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Georgia Tech 28 at Virginia Tech 27

VT
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Zach Pyron run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:15: Grant Wells 3 Yd Run (William Ross Kick) — VT win probability +9.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 3:51: K. King run for 1 yd for a TD, (W. Ross PAT MISSED) — VT win probability +13.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:03: Keli Lawson 7 Yd Interception Return (William Ross Kick) — VT win probability +6.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:02: Nate McCollum 56 Yd pass from Zach Pyron (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GT win probability +31.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:30: Zach Pyron 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — GT win probability +33.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 1:22GT 4th & 2 at VT 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−4.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:59GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, up 10
    Close callPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33VT 4th & 16 at VT 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:40VT 4th & 6 at GT 40, down 10
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:08GT 4th & 9 at GT 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:54GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:51VT 4th & 9 at VT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:48GT 4th & 2 at GT 19, up 3
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50GT 4th & 3 at GT 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:13GT 4th & 1 at GT 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:34VT 4th & 13 at VT 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:56GT 4th & 3 at VT 5, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%−0.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:12VT 4th & 12 at GT 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:59GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:15VT 4th & 8 at GT 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:44GT 4th & 1 at GT 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:58VT 4th & 21 at VT 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−5.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:57GT 4th & 2 at GT 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q2 10:15VT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:51VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:02GT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.3%−1.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:30GT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1FG
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:3644% → 48%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
55.6%
pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
55.7%
Jamie Felix run for 1 yd to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+14
56.0%
Zach Pyron run for 14 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
55.0%
Jamie Felix run for 9 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
54.9%
Jamie Felix run for 5 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+43
54.8%
Zach Pyron pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 43 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
54.7%
Jamie Felix run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 5Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
54.7%
Jamie Felix run for 3 yds to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
54.9%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
52.3%
Gavin Stewart 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
15 plays · 8 yds · 12:5941% → 48%
Q1 12:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+13
58.7%
David Shanahan punt for 52 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 13 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
51.8%
Zach Pyron sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
52.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 1 yd to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
52.4%
Zach Pyron run for 12 yds to the GTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 10:3357% → 51%
Q1 10:33
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
57.2%
Peter Moore punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
51.0%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
51.2%
Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+5
50.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, off-side (E.J. Jenkins) to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
51.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo, broken up by Kenan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
51.3%
Keshawn King run for 6 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-12
51.4%
Grant Wells sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 8:1344% → 49%
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
55.8%
Dontae Smith 29 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
51.6%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Nate McCollum, broken up by Armani ChatmanSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
51.8%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Luke Benson for 16 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
50.9%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 3 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-3
50.9%
Dontae Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+25
51.2%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malachi Carter for 25 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
50.6%
pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 53 yds · 6:0357% → 53%
Q1 6:03
2ND & 1
OPP 22
-2
56.7%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 24 Grant Wells fumbled, recovered by GTech Noah CollinsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
50.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
51.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 10 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
51.6%
Grant Wells run for 11 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
52.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 16 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
52.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 9 yds to the GTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2051% → 50%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
51.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+26
50.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 26 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
52.2%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
52.2%
Jason Brown pass complete to Bryce Duke for 2 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
52.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Bryce DukeSimilar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
50.0%
Peter Moore punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 12:0848% → 59%
Q2 12:08
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+9
51.6%
David Shanahan punt for 57 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
39.9%
Zach Pyron run for 1 yd to the GTech 2Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
40.2%
Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
40.9%
pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 11:3950% → 54%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
49.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete, broken up by Akelo StoneSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
49.6%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+10
49.3%
Grant Wells run for 10 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
50.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 24 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.7%
Grant Wells 3 Yd Run (William Ross Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
56.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Silas Dzansi) to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+16
53.5%
Keshawn King run for 16 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 8:5443% → 48%
Q2 8:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
56.8%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 13 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.2%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
51.9%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins, broken up by Mansoor DelaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 7:5154% → 53%
Q2 7:51
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+2
53.6%
Peter Moore punt for 50 yds , Nate McCollum returns for 2 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.2%
pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
53.6%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
52.6%
pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 6:4844% → 48%
Q2 6:48
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+16
55.7%
David Shanahan punt for 40 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 16 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
51.2%
pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
51.5%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
52.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Peje' Harris, broken up by Chamarri ConnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:5166% → 74%
Q2 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.7%
K. King run for 1 yd for a TD, (W. Ross PAT MISSED)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
74.7%
pass incomplete to Grant WellsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
74.6%
Grant Wells run for 15 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
75.1%
Chance Black run for 9 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+4
75.1%
Chance Black run for 4 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
75.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 4 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-4
75.1%
Grant Wells sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+14
73.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Connor Blumrick for 14 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1924% → 24%
