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Georgia Tech 21 at North Carolina 17

UNC
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:10 · David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 34 , Josh Downs returns for 3 yds to the NCaro 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+16.1Home team on offense+3.7Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:13: Elijah Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +4.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:48: Dontae Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +4.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:31: Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +12.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 11:08: Hassan Hall run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +30.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:10: Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs — GT win probability +15.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:08GT 4th & 6 at UNC 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27GT 4th & 10 at UNC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:46UNC 4th & 14 at GT 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08GT 4th & 7 at GT 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UNC 4th & 1 at GT 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51UNC 4th & 14 at GT 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:51UNC 4th & 2 at GT 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.7%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:08GT 4th & 6 at GT 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03UNC 4th & 22 at UNC 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:30UNC 4th & 24 at UNC 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:20UNC 4th & 12 at UNC 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:10GT 4th & 5 at GT 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:21UNC 4th & 9 at UNC 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−2.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:03GT 4th & 9 at GT 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−4.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:03UNC 4th & 1 at GT 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.2%−6.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:10UNC 4th & 11 at GT 19, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.9 ptsWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.8%−6.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−15.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:56UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:13UNC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:48GT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:31GT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:08GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:528% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.7%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
91.7%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
91.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 21 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
91.7%
Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
91.7%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
91.7%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the NCaro 45Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
90.7%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
91.2%
Elijah Green run for 80 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:229% → 10%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
91.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+7
91.1%
Jamie Felix run for 7 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+13
91.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 13 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
91.0%
Jamie Felix run for 5 yds to the NCaro 36Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+8
91.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jamie FelixSimilar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
90.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Malik Rutherford for no gain to the NCaro 28Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
91.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
90.5%
Gavin Stewart 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:4191% → 90%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+33
90.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 33 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.8%
Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
90.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari MoralesSimilar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 9
OPP 38
-5
90.7%
Drake Maye sacked by Makius Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
90.1%
Ben Kiernan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jamal Haynes at the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3810% → 10%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
90.2%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 11Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
90.3%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
90.4%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malik RutherfordSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
90.2%
David Shanahan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 7:1790% → 89%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
90.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the NCaro 42Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
90.3%
Elijah Green run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 1
50
+5
90.3%
Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
90.4%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+16
90.4%
Drake Maye run for 16 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
90.5%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
89.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+12
89.6%
Drake Maye run for 12 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
89.9%
Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+5
89.9%
D.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+5
89.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 5 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
89.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.9%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
89.9%
Drake Maye sacked by Keion White for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
89.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 4 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
88.9%
Noah Burnette 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3311% → 11%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.3%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
89.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:2790% → 89%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
89.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+21
89.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 21 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
89.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
89.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
89.3%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+1
88.9%
Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4311% → 11%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
89.1%
Jamie Felix run for 2 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+17
89.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jamie Felix for 17 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.0%
Jamie Felix run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
89.3%
Jamie Felix run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
89.4%
David Shanahan punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:5589% → 94%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.4%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin BlackwellSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+36
89.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 36 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
89.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 18 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 2:207% → 13%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
93.1%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
93.1%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+3
92.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 3 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
92.8%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+12
92.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 12 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
92.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 20 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+36
91.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 36 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
91.3%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the NCaro 2Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.8%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4189% → 89%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
89.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to George Pettaway for 11 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
89.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 9 yds to the UNC 45 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the NCaro 40Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
89.2%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 16
OWN 40
-6
88.7%
Drake Maye sacked by Keion White for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 34Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
88.6%
Ben Kiernan punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
89.7%
Z. Gibson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:2289% → 88%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
89.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 6 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
89.4%
Elijah Green run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
89.7%
Elijah Green run for 13 yds to the NCaro 30 Elijah Green fumbled, recovered by NCaro Elijah GreenSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 23
OWN 30
+1
88.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to D.J. Jones for 1 yd to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 24
OWN 29
0
88.5%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 24
OWN 29
0
88.0%
Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds , Jamal Haynes returns for no gain to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:5912% → 25%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
88.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dontae Smith for 8 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
87.9%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
88.1%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
88.2%
Zach Gibson run for 6 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+13
87.7%
Jamie Felix run for 13 yds to the NCaro 38 Jamie Felix fumbled, recovered by GTech Malachi Carter for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
87.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dontae Smith for 24 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
86.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the NCaro 10Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+6
86.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:1180% → 77%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.0%
Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
80.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Elijah rush middle for 68 yards gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:47 PENALTY UNC Holding (Nesbit,Bryson) 10 yards from UNC32 to UNC22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-6
79.2%
Drake Maye sacked by Jason Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 16Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
78.3%
Drake Maye run for 7 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Ben Kiernan punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1022% → 21%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
78.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+8
77.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 8 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
77.4%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Jamie FelixSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
77.9%
Jamie Felix run for 5 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
78.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+3
79.5%
David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 34 , Josh Downs returns for 3 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:5579% → 81%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
79.0%
D.J. Jones run for 17 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
81.2%
D.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
81.4%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari MoralesSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+25
81.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 25 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
82.4%
D.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
80.7%
Drake Maye pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 5:0722% → 59%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
78.0%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+6
76.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 6 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
76.5%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+40
74.2%
Malachi Carter run for 40 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
71.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 7 yds to the NCaro 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+5
71.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
71.8%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the NCaro 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
71.8%
Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the NCaro 6Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
41.0%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4752% → 48%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.1%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
51.9%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Elijah GreenSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
50.0%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh DownsSimilar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
47.7%
Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds , Rodney Shelley returns for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1861% → 58%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
39.1%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
39.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
40.5%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+5
42.4%
David Shanahan punt for 41 yds , Josh Downs returns for 5 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5349% → 39%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
49.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 21 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
53.1%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 47Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
54.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 6 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
54.4%
Elijah Green run for no gain to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
52.2%
Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-11
55.0%
Drake Maye sacked by Keion White for a loss of 11 yards to the NCaro 45Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 21
OWN 45
+12
49.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 12 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+25
53.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 25 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
57.9%
Drake Maye sacked by D'Quan Douse for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
57.6%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari MoralesSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
54.5%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to D.J. JonesSimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 11
OPP 19
0
39.3%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh DownsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23END OF GAME
15 plays · 28 yds · 4:1073% → 96%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
27.4%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
27.5%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
27.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 6 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
26.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
26.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
17.2%
PENALTY GT False Start 5 yards from GT 37 to GT 32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+9
18.8%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
15.3%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
8.5%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 1
50
+1
8.4%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the NCaro 49 Hassan Hall fumbled, recovered by GTech Hassan Hall for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
8.2%
Z. Gibson takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-2
4.3%
Z. Gibson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:08
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-30.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:10
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs
-15.2
TD · Q3 7:31
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com