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2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:34 · David Shanahan punt for 36 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+19.2Home team on offense+24.6Score differential+16.7Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:34: Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 78 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:52: Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 62 yds for a TD — FSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:06: Zach Pyron pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 32 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +3.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:20: Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 14:12GT 4th & 5 at GT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:12GT 4th & 5 at GT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:24FSU 4th & 3 at GT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 12:24FSU 4th & 3 at GT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 10:34GT 4th & 16 at GT 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 10:34FSU 4th & 1 at GT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:58GT 4th & 7 at FSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:00GT 4th & 7 at GT 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:04GT 4th & 4 at GT 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:14GT 4th & 17 at GT 18, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00FSU 4th & 12 at GT 16, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:34GT 4th & 11 at FSU 36, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:31FSU 4th & 6 at GT 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:31GT 4th & 3 at FSU 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:36GT 4th & 1 at FSU 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:10GT 4th & 3 at FSU 3, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:10GT 4th & 3 at FSU 3, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:02FSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:34FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:52FSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:06GT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:20FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:09FSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:486% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
93.9%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
93.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.8%
David Shanahan punt for 47 yds for a 1ST down , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.8%
David Shanahan punt for 47 yds for a 1ST down , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4894% → 93%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
93.8%
Trey Benson run for 22 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
93.8%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+6
93.8%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
93.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Preston DanielSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
93.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
93.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:507% → 7%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.3%
Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-6
93.3%
Zach Gibson sacked by Tatum Bethune for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+2
93.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
93.0%
David Shanahan punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FUMBLE
14 plays · 49 yds · 4:3993% → 92%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
93.0%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Benson,Trey) 5 yards from FSU46 to FSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+9
92.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 6
50
+8
93.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 8 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
93.1%
Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
93.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
93.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+6
93.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Preston Daniel for 6 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
93.1%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+12
93.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass incomplete short right to Wilson,Johnny, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GT Pass Interference (Sims,Myles) 12 yards from GT 21 to GT 09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
93.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 6 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.1%
Mycah Pittman run for 2 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
91.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 24 Lawrance Toafili fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:579% → 10%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
90.9%
Zach Pyron run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
90.9%
Zach Pyron run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+2
91.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Hassan Hall for 2 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
90.3%
Gavin Stewart 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:5090% → 91%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
90.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 27 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
90.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Benson,Trey rush right for 9 yards gain to the GT 44 (Collins,Noah; Brooks,LaMiles) PENALTY FSU Holding (Scott, Jr.,Robert) 10 yards from FSU47 to FSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
90.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Markeston DouglasSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+15
90.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Roughing The Passer (15 Yards) to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
90.7%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
90.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 8 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
90.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
90.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+15
89.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass incomplete short right to Wilson,Ontaria, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GT Pass Interference (Walton,Zamari) 15 yards from GT 22 to GT 07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0010% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.5%
Zach Pyron run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
90.5%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
90.7%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 13 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
90.1%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+4
90.5%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 4 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+10
89.7%
David Shanahan punt for 36 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 10 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:2690% → 92%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
89.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
89.5%
Malik McClain run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
89.5%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+78
92.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 78 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:308% → 8%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.9%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-15
91.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hall,Hassan rush middle for 1 yard loss to the GT 30 (DeLoach,Kalen) PENALTY GT Chop Block (Williams,Jordan) 15 yards from GT 31 to GT 16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
92.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+15
92.2%
Hassan Hall run for 15 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
91.8%
David Shanahan punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3092% → 92%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
92.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
92.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+8
92.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Deuce SpannSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
92.3%
PENALTY FSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from FSU49 to FSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+14
92.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 14 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
92.2%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
92.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the GTech 34 Lawrance Toafili fumbled, recovered by GTech Noah CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:149% → 8%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-11
91.2%
Zach Pyron sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+2
91.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 2 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 19
OWN 25
-10
91.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pyron,Zach pass complete deep middle to McCollum,Nate for 18 yards to the GT 43 (Vance,Greedy) PENALTY GT Holding (Leonard,Dylan) 10 yards from GT 25 to GT 15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 29
