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SYR

Syracuse 9 at Pittsburgh 19

PITT
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:20 · Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 39 yds, downed at the Pitt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense+14.7Garbage-time factor+2.4Pregame prior+1.1Score differential+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:26: Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +6.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Ben Sauls 43 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +2.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:49: C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +15.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:28: Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 28 — SYR win probability +5.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:52: Andre Szmyt 49 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +1.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 7SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:57SYR 4th & 23 at SYR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:26SYR 4th & 5 at PITT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:32SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:04PITT 4th & 6 at SYR 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:44SYR 4th & 6 at PITT 30, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:10PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 32, up 1
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 35, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:26PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:37SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:08SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:20SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:28PITT 4th & 17 at PITT 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:36SYR 4th & 11 at PITT 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:40PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 36, up 11
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:48SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:45PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:52SYR 4th & 16 at PITT 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:40PITT 4th & 6 at SYR 49, up 8
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:26PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:49PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:5746% → 45%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.5%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
54.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
54.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-8
54.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Solomon DeShields for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 23
OWN 22
0
54.9%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2INT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:3955% → 56%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
55.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
55.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kyi Wright for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
55.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
55.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
55.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
55.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
55.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
55.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
55.7%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FG
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:0645% → 47%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
54.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Sean Tucker for 7 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
54.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
54.7%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
54.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+17
54.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Damien Alford for 17 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
54.2%
DEL RIO-WILSON, Carlos pass to the left incomplete intended for GADSDEN II, Oronde thrown to the PIT46. PENALTY PIT Pass Interference on DEVONSHIRE, M.J. enforced 15 yards to the PIT41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
54.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
54.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+12
54.1%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Trebor Pena for 12 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
53.6%
TUCKER, Sean rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the PIT21 (GREEN, David;SIMON, Shayne). PENALTY PIT Offsides on ALEXANDRE, Deslin enforced 5 yards from the PIT25 to the PIT20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 5
OPP 20
-5
53.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
53.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 8 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
53.6%
QB Keeper DEL RIO-WILSON, Carlos rush to the right for a loss of 5 yards to the PIT22 (HILL, Brandon;BALDONADO, Habakkuk). PENALTY PIT Face mask on BALDONADO, Habakkuk enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the PIT17 to the PIT9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
53.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 7 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.6%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
53.9%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 5Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
52.7%
Andre Szmyt 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:3453% → 61%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
53.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+12
53.7%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 12 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
54.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 24 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
55.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
55.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+5
54.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
55.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
55.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+8
54.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 8 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
60.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5442% → 41%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
58.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
59.4%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:2859% → 61%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
59.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vincent Davis for 8 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
60.0%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
59.9%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
60.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
59.8%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
60.9%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
60.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+6
59.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 6 yds Gavin Bartholomew fumbled, recovered by PittSimilar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+34
61.0%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 44 yds for a touchback PITTSBURGH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:2041% → 43%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
58.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Damien Alford for 31 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
55.5%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
55.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
56.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
57.1%
Andre Szmyt 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3459% → 59%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
59.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
60.1%
Kedon Slovis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 32 Kedon Slovis fumbled, recovered by Pitt Daniel CarterSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
58.5%
Cam Guess punt for 46 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 6 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2142% → 41%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
58.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
58.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for no gain to the Syrac 28 fumbled, recovered by Syrac Carlos Del Rio-WilsonSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+7
59.6%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+9
59.1%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 44 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 9 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:5660% → 66%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
59.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for no gain to the Pitt 30Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+20
59.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
50
+4
62.6%
Kedon Slovis run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+20
62.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 20 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
63.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 6 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-5
63.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Ryan Jacoby) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+43
66.3%
Ben Sauls 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.3%
[NH] Kneel down by SYR at SYR24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3462% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
62.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
63.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
63.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
63.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+6
61.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
62.6%
Cam Guess punt for 32 ydsSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
62.0%
DEL RIO-WILSON, Carlos pass up the middle complete for 16 yards to GADSDEN II, Oronde caught at the SYR35 and advanced to the SYR36 (HALLETT II, Erick). PENALTY SYR Holding on HOEH, Wes enforced 10 yards from the SYR20 to the SYR10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:4938% → 33%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+3
62.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 3 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 17
OWN 13
-3
62.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Deslin Alexandre and SirVocea Dennis for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
63.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
66.6%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 50 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14INT
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:5168% → 70%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
67.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 29 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
69.8%
Jared Wayne pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3835% → 34%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
64.7%
DEL RIO-WILSON, Carlos pass to the right incomplete intended for GADSDEN II, Oronde thrown to the SYR32. PENALTY PIT Roughing the Passer on DANIELSON, Devin enforced 15 yards from the SYR14 to the SYR29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
64.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
63.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+2
64.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+20
65.8%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 50 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 20 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 6:1967% → 86%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
66.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
67.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
69.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 13 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
69.6%
C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
70.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
69.1%
C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
70.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
70.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+23
69.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 23 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2916% → 14%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
83.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Calijah Kancey for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
85.4%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 39 yds, downed at the Pitt 32Similar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
86.4%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Marcus Minor) to the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3286% → 86%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+2
86.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+8
86.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 8 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-12
86.3%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 12 yards to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Cam Guess punt for 2 yds, downed at the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5220% → 15%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
80.1%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
80.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
82.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+46
85.2%
Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5687% → 89%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
87.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+8
87.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+1
87.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+8
89.1%
Caleb Junko punt for 40 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5214% → 9%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
86.2%
DEL RIO-WILSON, Carlos sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the SYR27 (DANIELSON, Devin). PENALTY PIT Offsides on HAYES, Dayon enforced 5 yards from the SYR32 to the SYR37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 5
OWN 37
-4
85.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-7
86.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
91.3%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0392% → 90%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
91.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
91.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
90.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
90.3%
Caleb Junko punt for 46 yds , Trebor Pena returns for no gain to the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:539% → 10%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for no gain to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
90.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+15
91.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 15 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+45
89.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 45 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
86.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
87.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-6
88.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Habakkuk Baldonado and SirVocea Dennis for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
90.1%
Andre Szmyt 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 3:1293% → 97%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
93.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
93.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
95.9%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
96.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
96.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-5
96.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
96.9%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 48 yds, downed at the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
97.1%
Deslin Alexandre SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:3497% → 97%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.9%
Kneel down by PIT at SYR32 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
96.8%
Kneel down by PIT at SYR33 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
97.0%
Kneel down by PIT at SYR34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:49
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q2 10:26
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)
+6
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:28
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 28
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com