for GADSDEN II, Oronde broken up by BURTON, CJ at the BOS0. PENALTY SYR Personal Foul on CRUZ, Enrique enforced 15 yards from the BOS22 to the BOS37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 35
OPP 37
0
52.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:2957% → 58%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
56.6%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 8 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
57.7%
Emmett Morehead run for 9 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
57.3%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 6 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+12
57.1%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 12 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+45
58.1%
Connor Lytton 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 31 yds · 6:1755% → 62%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
54.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
56.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
55.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
56.6%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 6 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
56.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
57.1%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-3
57.1%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+8
56.0%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 8 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
57.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
57.3%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-10
55.9%
MOREHEAD, Emmett scrambles up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the SYR20 (LOWERY, Leon). PENALTY BOS Holding on HESS, Otto enforced 10 yards from the SYR35 to the SYR45 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+8
54.4%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 8 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+8
54.4%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 8 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
61.5%
Sam Candotti punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 7:0340% → 42%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+23
60.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 23 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
58.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Marcus Valdez for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+14
59.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 14 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
57.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 26 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
53.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 19 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
53.2%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
53.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 3 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 1
OPP 7
-4
55.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Carlos Vettorello) to the BC 11Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+8
55.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 8 yds to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.2%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the BC 3Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
53.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Carlos Vettorello) to the BC 8Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
55.2%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 12Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
57.9%
Andre Szmyt 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:2661% → 85%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
61.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+12
61.2%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 12 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
64.0%
Emmett Morehead run for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
65.8%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+30
64.1%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 30 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
67.8%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 5 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
67.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Barron) to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
67.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
67.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
85.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:0218% → 46%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 16
OWN 19
+1
81.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
82.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
83.0%
SHRADER, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for ALFORD, Damien thrown to the SYR35; QB hurried by HORSLEY, Cam. PENALTY BOS Roughing the Passer on EZEIRUAKU, Donovan enforced 15 yards from the SYR20 to the SYR35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
80.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 16 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
77.6%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+12
77.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 12 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
75.8%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+18
75.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 18 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+18
75.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 18 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
54.5%
Devaughn Cooper 8 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0172% → 75%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
73.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.3%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 37Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
72.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
69.7%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
74.8%
Danny Longman punt for 43 yds, downed at the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:5033% → 65%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
66.6%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
65.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 5 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+58
35.1%
Damien Alford 58 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:4045% → 48%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
44.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 13 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
47.4%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 37Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+5
45.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 5 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
48.3%
Emmett Morehead sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:5667% → 95%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
33.2%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+7
31.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
31.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
29.9%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+9
31.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.9%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:419% → 7%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.8%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
6.8%
Emmett Morehead run for 3 yds to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:0897% → 99%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 9
OPP 33
+4
3.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
1.3%
Sean Tucker run for 29 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:282% → 6%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
2.2%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
2.2%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 7 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
2.3%
Emmett Morehead run for 9 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
2.4%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 3 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
2.4%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 9 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
2.5%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 9 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+13
2.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 13 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
2.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 5 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+7
2.8%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.0%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmett Morehead pass to Ozzy Trapilo for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.8%
Kneel down by SHRADER, Garrett at BOS46 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:05
Damien Alford 58 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-30.2
TD · Q4 2:29
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q4 9:56
Devaughn Cooper 8 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-21.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com