OWN 15
+2
91.8%
Zach Pyron run for 2 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 31
OWN 13
0
92.2%
David Shanahan punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:2891% → 95%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
91.4%
PENALTY FSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting GT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
91.4%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Smith,Maurice) 5 yards from FSU34 to FSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+10
91.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 10 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+11
91.8%
Trey Benson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
50
+3
91.9%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
91.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass complete deep right to McDonald,Camren for 43 yards to the GT 04 (Sims,Myles), out of bounds PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Wilson,Johnny) 15 yards from GT 47 to FSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 22
OWN 38
+62
95.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 62 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:386% → 5%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.2%
Zach Pyron run for 5 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
94.4%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+3
94.5%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+23
94.6%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 23 yds to the GTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:1495% → 97%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
95.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 4 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
95.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+10
95.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 10 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
95.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
95.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass incomplete short middle to Pittman,Mycah PENALTY GT Offside (Kennard,Kyle) 5 yards from GT 14 to GT 09. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-7
95.0%
Jordan Travis sacked by Trenilyas Tatum for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 16Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
95.0%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+34
97.1%
Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 1:523% → 7%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
96.7%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 10 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
96.6%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
96.3%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
96.3%
Zach Pyron sacked by Leonard Warner III for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
96.5%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+32
92.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 32 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 4:4093% → 98%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
93.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for no gain to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
93.4%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+12
93.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 12 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
93.5%
Lawrance Toafili run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
93.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
93.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+24
93.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 24 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
93.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 8 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
93.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
93.6%
Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
98.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:462% → 2%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.7%
Dontae Smith run for 11 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 10 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+19
97.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malachi Carter for 19 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.3%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-7
97.3%
Zach Pyron sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 17
OPP 42
+5
97.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pyron,Zach pass complete short right to Smith,Dontae for 3 yards loss to the FSU45 (DeLoach,Kalen) PENALTY FSU Offside (Verse,Jared) 5 yards from FSU42 to FSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+6
97.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dontae Smith for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 6
OPP 31
-5
97.6%
PENALTY GT False Start 5 yards from FSU31 to FSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
98.1%
David Shanahan punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:0398% → 99%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
97.9%
PENALTY FSU False Start 5 yards from FSU20 to FSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
97.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+19
97.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 19 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
98.0%
Trey Benson run for 27 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.1%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass incomplete short right to McClain,Malik PENALTY FSU Holding (Smith,Maurice) 10 yards from GT 35 to GT 45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 18
OPP 45
+2
98.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+24
98.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 24 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
98.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+3
98.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 3 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
98.8%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.0%
Ryan Fitzgerald 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19DOWNS
19 plays · 72 yds · 5:211% → 1%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 28 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.0%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+6
99.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
98.9%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds to the FlaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
98.8%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-15
98.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Block Below Waist (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 24
OPP 30
+14
98.9%
Nate McCollum run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+9
99.0%
Zach Pyron run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 7 Zach Pyron fumbled, recovered by GTech Zach PyronSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
99.1%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.0%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q4 9:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.1%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.1%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.1%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 97 yds · 7:01100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for no gain to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+18
99.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 18 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
99.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for 18 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
99.6%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Herring,Zane) 5 yards from GT 40 to GT 45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+11
99.6%
CJ Campbell run for 11 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
CJ Campbell run for 5 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for 11 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for 4 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+8
99.8%
Rodney Hill run for 8 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
Rodney Hill run for 1 yd to the GTech 7Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
CJ Campbell run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Peje' Harris for 12 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Peje' Harris for 9 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
50
+14
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 14 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Malachi Carter for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Johnny Wilson) to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Dontae Smith for 2 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+11
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Luke Benson for 11 yds to the FlaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Zach Pyron run for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:20
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q3 13:06
Zach Pyron pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 32 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-3.9
TD · Q2 2:52
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 62 yds for a TD
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com