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UVA

Virginia 16 at Georgia Tech 9

GT
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2022 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:47 · David Shanahan punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.6Pregame prior+4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:24: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT MISSED) — UVA win probability +9.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:21: Will Bettridge 28 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +7.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:32: Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Leo Blackburn — GT win probability +9.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q4 1:50: Zach Gibson sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 48 — GT win probability +7.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:46: Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malachi Carter — UVA win probability +9.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 11 of 12UVA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:49GT 4th & 6 at GT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:45GT 4th & 13 at GT 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:47GT 4th & 6 at GT 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:24UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:31GT 4th & 14 at GT 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:36GT 4th & 8 at GT 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:56UVA 4th & 3 at GT 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:16UVA 4th & 8 at GT 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24GT 4th & 1 at UVA 8, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%−1.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:33UVA 4th & 3 at GT 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:09GT 4th & 4 at GT 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:23UVA 4th & 5 at GT 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    49.8%−2.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:21UVA 4th & 11 at GT 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−12.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:25GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:17UVA 4th & 7 at GT 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−8.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:43GT 4th & 13 at GT 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−4.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:30UVA 4th & 3 at GT 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−7.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:52GT 4th & 17 at GT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−5.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:40UVA 4th & 9 at UVA 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:18GT 4th & 16 at UVA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:18UVA 4th & 5 at GT 43, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−2.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−1.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:46GT 4th & 11 at GT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.4%−1.8
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:36UVA 4th & 11 at GT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:51GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:01UVA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:24UVA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5657% → 57%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
56.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
56.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Jordan Williams) to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
56.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
56.6%
David Shanahan punt for 29 yds, downed at the Virg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:3543% → 44%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
56.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 4 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
56.5%
Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
50
+11
56.5%
Perris Jones run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 Perris Jones fumbled, forced by Trenilyas Tatum, recovered by GTech LaMiles BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3INT
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:5957% → 58%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
56.9%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
57.0%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+23
57.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 23 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
57.5%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+10
57.6%
Dontae Smith run for 10 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
57.7%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+6
57.8%
Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+2
57.6%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
57.8%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for no gain to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.7%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback. Coen King return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2443% → 41%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
56.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 3 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-37
59.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted for a TD LaMiles Brooks return for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2741% → 46%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
59.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 31 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
58.5%
Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
58.5%
Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+15
58.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 15 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
58.3%
Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
58.3%
Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+9
59.1%
Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Thompson, Keytaon, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Wallace, KJ) 9 yards to the GATECH14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.Similar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
58.4%
Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Thompson, Keytaon, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Brooks, LaMiles) 12 yards to the GATECH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.Similar
Q1 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
58.5%
Xavier Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
58.4%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5256% → 55%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
56.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
57.3%
Malik Rutherford run for 4 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-2
57.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-5
56.2%
Jeff Sims sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
55.1%
David Shanahan punt for 40 yds, downed at the Virg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:1845% → 45%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
55.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
55.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
56.0%
Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Wicks, Dontayvion, PENALTY GATECH personal foul (Douse, D'Quan) 15 yards to the VIRGINIA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.Similar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Zamari Walton return for no gain to the GTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1356% → 55%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
55.9%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+4
55.8%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+5
55.2%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
56.1%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
56.0%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
55.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
54.9%
David Shanahan punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2345% → 44%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
55.2%
Brown, Xavier rush for 2 yards to the VIRGINIA17, PENALTY VIRGINIA personal foul (Johnson III, Jestus) 7 yards to the VIRGINIA8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+5
55.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+3
55.2%
Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-2
55.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 14Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
56.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds , Nate McCollum returns for no gain to the GTech 14 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyson Meiguez) to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4556% → 54%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
56.2%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-4
55.9%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
54.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
54.3%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:4547% → 56%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
53.1%
Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+22
52.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 22 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
43.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:4847% → 44%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
46.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Corey Robinson II) to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
46.3%
Zach Gibson run for 1 yd to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
46.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
45.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 16 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
46.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-4
48.1%
Zach Gibson sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
45.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+22
44.4%
David Shanahan punt for 38 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 22 yds to the Virg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:5658% → 60%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
42.3%
Xavier Brown run for 18 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
41.9%
Xavier Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+7
40.4%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
39.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+6
