Try the model
BC

Boston College 15 at Wake Forest 43

WAKE
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:13 · Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+34.6Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:01: Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:11: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:40: Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:41: Phil Jurkovec 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — BC win probability +3.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:41: Sam Hartman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to Ke'Shawn Williams for Two-Point Conversion) — WAKE win probability +5.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BC made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:54BC 4th & 21 at BC 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43WAKE 4th & 8 at BC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13BC 4th & 12 at WAKE 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:13WAKE 4th & 3 at BC 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:47BC 4th & 6 at BC 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:54BC 4th & 8 at BC 40, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:53BC 4th & 11 at WAKE 37, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%
    40% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:43BC 4th & 6 at BC 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 25, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:11WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 28, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:15BC 4th & 9 at BC 21, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:33BC 4th & 6 at BC 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:19BC 4th & 7 at BC 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:12BC 4th & 2 at BC 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:43WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:19BC 4th & 1 at WAKE 38, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:24WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:01WAKE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:51BC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:11WAKE Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:40WAKE Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:41BC Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:41WAKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:36WAKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:0611% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
89.4%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
89.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 12 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
89.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
89.4%
Xavier Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
89.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-9
89.4%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 21
OWN 28
+5
88.7%
Danny Longman punt for 42 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1189% → 88%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
88.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
88.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+15
88.5%
HARTMAN, Sam pass to the right incomplete intended for PERRY, A.T. thrown to the BOS35. PENALTY BOS Pass Interference on DEBERRY, Josh enforced 15 yards to the WFU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.7%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
88.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
88.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
88.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:3012% → 14%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
88.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
88.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
88.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 7 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+12
88.0%
Phil Jurkovec run for 12 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
87.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 18 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
87.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
86.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
86.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
86.6%
Alex Broome run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 7Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
86.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
86.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
86.1%
Connor Lytton 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4987% → 87%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
86.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 10 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
86.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 23 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.1%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the BC 42Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
87.1%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the BC 42Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+7
86.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+7
86.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
87.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
87.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
87.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 3 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
87.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3213% → 13%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
87.2%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-5
87.3%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right complete for 6 yards to COLEMAN, Xavier caught at the BOS19 and advanced to the BOS26 (JONES, Chase;HUDSON, Jaylen). PENALTY Before the snap, BOS Illegal Motion on GILL, Jaelen enforced 5 yards from the BOS20 to the BOS15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+7
87.3%
Xavier Coleman run for 7 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+5
87.3%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right incomplete intended for FRANKLIN, Jeremiah thrown to the BOS26. PENALTY WFU Offsides on DAVIS, Jasheen enforced 5 yards from the BOS22 to the BOS27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
87.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
87.3%
Danny Longman punt for 15 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:4687% → 90%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
86.6%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+17
86.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 17 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
86.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 7 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
86.9%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 40 yds · 6:0111% → 11%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
89.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 9 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
89.1%
Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
89.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Xavier Coleman run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+13
89.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 13 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
88.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 2 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+24
89.4%
Danny Longman run for 24 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for no gain to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
88.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-1
88.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 11
OPP 37
-11
89.3%
Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard line fumbled, recovered by BC Jackson Ness , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 1:0212% → 15%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
50
-11
88.2%
run for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 21
OWN 39
+61
85.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 61 yds for a TD, (Liam Connor PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4085% → 92%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
85.9%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
85.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
86.3%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+17
86.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 17 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
86.8%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
86.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 12 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
86.8%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the BC 17 Sam Hartman fumbled, recovered by WFrst Loic Ngassam NyaSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
86.8%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
91.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:239% → 9%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
90.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
90.7%
Danny Longman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5391% → 91%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
91.3%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-5
91.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Sean Maginn) to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:5010% → 9%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
90.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
90.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+15
90.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 15 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
90.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the BC 42Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-10
90.6%
JURKOVEC, Phil sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the BOS38 (BOTHROYD, Rondell). PENALTY BOS Holding on TRAPILO, Ozzy enforced 10 yards from the BOS42 to the BOS32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+6
90.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4490% → 90%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
90.3%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
90.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-6
90.2%
Sam Hartman sacked by Vinny DePalma for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+3
89.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds , Zay Flowers returns for 3 yds to the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5611% → 9%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 21Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
89.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
89.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
89.6%
Danny Longman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the BC 47Similar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
91.2%
HARTMAN, Sam pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to WHITEHEART, Blake caught at the BOS35 and advanced to the BOS35 (MAITRE, Jason;DEPALMA, Vinny). PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on WHITEHEART, Blake enforced 15 yards to the WFU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:3591% → 97%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 25
OWN 38
0
90.8%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 25
OWN 38
0
90.8%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 25
OWN 38
+33
90.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 33 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
91.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Cam Horsley) to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
91.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
90.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:546% → 10%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
94.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
50
-5
94.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jack Conley) to the BC 45Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-5
94.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jack Conley) to the BC 40Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+23
94.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 23 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
94.0%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+16
94.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 16 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
93.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 14 yds to the WFrst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
93.3%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.9%
Phil Jurkovec 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:1293% → 93%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.7%
HARTMAN, Sam pass to the left incomplete dropped by GREENE, Donavon thrown to the WFU40. PENALTY BOS Roughing the Passer on BANKS, Khris enforced 15 yards from the WFU25 to the WFU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.1%
Sam Hartman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5610% → 9%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
90.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
90.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
90.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
91.3%
Sam Candotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 2:5293% → 99%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
92.6%
Christian Turner run for 15 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+23
92.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
50
+1
93.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+15
93.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 15 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
93.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 16 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
93.3%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+14
93.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to Ke'Shawn Williams for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:182% → 1%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-4
98.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Danny Longman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:4399% → 100%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
98.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
98.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
98.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Quinton Cooley for 10 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+10
98.7%
Sam Hartman run for 10 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
98.8%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+18
98.8%
Justice Ellison run for 18 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
98.8%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the BC 12Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-4
98.8%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 16Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 16 yds for a TD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Amari Jackson) declined, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Emmett Morehead run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dante Reynolds for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Sam Candotti punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Will Towns run for no gain to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Mitch Griffis run for 3 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-7
99.9%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 14
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Zach Murphy punt for 47 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 23 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Xavier Coleman for 5 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 32 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+32
99.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 32 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:40
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q3 0:41
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to Ke'Shawn Williams for Two-Point Conversion)
+5.3
TD · Q2 2:11
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com