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DUKE

Duke 20 at Georgia Tech 23

GT
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:50 · David Shanahan punt for 37 yds , Jalon Calhoun returns for 19 yds to the Duke 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 7Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior−7.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:02: Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +9.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:30: Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +12.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:42: Gavin Stewart 23 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +6.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:08: Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) — DUKE win probability +46.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Gavin Stewart 37 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +17.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:50GT 4th & 9 at DUKE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00DUKE 4th & 8 at GT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:31GT 4th & 4 at DUKE 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:46DUKE 4th & 24 at GT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:03DUKE 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:57GT 4th & 2 at DUKE 36, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−0.8
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:00DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:30DUKE 4th & 2 at GT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.3%−1.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:23GT 4th & 11 at GT 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:31DUKE 4th & 8 at GT 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−8.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:42GT 4th & 6 at DUKE 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−6.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:36DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:55GT 4th & 15 at GT 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:55GT 4th & 6 at GT 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:07DUKE 4th & 5 at GT 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−2.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−4.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:41GT 4th & 3 at GT 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2DUKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:02GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:30GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:08DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1042% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
42.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
42.0%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
42.0%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
42.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
42.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jeff Sims for 1 yd to the Duke 45Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
42.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+19
42.7%
David Shanahan punt for 37 yds , Jalon Calhoun returns for 19 yds to the Duke 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:5057% → 57%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
42.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 12 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
42.5%
Jaquez Moore run for 10 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
42.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
42.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 7 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
42.7%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-3
42.7%
Riley Leonard sacked by Makius Scott and Sylvain Yondjouen for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+2
43.2%
Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
43.5%
Porter Wilson punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:2944% → 47%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.7%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+19
43.7%
Jeff Sims run for 19 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
44.5%
Jeff Sims sacked by R.J. Oben for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+4
44.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+15
43.8%
SIMS, Jeff pass up the middle incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU46. PENALTY DU Pass Interference on FISHER-SMITH, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the DU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
45.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 8 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+15
45.4%
Jeff Sims run for 15 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
45.9%
(05:46) SIMS, Jeff pass to the right incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU10. PENALTY GT Holding on HALL, Hassan enforced 10 yards from the DU22 to the DU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+14
45.6%
Dontae Smith run for 14 yds to the Duke 18Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+10
45.9%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
45.9%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the Duke 5Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
45.9%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the Duke 4Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
45.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
45.9%
(05:46) SIMS, Jeff pass to the right incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU10. PENALTY GT Holding on HALL, Hassan enforced 10 yards from the DU22 to the DU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+14
45.6%
Dontae Smith run for 14 yds to the Duke 18Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
46.9%
Gavin Stewart 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:4553% → 51%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
46.8%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the Duke 28Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
47.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 10 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
46.5%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 37Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+24
47.0%
Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Kennard) to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
45.7%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+7
45.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 7 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-15
45.8%
DUKE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jontavis Robertson) to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 36
-5
47.6%
DUKE Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
OPP 41
0
47.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
45.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 24
OPP 41
0
48.9%
Porter Wilson punt for 35 yds , Hassan Hall returns for no gain to the GTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 5:4448% → 61%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
47.8%
Jeff Sims run for 14 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
48.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 12 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
48.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 21 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
49.8%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Duke 42Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
49.7%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
49.4%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
51.7%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Duke 29Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+8
51.6%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
50.9%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
51.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Pierce Quick) to the Duke 24Similar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+6
51.4%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the Duke 18Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
60.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:5241% → 41%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
59.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Terry Moore for 3 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
58.8%
Terry Moore run for 2 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+14
59.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 14 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
57.8%
Terry Moore run for 8 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
57.0%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
57.6%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
59.1%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+7
58.7%
Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
58.1%
Riley Leonard sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-5
58.2%
LEONARD, Riley pass to the left incomplete intended for HARDING JR., Darrell thrown to the GT15. PENALTY DU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LYTLE, Chance enforced 5 yards from the GT32 to the GT37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 16
OPP 37
0
59.9%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+9
61.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 9 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
59.4%
Charlie Ham 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:0662% → 62%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
61.6%
Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
61.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 1 yd to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+15
61.2%
DUKE Penalty, Targeting on HEYWARD, Shaka enforced (Shaka Heyward) to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
63.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
63.9%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
63.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
62.1%
