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JMU

James Madison 10 at Louisville 34

LOU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.9LOU 71.6%Camden Wise 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 8:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:43 · Camden Wise 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+21.1Home team on offense−0.7Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:43: Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +14.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: James Turner 28 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +7.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:59: James Turner 35 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +2.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:04: Tiyon Evans run for 71 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +13.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:22: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 44 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7JMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 8:43JMU 4th & 6 at LOU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:00JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:03LOU 4th & 2 at LOU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.6%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:46JMU 4th & 1 at LOU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54LOU 4th & 17 at LOU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:18JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:30LOU 4th & 8 at JMU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00LOU 4th & 10 at JMU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−8.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:59LOU 4th & 10 at JMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:26JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:52JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:29JMU 4th & 15 at LOU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:03LOU 4th & 12 at LOU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:58JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:52JMU 4th & 8 at JMU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:29LOU 4th & 4 at JMU 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:45JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4JMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:49LOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:43JMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:04LOU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:22LOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:29LOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 6:1727% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
73.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
73.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
73.5%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
73.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Targeting on PERRY, Ben enforced (15 Yards) to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
73.5%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+11
73.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 11 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
73.5%
JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+7
73.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-1
73.5%
Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+3
73.5%
Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
71.6%
Camden Wise 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5472% → 73%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
71.6%
CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left incomplete intended for HUDSON, Tyler thrown to the JMU50. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on LOGAN, Chauncey enforced 15 yards to the LOU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
72.0%
Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+33
72.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 18 yds to the LOUISVILLE 38 for a 1ST down JMU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Devyn Coles) to the JMads 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
72.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 14 yds to the JMads 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
72.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the JMads 7Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
72.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the JMads 1Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Isaac Martin for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4927% → 27%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
72.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 10Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+3
72.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 13Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
73.1%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
73.4%
Sam Clark punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5773% → 72%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
73.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-10
73.2%
JORDAN, Jawhar rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the JMU49 (JONES, Taurus;COLES, Devyn). PENALTY LOU Holding on REID, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the LOU45 to the LOU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+14
72.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 14 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
73.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-4
72.1%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1729% → 28%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
71.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
71.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
72.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5273% → 71%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
72.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
73.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-11
72.5%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 11 yards to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+6
71.4%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 6 yds to the JMads 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2827% → 26%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
72.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 30Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
72.8%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 30Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
73.2%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
73.7%
Sam Clark punt for 65 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:3572% → 71%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
72.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 15 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
72.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
72.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 10 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
72.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
73.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+11
72.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 11 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the JMads 49Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
73.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+2
71.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the JMads 47Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
71.3%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:4028% → 44%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
71.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 21Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
72.4%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the JMads 26Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
72.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
71.6%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 10 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
70.7%
Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
70.3%
Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the JMads 47Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+20
72.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 20 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
70.8%
Kaelon Black run for 13 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
70.5%
Kaelon Black run for 8 yds to the Lvile 12Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+3
70.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
56.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 1:4262% → 67%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
61.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
62.7%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
62.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+17
61.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 17 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+40
64.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 40 yds to the JMads 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
66.4%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 10Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
66.1%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 11Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
64.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the JMads 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
67.2%
James Turner 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 6:0067% → 71%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
67.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 9 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
67.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
68.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 9 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
69.4%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 11
50
+15
67.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 15 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
69.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the JMads 33Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
69.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 15 yds to the JMads 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
69.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the JMads 11Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-1
69.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 12Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-6
68.3%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 18Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
70.7%
James Turner 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:3031% → 30%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.1%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the JMads 31Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
67.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 30Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
69.2%
JMU Penalty, Delay Of Game (Isaac Ukwu) to the JMads 25Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the JMads 32Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
70.3%
Sam Clark punt for 46 yds , Braden Smith returns for 7 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
83.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 71 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1118% → 16%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.5%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the JMads 29Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
82.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 30Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
83.4%
Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the JMads 31Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
84.3%
Sam Clark punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the Lvile 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15MISSED FG
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2220% → 14%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
80.1%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-5
81.7%
JMU Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
82.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+52
86.2%
Camden Wise 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2486% → 86%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
86.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+6
85.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+7
85.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+10
85.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 10 yds to the JMads 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5914% → 11%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.6%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
85.8%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 35Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
88.3%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
88.7%
Sam Clark punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:2988% → 97%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
87.7%
Tiyon Evans run for 7 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+19
87.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 19 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
88.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Jordan Swann for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 47Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+3
88.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the JMads 44Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+44
96.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 44 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:274% → 4%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.6%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 28Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
95.6%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 27Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Sam Clark punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:1497% → 100%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
97.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+26
97.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 26 yds to the JMads 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
97.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 12 yds to the JMads 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the JMads 12Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
97.7%
, clock 08:10. PENALTY JMU Personal Foul on JONES, Taurus LOU Personal Foul on CUNNINGHAM, Malik , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
97.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the JMads 8Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-3
97.8%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 11Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 11 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.3%
(06:27) BLACK, Kaelon rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the JMU31 (MINKINS, Josh), clock 06:20. PENALTY JMU Holding on HORTON, Zach enforced 10 yards from the JMU25 to the JMU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
99.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 7 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+18
99.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 18 yds to the JMads 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.4%
Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the JMads 41Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
99.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Sam Clark punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-7
99.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-7 Yards) to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+31
99.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 16 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down JMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Devyn Coles) to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
99.8%
(00:14) [NHSG] Kneel down by LOU at LOU40 (team loss of 0), clock 00:01.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:43
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 6:04
Tiyon Evans run for 71 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)
+13.3
TD · Q4 12:22
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 44 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com