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LOU

Louisville 16 at Clemson 31

CLEM
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:29 · Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+11.6Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:17: DJ Uiagalelei run for 11 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:17: Tiyon Evans run for 16 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +4.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:32: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:22: Will Shipley run for 25 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:57: James Turner 22 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +4.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 6LOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 8:49LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38CLEM 4th & 3 at LOU 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:35LOU 4th & 14 at LOU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:25CLEM 4th & 2 at LOU 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:11CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:22LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:29LOU 4th & 6 at CLEM 37, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−0.7
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:28LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:57LOU 4th & 5 at CLEM 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:37CLEM 4th & 15 at CLEM 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:18LOU 4th & 13 at LOU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:41CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 17, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:57LOU 4th & 10 at CLEM 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:47CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:30LOU 4th & 2 at LOU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:23LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00LOU 4th & 26 at CLEM 31, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:17CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:17LOU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:22CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:13CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:3870% → 71%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
69.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
69.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
69.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+24
69.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 24 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
70.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
70.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 6 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
69.9%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
70.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 11 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
70.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 29Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+17
69.9%
Will Shipley run for 17 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
70.0%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 11Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
71.3%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 11 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1929% → 29%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.7%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
70.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Lvile 27Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
71.3%
Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 10 yds to the Clem 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0272% → 71%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
71.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
71.8%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
71.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
71.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5229% → 28%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
71.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+2
71.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 2 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-8
71.6%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Bryan Bresee for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 14
OWN 13
+13
72.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 68 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 13 yds to the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:3572% → 73%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
71.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Drew Swinney for 8 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
72.5%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
72.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 36 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
72.9%
Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
73.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 7 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.1%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the Lvile 2Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
72.6%
B.T. Potter 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:4827% → 33%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
72.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tiyon Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
72.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+44
73.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 44 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
71.7%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+19
72.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 19 yds to the Clem 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
71.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 8 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+16
66.7%
Tiyon Evans run for 16 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4769% → 67%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.5%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
69.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
67.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
67.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3332% → 31%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
68.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-2
68.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 24Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+3
69.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
69.4%
Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds, downed at the Clem 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3768% → 69%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
68.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 5 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
69.0%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
68.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
69.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 26 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
71.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 14
OPP 36
0
70.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 14
OPP 36
-10
69.3%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 46 DJ Uiagalelei fumbled, recovered by Lvile YaYa Diaby , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2634% → 33%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
65.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 6
50
0
65.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 6
50
+9
66.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 9 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.5%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
65.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
65.8%
Braden Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
66.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:3269% → 80%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
68.8%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Clem 26 Will Shipley fumbled, recovered by Clem Joseph NgataSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
68.9%
Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
69.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
50
+2
71.3%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
71.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Brannon Spector for 11 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
71.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
71.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+15
70.6%
Uiagalelei, DJ pass incomplete to Shipley, Will, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
71.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 9 yds to the Lvile 11Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+7
71.7%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:2622% → 24%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
77.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
78.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 11 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
77.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 9 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+26
76.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 26 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2722% → 20%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.7%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 8 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
77.5%
Tiyon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
80.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:5379% → 92%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
79.1%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
80.3%
Phil Mafah run for 25 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
81.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 12 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
81.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
81.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 6 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+4
81.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
82.3%
Antonio Williams pass complete to DJ Uiagalelei for 6 yds to the Lvile 15 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 25Similar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 14
OPP 25
+25
91.5%
Will Shipley run for 25 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:2111% → 14%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
89.6%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 8 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
89.0%
Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 11 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+54
89.0%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 54 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
87.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Clem 3Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
89.2%
Brock Domann sacked by Wade Woodaz for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 13 Brock Domann fumbled, recovered by Lvile Jawhar Jordan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
90.6%
Brock Domann run for 8 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
85.7%
James Turner 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5390% → 89%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.6%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
89.6%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Momo Sanogo for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
89.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+13
89.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 54 yds , Braden Smith returns for 13 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:1413% → 13%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
87.1%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tiyon Evans for 4 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+11
87.5%
Tiyon Evans run for 11 yds to the Clem 46 Tiyon Evans fumbled, recovered by Clem Jalyn PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0091% → 93%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+9
91.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 9 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
91.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 44Similar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+10
92.8%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 10 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
93.0%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+2
93.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds Antonio Williams fumbled, recovered by Lvile Dorian Jones , return for 13 yds to the Lvile 45 Dorian Jones fumbled, recovered by LvileSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5211% → 9%
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-4
88.8%
Brock Domann sacked by Barrett Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 41Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+1
90.2%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 1 yd to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
91.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2493% → 93%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
93.3%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
93.4%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-2
93.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 17Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+9
92.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for 9 yds to the Clem 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:2310% → 9%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
90.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 48Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+15
91.3%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 15 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
90.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+6
89.6%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 6 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
90.2%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
90.8%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
91.3%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:0195% → 96%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.7%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
95.0%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
95.7%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-3
95.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-4
95.8%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+13
95.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for 13 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:507% → 7%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
92.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 25Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+18
94.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for 18 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+9
93.7%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 9 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-1
93.4%
Brock Domann pass intercepted Barrett Carter return for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:5697% → 98%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.8%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+13
97.5%
Phil Mafah run for 13 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
97.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 13 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
98.0%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Lvile 29Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
98.1%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 28Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-7
98.1%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 35 Will Shipley fumbled, recovered by Lvile Momo SanogoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for no gain to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.7%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 4 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.6%
Phil Mafah run for 39 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27END OF GAME
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:450% → 1%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
99.8%
Maurice Turner run for 27 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
99.8%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 24 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
99.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 25
OPP 30
+10
99.8%
Brock Domann run for 10 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Brock Domann pass incomplete to Braden SmithSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 15
OPP 20
-11
99.8%
Brock Domann sacked by Barrett Carter for a loss of 11 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 26
OPP 31
+31
99.2%
Braden Smith 31 Yd pass from Brock Domann Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:22
Will Shipley run for 25 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 0:32
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+7.8
FG · Q3 5:57
James Turner 22 yd FG GOOD
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com