40.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 6 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
37.4%
Perris Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
38.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 4 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
38.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
40.1%
Will Bettridge 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 0:4643% → 50%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+25
42.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 25 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
45.3%
Zach Gibson run for 7 yds to the GATECH 46 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
47.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
47.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+14
45.3%
Hassan Hall run for 14 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
47.7%
Zach Gibson sacked by Michael Diatta for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+11
47.7%
Zach Gibson run for 11 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
46.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
49.9%
Gavin Stewart 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1252% → 51%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
48.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 2Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+1
48.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:4752% → 53%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
48.4%
Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
48.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 31 yds to the GATECH 44 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
45.7%
Perris Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+8
46.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
45.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
47.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 42 yds, downed at the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1548% → 46%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
48.2%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 4
OWN 11
0
48.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
47.0%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+9
46.2%
David Shanahan punt for 49 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 9 yds to the Virg 20 VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Virg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3755% → 53%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
45.3%
Keytaon Thompson run for 5 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
44.8%
Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+5
44.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
44.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
46.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 41 yds, downed at the GTech 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4147% → 46%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
47.4%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+2
47.1%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
45.7%
Zach Gibson run for no gain to the GTech 9 Zach Gibson fumbled, recovered by Virg Nick JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3958% → 65%
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
41.9%
Perris Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 13 Perris Jones fumbled, recovered by Virg Brennan ArmstrongSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
40.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 7 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 0
OPP 6
-5
40.4%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Lavel Davis Jr.) to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
41.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
34.7%
Will Bettridge 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5138% → 36%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.9%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
36.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
35.7%
David Shanahan punt for 48 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 10 yds to the Virg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5767% → 69%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
33.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+11
32.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
30.9%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+37
29.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 37 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
28.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Derek Devine) to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
28.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+8
28.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 8 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
29.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
31.3%
Will Bettridge 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1636% → 33%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
36.0%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
35.5%
Zach Gibson sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. and Paul Akere for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 17Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
33.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malik RutherfordSimilar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+5
32.6%
David Shanahan punt for 40 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 5 yds to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5072% → 73%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
28.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+10
26.6%
Xavier Brown run for 10 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
25.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
24.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-1
24.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
26.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3432% → 27%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
32.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
31.3%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-10
30.0%
Zach Gibson sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. and Paul Akere for a loss of 10 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 17
OWN 21
0
27.3%
David Shanahan punt for 55 yds, downed at the Virg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:0574% → 76%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
26.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 12 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
24.6%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the Virg 41 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 31Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
26.3%
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
22.3%
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
22.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+26
23.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Jalen Huff blocked by Jalen Huff Stevie Bracey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36 Stevie Bracey fumbled, forced by Kaleb Edwards, recovered by GTech Ahmari HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:1434% → 26%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
33.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
33.5%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-6
31.6%
Zach Gibson sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 42Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
26.3%
David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, downed at the Virg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:1278% → 85%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
21.9%
Xavier Brown run for no gain to the Virg 9Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+43
20.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 43 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
16.5%
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+4
14.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
13.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
15.1%
Daniel Sparks punt for 36 yds, downed at the GTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 29DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:0922% → 15%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
21.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 12
0
22.0%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 12
-9
20.2%
Zach Gibson sacked by Paul Akere for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 3Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 14
OWN 3
+15
18.5%
Shanahan, David punt 44 yards to the GATECH47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VIRGINIA personal foul (Davis Jr., Lavel) 15 yards to the GATECH18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
22.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 4 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+12
22.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 12 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
22.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
22.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 6 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
22.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
20.7%
Gibson, Zach pass complete to Leonard, Dylan for 23 yards to the VIRGINIA28, PENALTY GATECH illegal touching (Leonard, Dylan) 5 yards to the GATECH44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+13
17.5%
Hassan Hall run for 13 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-9
24.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
15.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 30PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 1:0492% → 94%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
8.4%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
4.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-1
4.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 6
OPP 43
-5
5.6%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
6.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:2610% → 13%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
10.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 11 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
11.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
12.7%
Zach Gibson run for 1 yd to the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-12.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:32
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Leo Blackburn
+9.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:46
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malachi Carter
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com