David Shanahan punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5739% → 37%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.7%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
61.5%
Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the Duke 26Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
63.2%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the Duke 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0038% → 35%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.8%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
61.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
62.4%
Riley Leonard sacked by Ayinde Eley and Khari Gee for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 26Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+9
65.1%
Porter Wilson punt for 54 yds , Nate McCollum returns for 9 yds to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:3065% → 80%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
64.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 13 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
66.5%
Hassan Hall run for 13 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
67.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+37
80.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11INT
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:0622% → 22%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.7%
Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
76.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 21 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
75.2%
LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBERTSON, Jontavis thrown to the GT30. PENALTY GT Holding on SIMS, Myles enforced 10 yards from the GT49 to the GT39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
75.2%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
75.3%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
75.4%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+22
76.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 22 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
73.7%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the GTech 8Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
73.7%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the GTech 8Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
76.3%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.9%
Riley Leonard pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0184% → 84%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
83.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 12 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
83.9%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
83.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-5
83.1%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the right complete for 4 yards to HALL, Hassan caught at the GT19 and advanced to the GT25 (RIVERS, Chandler). PENALTY Before the snap, GT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GT21 to the GT16. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-1
83.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-1
83.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 11
OWN 15
+18
83.8%
David Shanahan punt for 41 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 18 yds to the GTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:5220% → 20%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
79.7%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-3
78.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+10
80.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 10 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
80.9%
Terry Moore run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+11
80.9%
Terry Moore run for 11 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
81.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
81.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
82.7%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
80.4%
Charlie Ham 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:4983% → 93%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.0%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
83.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
84.3%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
85.9%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
85.1%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
50
+25
86.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for 25 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
86.6%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
86.6%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Duke 22Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+14
86.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 14 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
87.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 2 yds to the Duke 6Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
93.3%
Gavin Stewart 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:009% → 8%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 1 yd to the Duke 21Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
91.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 6 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
90.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
91.6%
Porter Wilson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the GTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 5 yds · 3:4194% → 87%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
94.4%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
94.4%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+8
94.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for 8 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
94.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
94.3%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
94.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 15
OWN 28
+81
87.4%
David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5689% → 82%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
89.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 13 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
89.2%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
89.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+40
91.3%
David Shanahan punt for 50 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 40 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
81.9%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Andre Harris) to the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4818% → 15%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
81.9%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Andre Harris) to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+10
83.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 10 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
80.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
82.4%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
85.2%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:1794% → 94%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
93.6%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-2
94.7%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+2
94.4%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
94.2%
David Shanahan punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 2:339% → 58%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 5 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
91.2%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.0%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
91.9%
(01:57) LEONARD, Riley pass to the right incomplete intended for DALMOLIN, Nicky thrown to the DU36; QB hurried by YONDJOUEN, Sylvain. PENALTY GT Roughing the Passer on YONDJOUEN, Sylvain enforced 15 yards from the DU30 to the DU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
90.0%
Terry Moore run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
50
+8
88.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 8 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
88.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 6 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
87.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
87.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 6 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
86.3%
(00:35) LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle incomplete intended for PANCOL, Eli thrown to the GT15. PENALTY GT Personal Foul on SCOTT, Makius enforced 15 yards from the GT30 to the GT15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
85.5%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
85.5%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+13
88.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (KJ Wallace) to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.4%
[NH] Kneel down by GT at GT23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
65.4%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+5
62.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 5 yds to the Duke 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
80.1%
Gavin Stewart 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23MISSED FG
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0029% → 12%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
71.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the GTech 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+3
71.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the GTech 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-15
76.7%
LEONARD, Riley pass to the left complete for 10 yards to HAGANS, Sahmir caught at the GT20 and advanced to the GT9 (POWELL-LEE, Clayton). PENALTY DU Pass Interference on ROBERTSON, Jontavis enforced 15 yards to the GT34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 34
0
82.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 19
OPP 34
+52
87.9%
Charlie Ham 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:08
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)
-46.2
FG · OT 0:00
Gavin Stewart 37 yd FG GOOD
+17.3
TD · Q3 11:30
Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com