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CLEM

Clemson 34 at Florida State 28

FSU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:11 · Alex Mastromanno punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.3Pregame prior−10.6Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:19: Jake Briningstool 7 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +8.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: DJ Uiagalelei 5 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +8.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:41: Davis Allen 31 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +12.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:22: Ja'Khi Douglas 6 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) — FSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:17: Kentron Poitier 25 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) — FSU win probability +29.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:31CLEM 4th & 18 at CLEM 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:11FSU 4th & 23 at FSU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55FSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−3.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:51CLEM 4th & 1 at FSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−3.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:58FSU 4th & 2 at CLEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    47.8%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:51CLEM 4th & 7 at FSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:31FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 30, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:32CLEM 4th & 14 at FSU 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−7.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:31FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:05CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:48FSU 4th & 4 at CLEM 4, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:45CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 7, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:52CLEM 4th & 14 at FSU 41, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:41FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:19CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:19CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:41CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:22FSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:17FSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1138% → 41%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
38.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
38.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
50
0
38.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
50
+3
38.7%
Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+10
38.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 10 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
39.3%
Trey Benson run for 19 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
39.6%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
41.0%
Jordan Travis 20 Yd Run (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:0359% → 58%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
40.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
40.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
41.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-15
41.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis Allen CLEMSON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Blake Miller) to the Clem 23Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 23
OWN 23
+5
41.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 5 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+31
42.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 54 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 31 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:1143% → 43%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
42.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
43.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson, broken up by K.J. HenrySimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-15
42.8%
Jordan Travis sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 23
OWN 36
0
42.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1357% → 60%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
43.1%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
43.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 7 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
43.3%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
40.2%
Antonio Williams 59 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
18 plays · 93 yds · 6:4641% → 49%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+22
40.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 22 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
41.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 2 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
41.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+18
41.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 18 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
43.0%
Trey Benson run for 16 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
43.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
43.5%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Pittman, Mycah (Phillips, Jalyn), PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Phillips, Jalyn) 6 yards to the CLEMSON25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
43.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+6
43.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 6 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
44.1%
Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-5
44.5%
Pittman, Mycah rush for 1 yard to the CLEMSON6, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal shift (Pittman, Mycah) 5 yards to the CLEMSON12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
44.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
44.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
45.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Trey BensonSimilar
Q1 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
44.9%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.3%
DJ Lundy 1 Yd Run (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2951% → 59%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.7%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
49.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
50.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 19 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
48.4%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Derrick McLendon II for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+14
50.3%
Phil Mafah run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
49.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
50.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
49.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 11 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis AllenSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
49.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+17
50.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 17 yds to the FlaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
49.6%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.2%
Jake Briningstool 7 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:1446% → 48%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.1%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
46.6%
Trey Benson run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
47.8%
Trey Benson run for 20 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
49.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson, broken up by Nate WigginsSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
49.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Markeston DouglasSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+8
48.1%
Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
47.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson, broken up by Nate WigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:0157% → 61%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
43.3%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
43.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 6 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
42.3%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
42.3%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+11
42.0%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
41.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jake Briningstool, broken up by Tatum BethuneSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
41.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
41.5%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
40.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis Allen, broken up by Akeem DentSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
40.8%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
40.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
38.6%
B.T. Potter 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5841% → 42%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
42.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
50
-2
44.1%
Jordan Travis run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-6
42.0%
Jordan Travis sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 42 Jordan Travis fumbled, forced by Myles Murphy, recovered by Clem Tyler Davis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 0:2064% → 74%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+36
36.1%
Will Shipley run for 36 yds to the FlaSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
34.6%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.4%
DJ Uiagalelei 5 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:1329% → 29%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
28.4%
Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
28.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 11 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
17.4%
Davis Allen 31 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0120% → 19%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
19.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
19.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+7
18.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
18.5%
Wyatt Rector run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14FG
13 plays · 18 yds · 4:5384% → 93%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
16.3%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+8
16.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Phil Mafah for 8 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
15.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 17 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Adam Randall) to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
14.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Phil Mafah for 4 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
13.8%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
13.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Phil Mafah for 1 yd to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+10
13.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 10 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
13.0%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-10
12.8%
Uiagalelei, DJ rush for 5 yards to the FLORIDAST0, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Miller, Blake) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
13.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph Ngata, broken up by Renardo GreenSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 13
OPP 15
-1
13.2%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+34
6.9%
B.T. Potter 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:5511% → 9%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.9%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
9.2%
Travis, Jordan pass complete to Douglas, Ja'Khi for 28 yards to the CLEMSON42, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal shift 5 yards to the FLORIDAST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1295% → 96%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
4.6%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
4.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
4.2%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
4.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Will Putnam) to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+41
4.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 41 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17DOWNS
17 plays · 76 yds · 5:106% → 4%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
5.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 13 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
5.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
5.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+6
5.6%
Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
5.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 9 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
5.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 6 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.6%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
5.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+15
5.2%
Travis, Jordan pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CLEMSON46 (Orhorhoro, Ruke), PENALTY CLEMSON face mask (Orhorhoro, Ruke) 15 yards to the CLEMSON25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
5.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 3 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+14
5.1%
Jordan Travis run for 14 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+6
5.3%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson, Johnny, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Jones, Sheridan) 6 yards to the CLEMSON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
5.3%
Jordan Travis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 4Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
4.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili, broken up by K.J. HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5797% → 97%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
3.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+3
3.4%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 7
OWN 7
0
3.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 7
OWN 7
0
2.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 53 yds, downed at the FlaSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:113% → 17%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
3.1%
Jordan Travis run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
3.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Trey BensonSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+25
3.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 25 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
3.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 22 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
4.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance ToafiliSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
4.1%
Jordan Travis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 6Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.0%
Ja'Khi Douglas 6 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
16 plays · 34 yds · 5:2394% → 97%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
5.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
5.3%
Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
4.3%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
3.7%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
3.6%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
3.4%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
3.0%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
2.8%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Malcolm Ray for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-5
3.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Blake Miller) to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+4
3.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
3.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 35 yds, downed at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 1:283% → 32%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
2.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 7 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 13
0
2.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+10
2.4%
Jordan Travis run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
2.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 23 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
2.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+29
2.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 29 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
31.5%
Kentron Poitier 25 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:0292% → 97%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
8.2%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 13
OPP 35
-3
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 16
OPP 38
-1
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:17
Kentron Poitier 25 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)
+29.1
TD · Q4 9:22
Ja'Khi Douglas 6 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)
+12.9
TD · Q3 14:41
Davis Allen 31 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (B.T. Potter Kick)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com