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MIA

Miami 20 at Virginia Tech 14

VT
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:28 · Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense−19.7Pregame prior−13.8Score differential−9.8Garbage-time factor−6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:19: Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete — MIA win probability +5.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:54: Andres Borregales 25 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +6.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:10: Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 14 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK) — VT win probability +11.2 pts (now 16%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:10: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 14 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST down — MIA win probability +6.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:19: Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VTech 2 — VT win probability +4.6 pts (now 12%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 8MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:36VT 4th & 1 at VT 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:02MIA 4th & 6 at VT 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00VT 4th & 6 at VT 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:54MIA 4th & 8 at VT 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:57VT 4th & 7 at VT 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:19VT 4th & 15 at MIA 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:28MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 33, up 17
    Close callPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50VT 4th & 14 at VT 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:14MIA 4th & 6 at VT 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−1.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:20VT 4th & 1 at VT 17, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:54MIA 4th & 4 at VT 7, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−7.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:51VT 4th & 18 at VT 27, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 17, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:19MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:58VT 4th & 6 at VT 36, down 13
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:02MIA 4th & 10 at VT 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:05MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:28MIA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:10VT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:2324% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
23.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 16 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
23.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
23.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+27
24.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 27 yds Dae'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Avantae WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3276% → 76%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
24.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 30 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
24.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-5
24.6%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the left incomplete intended for LADSON JR., Frank thrown to the VT35, clock 12:40. PENALTY MIA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MALLORY, Will enforced 5 yards from the VT37 to the VT42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+37
24.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 37 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2924% → 25%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
24.3%
Grant Wells run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
24.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.6%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brashard Smith at the MiaFl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4FG
20 plays · 71 yds · 7:2475% → 75%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
24.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+15
24.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 15 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
24.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
24.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 4 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+14
24.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 14 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
24.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
24.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
24.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 3 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
24.5%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the right complete for 32 yards to SMITH, Brashard caught at the VT9 and advanced to the VT6 (PEOPLES, Nasir), clock 07:43. PENALTY MIA Holding on DENIS, Jonathan enforced 10 yards from the VT38 to the VT48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
24.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-10
24.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brashard Smith) to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 26
OWN 46
+28
25.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 28 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
24.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
24.5%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 9 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
24.6%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
24.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 4 yds to the VTech 10Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
24.5%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for no gain to the VTech 10Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
25.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
24.9%
Andres Borregales 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0725% → 25%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
25.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 6 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
25.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
25.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
25.7%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
25.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
25.0%
Peter Moore punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
24.9%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the left incomplete intended for YOUNG, Colbie thrown to the VT35, clock 14:55. PENALTY MIA Personal Foul on COOPER, Anez enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the MIA28 to the MIA14 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:5675% → 75%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 24
OWN 14
0
25.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 24
OWN 14
+35
25.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 20 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Targeting on PEOPLES, Nasir enforced (Nasir Peoples) to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-6
24.3%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by TyJuan Garbutt and Josh Fuga for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+1
24.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-5
24.9%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 20
OWN 39
+12
25.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Thaddius Franklin Jr. for 12 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
24.9%
Lou Hedley punt for 39 yds, downed at the VTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:5724% → 24%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
24.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 1 yd to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+10
24.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 10 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
24.5%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
24.5%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-6
24.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
24.0%
WELLS, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Kaleb thrown to the VT45. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on PORTER JR., Daryl enforced 15 yards to the VT36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
24.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 3 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
25.1%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
24.6%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
24.3%
Peter Moore punt for 41 yds, downed at the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:2976% → 81%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
23.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 6 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
23.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+19
23.1%
Jacurri Brown run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
22.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 9 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+9
22.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 9 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
22.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 17 yds to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
22.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
19.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 17 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:0919% → 18%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
19.1%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
19.0%
WELLS, Grant sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the VT20 (MESIDOR, Akheem). PENALTY MIA Offsides enforced 5 yards from the VT29 to the VT34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
19.5%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
19.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Wesley Bissainthe) to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
20.8%
Grant Wells sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+6
20.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 6 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-7
20.6%
Grant Wells sacked by Corey Flagg Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
17.8%
Peter Moore punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:5188% → 87%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
12.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
12.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+15
12.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
12.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 13 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
11.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 6 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
11.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
11.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
13.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
16.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3285% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
14.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 6 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
14.5%
Lou Hedley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3815% → 14%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
14.7%
Grant Wells sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
14.4%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
13.9%
Peter Moore punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jahfari Harvey at the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:3687% → 88%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
13.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
13.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-5
13.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (James Williams) to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+27
13.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 12 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Roughing the Passer on POLLARD, Norell enforced (15 Yards) to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
12.1%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
12.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Dominic Mammarelli for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 12
50
+11
12.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 11 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-5
13.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
12.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 36 yds, downed at the VTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5413% → 12%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
12.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+4
12.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+1
12.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 1 yd to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+18
12.2%
Peter Moore punt for 51 yds , Brashard Smith returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:2690% → 96%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
50
+9
10.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 9 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+18
9.9%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 18 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
9.8%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass up the middle incomplete intended for YOUNG, Colbie thrown to the VT14. PENALTY VT Holding on JOHNSON, Cam enforced 10 yards from the VT23 to the VT13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
9.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
9.8%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 10Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+3
9.9%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 3 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
3.9%
Andres Borregales 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:035% → 4%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
5.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 7 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
5.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Malachi Thomas) to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
4.8%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-3
4.8%
Grant Wells sacked by Nyjalik Kelly and Mitchell Agude for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
4.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 18
OWN 27
-5
4.4%
Peter Moore punt for 52 yds , Brashard Smith returns for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5197% → 96%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
3.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 14Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+6
3.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-3
3.2%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by TyJuan Garbutt for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+47
3.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 47 yds , DJ Harvey returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:504% → 16%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
3.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 11 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.1%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
4.1%
Grant Wells run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
4.3%
WELLS, Grant pass to the right incomplete dropped by WRIGHT, Dae'Quan thrown to the MIA29. PENALTY MIA Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the MIA42 to the MIA27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
4.7%
Grant Wells run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
4.7%
Grant Wells sacked by Akheem Mesidor and Leonard Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
4.5%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 14Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
15.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 14 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5191% → 92%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
8.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 14 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
8.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaleel Skinner) to the MiaFl 0Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
7.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
7.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
7.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+6
7.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 6 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
7.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 58 yds, downed at the VTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:2112% → 9%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
12.2%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VTech 2Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
11.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 4Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+16
11.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 16 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
12.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 12 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
13.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 4 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
13.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
12.6%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
8.9%
Peter Moore punt for 32 yds, downed at the MiaFl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:5694% → 95%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
6.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 24 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
5.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
5.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
5.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23Uncategorized
10 plays · 60 yds · 1:028% → 9%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
7.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+23
7.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 23 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
9.1%
Grant Wells sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+2
6.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 2 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+25
6.4%
Grant Wells run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Te'Cory Couch) to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
10.0%
WELLS, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for JONES, Jaylen thrown to the MIA8. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on IVEY, DJ enforced 15 yards to the MIA20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
10.4%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
10.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-5
9.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:10
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 14 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK)
+11.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-9
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:10
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 14 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST down
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com