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FSU

Florida State 38 at Syracuse 3

SYR
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:52 · Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 45 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 4 yds to the FlaSt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Home team on offense−54.1Score differential−43.1Pregame prior−2.8Garbage-time factor−20.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:26: Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 15 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:47: Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:47: Garrett Shrader pass incomplete — SYR win probability +4.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Ryan Fitzgerald 40 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:37: Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 10FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:27SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:10SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:20FSU 4th & 10 at SYR 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:40SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:32SYR 4th & 7 at FSU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00SYR 4th & 22 at FSU 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:54FSU 4th & 7 at midfield, up 11
    Close callPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:55SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:39SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:14SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:21FSU 4th & 2 at SYR 2, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:47SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:11FSU 4th & 13 at SYR 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:22FSU 4th & 7 at SYR 44, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:52SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:04FSU 4th & 21 at SYR 34, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:07FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:26FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:47FSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:37FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:21FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3329% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.4%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
29.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
30.0%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 42 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:2070% → 70%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
30.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 3 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+27
30.1%
Trey Benson run for 27 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
29.9%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+15
29.9%
Mycah Pittman run for 15 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
29.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 14 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
29.9%
Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
29.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the Syrac 3Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
29.6%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:5730% → 30%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
30.1%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
29.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+8
29.8%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 40 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5071% → 70%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
29.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 17
OWN 46
+2
29.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+5
29.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
29.6%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
30.1%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5330% → 29%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
29.8%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+1
29.9%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
29.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+7
29.4%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 45 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 7 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:1471% → 75%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
29.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
29.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 10 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
29.1%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+16
29.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 16 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
29.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+15
25.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 15 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:5426% → 28%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
26.1%
Sean Tucker run for 16 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
26.8%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
26.8%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
26.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Greedy Vance) to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
26.8%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+1
26.7%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+4
26.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
28.4%
Andre Szmyt 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4073% → 73%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.2%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
26.8%
Jordan Travis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:5230% → 27%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
29.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-5
29.7%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 16
OPP 29
-6
28.5%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 22
OPP 35
+53
27.1%
Andre Szmyt 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:0674% → 75%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
26.5%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
26.0%
Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
25.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-1
26.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+7
26.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 7
50
0
26.2%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-3
25.0%
TUCKER, Sean rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the SYR8 (LUNDY, DJ). PENALTY SYR Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the SYR5 to the SYR3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5925% → 24%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+4
25.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
24.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+6
24.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 6 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+14
24.3%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 40 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 14 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
14.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0820% → 19%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
19.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
19.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 16
OWN 29
0
19.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
18.5%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 4:3984% → 92%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
15.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 4 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
15.6%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
15.5%
Jordan Travis run for 21 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
14.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 2 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+12
14.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
14.8%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the Syrac 37 Treshaun Ward fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Jordan TravisSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
14.8%
Trey Benson run for 11 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
14.2%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+10
11.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 10 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
10.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 4 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-5
9.6%
Jordan Travis sacked by Mikel Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 12Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-5
10.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Fabien Lovett) to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 16
OPP 17
-5
10.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Fabien Lovett) to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 21
OPP 22
+40
7.8%
Ryan Fitzgerald 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:2391% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
9.3%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+24
9.3%
Trey Benson run for 24 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
9.0%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
9.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
9.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
9.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 5Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
3.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:233% → 3%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.3%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
3.1%
TUCKER, Sean rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the SYR36 (DELOACH, Kalen), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, SYR Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the SYR30 to the SYR25. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
3.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
3.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlaSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:5397% → 98%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
3.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Deuce Spann for 6 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
3.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for no gain to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
3.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
3.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 17 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
3.0%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+30
2.9%
Trey Benson run for 30 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
2.9%
Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.7%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 1Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
1.2%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 2Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.8%
Wyatt Rector pass complete to Jordan Travis for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
1.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
1.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
1.0%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 29 yds, downed at the FlaSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:4799% → 100%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
0.9%
Trey Benson run for 17 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.9%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+10
0.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 10 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
0.8%
Tate Rodemaker sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+5
0.9%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
0.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+51
0.8%
Ryan Fitzgerald 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
0.4%
TUCKER, Sean rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the SYR37 (WILLIAMS, Sidney), clock 00:00. PENALTY SYR Holding enforced 10 yards from the SYR33 to the SYR23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+10
0.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 10 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+17
0.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
0.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
-5
0.4%
TUCKER, Sean rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the FSU47 (GAINER, Amari). PENALTY Before the snap, SYR Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the SYR50 to the SYR45. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
0.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.5%
Deuce Spann run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
0.5%
WARD, Treshaun rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the FSU50 (OLIVER, Bralyn). PENALTY SYR Offsides enforced 5 yards from the FSU45 to the FSU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 2
50
+3
0.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.5%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Malik McClain for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+4
0.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
0.5%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
0.4%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
0.2%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+6
0.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
0.2%
Garrett Shrader sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+7
0.2%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+4
0.2%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 45 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 4 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
0.2%
CJ Campbell run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.2%
CJ Campbell run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-1
0.2%
CJ Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+24
0.2%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 24 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
0.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 15
OPP 28
-2
0.2%
CJ Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+1
0.2%
CJ Campbell run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 16
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 16
OPP 29
-5
0.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 21
OPP 34
0
0.2%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:040% → 0%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
0.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Amari Gainer) to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
0.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
0.1%
ALLEN, LeQuint rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the FSU25 (GAINER, Amari). PENALTY SYR Holding enforced 10 yards from the FSU34 to the FSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+7
0.1%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 37 fumbled, recovered by Syrac Carlos Del Rio-WilsonSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+15
0.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Sidney Williams) to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
0.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+10
0.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:47
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q3 11:37
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
-5.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 5:47
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com