Q2 1:19
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+9
76.1%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+90
75.8%
Tucker Holloway 90 Yd Punt Return (William Ross Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
75.9%
Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
75.4%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-11
75.3%
Zach Pyron sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+9
76.4%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dontae Smith for 9 yds to the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:2826% → 25%
Q2 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
73.9%
pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
74.7%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dontae Smith for 4 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+28
75.5%
Dontae Smith run for 28 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
72.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Armani Chatman) to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
72.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
72.1%
Gavin Stewart 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dontae Smith for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
75.3%
Zach Pyron run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1777% → 76%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
77.1%
pass incomplete to Keshawn KingSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
77.1%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-8
76.4%
Grant Wells sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
76.0%
Peter Moore punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
1 play · 95 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-7
82.4%
Keli Lawson 7 Yd Interception Return (William Ross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 7:5622% → 18%
Q3 7:56
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
78.1%
Gavin Stewart 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.2%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
83.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jordan Williams) to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+6
85.1%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Peje' Harris for 6 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+21
84.2%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malachi Carter for 21 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
81.7%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+5
80.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, off-side (Josh Fuga) to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
80.3%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+12
80.3%
Hassan Hall run for 12 yds to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
80.3%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
80.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malachi Carter for 3 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+3
81.6%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the VTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18Uncategorized
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:1282% → 88%
Q3 4:12
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
82.2%
Peter Moore punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.1%
Keshawn King run for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
87.2%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.8%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.4%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+14
87.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 14 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 47
-5
86.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Bob Schick) to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 42
+3
86.8%
Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 47
0
87.6%
pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5916% → 16%
Q3 1:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+29
84.3%
David Shanahan punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 44 , Tucker Holloway returns for 29 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.9%
Zach Pyron run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
83.1%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
84.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Luke Benson for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:4588% → 87%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
88.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 12 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
88.1%
Keshawn King run for 19 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
88.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Johnny Jordan) to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+6
88.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 6 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-1
88.1%
Grant Wells sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+2
87.5%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
86.6%
William Ross 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.7%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VTech 44 Grant Wells fumbled, recovered by GTech Clayton Powell-LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 12:4414% → 7%
Q4 12:44
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
86.0%
Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
93.5%
Jamie Felix run for 3 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
92.9%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 6 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
92.6%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23Uncategorized
5 plays · -6 yds · 12:4489% → 97%
Q4 12:44
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+4
88.8%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
88.8%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+8
88.8%
Keshawn King run for 8 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
91.0%
Keshawn King fumbled, recovered by GTech Makius ScottSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
96.6%
Keshawn King run for 6 yds to the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 9:0235% → 25%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
65.0%
Nate McCollum 56 Yd pass from Zach Pyron (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
77.3%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Ahmari Harvey, broken up by Dax HollifieldSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
78.6%
Zach Pyron run for 11 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
77.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malachi Carter for 12 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
75.0%
Dontae Smith run for 11 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 7:2086% → 78%
Q4 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
85.8%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith, broken up by Myles SimsSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
85.7%
pass incomplete to Bryce DukeSimilar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
84.7%
Grant Wells pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.2%
Jalen Holston run for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
76.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jadan Blue for 17 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
78.4%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 6:0228% → 89%
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
71.8%
Zach Pyron run for 12 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
68.0%
Zach Pyron sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 19
OWN 45
0
73.6%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete, broken up by Keli LawsonSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 19
OWN 45
+20
74.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 20 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
66.5%
Zach Pyron run for 13 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
65.6%
Dontae Smith run for 13 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.6%
pass incomplete to Malik RutherfordSimilar
Q4 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
31.8%
Zach Pyron 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
31.8%
Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
10.2%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Armani Chatman) to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
11.1%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:5253% → 29%
Q4 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
52.8%
pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
48.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jesse Hanson) to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-9
45.2%
Grant Wells sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 21
OWN 27
+52
42.8%
Peter Moore punt for 52 yds GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (E.J. Jenkins) to the GTech 21Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
27.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Myles Sims) to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
29.3%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0265% → 90%
Q4 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-3
35.3%
Zach Pyron run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 22Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+7
34.7%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+18
28.4%
David Shanahan punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 42 , Tucker Holloway returns for 18 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
10.0%
Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 29Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
10.2%
Zach Pyron run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-1
10.2%
Zach Pyron run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:30
Zach Pyron 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-33.8
TD · Q4 9:02
Nate McCollum 56 Yd pass from Zach Pyron (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-31.6
TD · Q2 3:51
K. King run for 1 yd for a TD, (W. Ross PAT MISSED)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com