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CLEM

Clemson 31 at Boston College 3

BC
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Xavier Coleman run for 1 yd to the BC 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:30: DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the BC 21 — CLEM win probability +3.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:45: Will Shipley run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — CLEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:50: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 38 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:57: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 10 of 13CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:28CLEM 4th & 6 at BC 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27BC 4th & 9 at CLEM 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55BC 4th & 4 at CLEM 18, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:40CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56BC 4th & 8 at CLEM 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:49CLEM 4th & 7 at BC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    82.1%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22BC 4th & 2 at CLEM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:33CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:20BC 4th & 6 at BC 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:43CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:45BC 4th & 12 at BC 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:39BC 4th & 2 at BC 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:09BC 4th & 16 at BC 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:20CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:05BC 4th & 15 at BC 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:48CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:22BC 4th & 10 at CLEM 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:25BC 4th & 5 at BC 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:40CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:31CLEM 4th & 12 at BC 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:34BC 4th & 21 at CLEM 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:00BC 4th & 1 at BC 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 0:45CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:50CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:57CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:22CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:1791% → 90%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
8.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+19
8.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 19 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
9.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 14 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
9.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 9 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
9.4%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
9.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 24Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+7
9.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Adam Randall for 7 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
9.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
10.0%
B.T. Potter 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:5610% → 12%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
10.1%
Zay Flowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
10.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
10.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
10.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+23
10.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 23 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
11.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-1
11.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jack Conley for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
11.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
11.6%
Sam Candotti punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:4188% → 88%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
11.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the Clem 2Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+12
12.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 12 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
12.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted Josh DeBerry return for no gain to the Clem 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0513% → 13%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
12.7%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
12.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+6
12.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
12.8%
Connor Lytton 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0487% → 86%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
12.8%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
12.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Blake Miller) to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
13.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
13.8%
DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
14.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:1914% → 16%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
14.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 35 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
14.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 11 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
15.3%
Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
15.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-2
15.6%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-5
15.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 13Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
16.4%
Connor Lytton 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0785% → 84%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
15.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
14.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
15.1%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
15.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
16.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:1817% → 21%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
16.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
16.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
16.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
17.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+14
17.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
19.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 49 lat. to Zay Flowers for 1 yd to the BC 49 lat. to Jaden Williams for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
19.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 15 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
20.8%
Xavier Coleman run for 8 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
21.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
21.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 28
0
20.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Spencer WitterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4081% → 80%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
18.7%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
19.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
19.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+2
20.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 35 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4021% → 21%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
21.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
22.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+1
21.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 6
OWN 41
-10
20.8%
Danny Longman punt for 39 yds , Will Taylor returns for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 10 Will Taylor fumbled, recovered by ClemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:1780% → 79%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
19.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 8 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
19.6%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
20.1%
Uiagalelei, DJ pass incomplete to Collins, Beaux, PENALTY BOSTONCOLL pass interference (DeBerry, Josh) 15 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
19.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
20.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 5 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
20.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
19.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
20.8%
Aidan Swanson punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4523% → 23%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
23.3%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 5Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
23.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 12
OWN 5
0
22.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Pat Garwo IIISimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 12
OWN 5
+20
22.5%
Danny Longman punt for 43 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 20 yds to the BC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:4581% → 86%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
19.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+3
19.7%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
19.9%
Phil Mafah run for 8 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+4
20.0%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
19.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 1 yd to the BC 5Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
20.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.9%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:3617% → 18%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
16.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+8
17.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 8 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
17.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
17.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0617% → 17%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
17.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
16.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 9 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
16.9%
Danny Longman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Taylor at the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:3084% → 91%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
16.0%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
15.2%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
15.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+21
15.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 21 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
9.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 38 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3211% → 10%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
10.7%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
10.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
10.2%
Danny Longman punt for 48 yds, downed at the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4491% → 90%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
9.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
9.1%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
9.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
9.7%
Aidan Swanson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0510% → 10%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
10.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
10.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 16 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
11.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
11.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-9
11.3%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 43 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, recovered by BCSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
10.2%
Danny Longman punt for 37 yds , Will Taylor returns for no gain to the Clem 20 Will Taylor fumbled, recovered by ClemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5791% → 91%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
8.7%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+7
8.8%
Will Shipley run for 7 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-6
8.8%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Jason Maitre for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 19Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+16
9.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 36 yds , Zay Flowers returns for 16 yds to the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:2311% → 11%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
11.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
11.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+12
11.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 12 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
11.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
11.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
11.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
10.5%
Connor Lytton 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Etinosa ReubenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:0392% → 98%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+25
8.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 25 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
7.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
7.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 7 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+11
7.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 11 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
7.1%
Phil Mafah run for 17 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
7.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the BC 12Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
6.8%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
1.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:053% → 2%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
2.7%
Xavier Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 23Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
2.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+6
2.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 5
OWN 29
-4
2.1%
Danny Longman punt for 47 yds , Antonio Williams returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2098% → 98%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
1.8%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
1.8%
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
1.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
1.8%
Aidan Swanson punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:182% → 2%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
2.0%
Xavier Coleman run for 11 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
2.1%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Barrett Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 23 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, forced by Barrett Carter, recovered by Clem Payton Page , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2899% → 99%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
1.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
1.4%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
-1
1.4%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Kam Arnold for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 25Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
1.5%
B.T. Potter 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:512% → 1%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Xavier Coleman run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.8%
Xavier Coleman run for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+32
1.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 32 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.2%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
1.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Dino TomlinSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-11
1.7%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 21
OPP 46
0
1.2%
Danny Longman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Will Taylor at the Clem 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 1:5899% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
1.1%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+24
1.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Brannon Spector for 24 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
0.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
0.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+40
0.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 40 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
0.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Brannon Spector for 13 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 4:000% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Xavier Coleman run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
0.1%
Xavier Coleman run for 4 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Xavier Coleman run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.1%
Xavier Coleman run for 3 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
0.1%
Xavier Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+1
0.1%
Xavier Coleman run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:50
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 38 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q2 0:45
Will Shipley run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q4 14:57
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com