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UL

Louisiana 17 at Florida State 49

FSU
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:23 · Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+41.4Home team on offense+3.1Score differential+1.3Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:29: Treshaun Ward run for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — UL win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:58: Jordan Travis run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:59: Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:14: Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Kenneth Almendares 24 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:02UL 4th & 10 at UL 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23UL 4th & 2 at FSU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:07UL 4th & 3 at UL 36, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:57FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:57FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24UL 4th & 10 at UL 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:03UL 4th & 8 at UL 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00UL 4th & 7 at FSU 7, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:09UL 4th & 15 at UL 24, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:30UL 4th & 5 at FSU 45, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:51FSU 4th & 6 at UL 36, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 2 at UL 44, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:07UL 4th & 5 at FSU 5, down 46
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:28FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 28, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:08FSU 4th & 13 at FSU 48, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:29FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:37FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:58FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:59FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:14FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:05FSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:22FSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:07UL Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:16UL Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3196% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
95.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
95.8%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
95.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+12
95.8%
Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
95.8%
Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
95.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+36
95.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:235% → 5%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
95.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 21
-7
95.5%
Chandler Fields sacked by DJ Lundy for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
95.5%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Chris SmithSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
95.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 35 , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the FlaSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:2595% → 96%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.4%
Mycah Pittman run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
95.4%
Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+33
95.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 33 yds to the LaLaf 14 Lawrance Toafili fumbled, recovered by FlaSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
95.4%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+7
95.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 7 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.6%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:105% → 5%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
95.4%
Terrence Williams run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
95.4%
Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
95.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Fields,Chandler pass incomplete short left to Jefferson,Michael broken up by Green,Renardo QB hurried by Payton,Patrick PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Green,Renardo) 15 yards from LOU29 to LOU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
95.3%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
95.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 4
50
+2
95.3%
Chandler Fields run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+1
95.0%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:2596% → 96%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.5%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+10
95.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass incomplete short right to Poitier,Kentron PENALTY LOU Holding (McDaniel,Amir) 10 yards from LOU47 to LOU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
95.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 1 yd to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
95.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+16
95.5%
Trey Benson run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
95.5%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
95.5%
Mycah Pittman run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
96.4%
Jordan Travis run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:454% → 3%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
96.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+10
96.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
96.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
96.4%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
96.5%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the FlaSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:0396% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
96.4%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
96.4%
Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+5
96.3%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass incomplete short right to Poitier,Kentron PENALTY FSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Scott, Jr.,Robert) 5 yards from FSU33 to FSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+2
96.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+11
96.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+2
96.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+7
96.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 27 , John Stephens Jr. returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 46 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Keyon Martin) to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+7
96.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 15 , Eric Garror returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 46 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Keyon Martin) to the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:333% → 3%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+7
97.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 36 yds , Jammie Robinson returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2597% → 99%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.1%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
97.1%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
97.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.1%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+20
97.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 20 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 4 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.0%
PENALTY LOU Offside (Nelson,Ja-Quane) 2 yards from LOU03 to LOU01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Terrence WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the FlaSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 32 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
98.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
98.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+17
98.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 17 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.9%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12FG
19 plays · 68 yds · 3:141% → 1%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 10 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
50
+14
99.4%
Chandler Fields run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.4%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-1
99.4%
Chandler Fields sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
99.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 6 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
99.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 23 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.2%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.3%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
98.6%
PENALTY LOU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FSU02 to FSU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.3%
Kenneth Almendares 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:461% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.2%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-7
99.2%
Chandler Fields sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.5%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
99.5%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+45
99.5%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 45 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Benson,Trey rush middle for 5 yards loss to the LOU21 (Jones,Andre) PENALTY LOU Face Mask (Quibodeaux,Jourdan) 8 yards from LOU16 to LOU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rodemaker,Tate pass incomplete short left to Poitier,Kentron PENALTY LOU Pass Interference (Amos,Trey) 6 yards from LOU08 to LOU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
99.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 18 Dre'lyn Washington fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Shyheim BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Rodney Hill run for no gain to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.7%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
A.J. Duffy pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 16 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:520% → 0%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Jacob BernardSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.8%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 3 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 5
OPP 45
-4
99.9%
Chandler Fields sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.8%
Deuce Spann run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
99.8%
Rodney Hill run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.8%
Rodney Hill run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
99.8%
CJ Campbell run for no gain to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-5
99.8%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Douglas,Ja'Khi) 5 yards from LOU31 to LOU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
99.8%
A.J. Duffy pass incomplete to Rodney HillSimilar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
99.9%
A.J. Duffy pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:440% → 0%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Terrence Williams run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+30
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jamal Bell for 30 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrence Williams for no gain to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 5 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
CJ Campbell run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
A.J. Duffy pass incomplete to Deuce SpannSimilar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 4:120% → 0%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Chandler Fields run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+22
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 22 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 5 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Chandler Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Gino English pass complete to Mike Roussos for 16 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Gino English run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46 Gino English fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Gino EnglishSimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Gino English pass complete to Mike Roussos for no gain to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:59
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q1 1:58
Jordan Travis run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Kenneth Almendares 24 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com