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Georgia Tech 26 at Pittsburgh 21

PITT
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:42 · David Shanahan punt for 51 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior+28.8Home team on offense−2.0Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:04: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 29 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +11.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 12:40: Gavin Stewart 30 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +8.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:30: Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 21 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +27.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:57: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 26 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +28.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 18 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +19.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:14GT 4th & 8 at PITT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:41GT 4th & 11 at GT 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:15PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:44GT 4th & 12 at GT 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:57PITT 4th & 15 at PITT 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00GT 4th & 23 at GT 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:07PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:42GT 4th & 15 at GT 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:42PITT 4th & 3 at GT 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:54PITT 4th & 4 at GT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:50GT 4th & 1 at PITT 16, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%−1.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−5.9
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:34GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:36GT 4th & 16 at PITT 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−7.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:55PITT 4th & 10 at GT 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:33GT 4th & 2 at GT 39, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:40GT 4th & 3 at PITT 13, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%−1.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−20.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:45PITT 4th & 29 at PITT 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:51GT 4th & 1 at PITT 1, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−8.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:04PITT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:30GT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:57PITT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:25GT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:16PITT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:4610% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.0%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.0%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
90.0%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
90.0%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
90.0%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+33
90.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 33 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
90.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
90.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 2 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
88.8%
Gavin Stewart 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
88.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
88.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 36 yds, downed at the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
88.6%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-2
88.6%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
88.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+8
88.8%
David Shanahan punt for 46 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 8 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
88.2%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
88.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Ryan Jacoby for 3 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
88.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
87.5%
Nate McCollum run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 19
OWN 18
-4
87.6%
Jeff Sims sacked by David Green for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+11
87.7%
Jeff Sims run for 11 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 12
OWN 25
+6
87.8%
David Shanahan punt for 42 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 6 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
86.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Ryan Jacoby) to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+5
86.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vincent Davis for 5 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
86.8%
Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-4
86.6%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Sylvain Yondjouen for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
86.4%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 39 yds, downed at the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 3:5814% → 16%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to for no gain to the GTech 27 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (E.J. Jenkins) to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 23
OWN 14
0
86.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+6
86.3%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
86.5%
SHANAHAN, David punt 48 yards to the PIT32, DEVONSHIRE, M.J. return 13 yards to the PIT45 (POWELL-LEE, Clayton), clock 03:58. PENALTY PIT Illegal Block in the Back on LEWIS, Jehvonn declined PIT Roughing the Kicker on O'BRIEN, P.J. enforced 15 yards from the GAT20 to the GAT35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
85.9%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
85.8%
Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
85.6%
Jeff Sims sacked by Calijah Kancey for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+2
85.9%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-8
83.8%
Jeff Sims sacked by Solomon DeShields for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
84.3%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for no gain to the Pitt 34 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Pitt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:2485% → 80%
Q2 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
84.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 38Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
83.1%
Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the Pitt 16Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+11
83.0%
Vincent Davis run for 11 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
83.3%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
84.0%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.0%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+3
81.7%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
81.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
80.3%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 39 yds, downed at the GTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2519% → 19%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
80.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
80.9%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-8
81.3%
Jeff Sims sacked by Bangally Kamara for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+4
81.0%
David Shanahan punt for 51 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:4881% → 78%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
80.5%
Israel Abanikanda run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
50
+5
81.4%
Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
81.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
81.2%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
80.4%
Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.5%
Israel Abanikanda run for no gain to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
81.4%
Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+1
78.7%
Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
77.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:0424% → 33%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+42
76.1%
Jeff Sims run for 42 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
73.2%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
73.2%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the Pitt 16Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
73.9%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the Pitt 16Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
67.5%
Gavin Stewart 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4670% → 83%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
69.9%
Vincent Davis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
70.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
71.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BENNETT, Kenny enforced (Kenny Bennett) to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
83.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 29 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3020% → 19%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.3%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
80.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 2 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
80.9%
David Shanahan punt for 44 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 32 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Pitt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:4481% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
80.7%
Vincent Davis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
81.4%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
80.9%
Vincent Davis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+1
82.2%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
81.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
82.2%
Kedon Slovis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
82.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
82.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 5 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-4
80.5%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 17 Vincent Davis fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16FG
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:3526% → 30%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
73.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-10
73.9%
QB Keeper SIMS, Jeff rush to the right for no gain to the PIT14 (SIMON, Shayne). PENALTY GAT Holding on LEONARD, Dylan enforced 10 yards from the PIT14 to the PIT24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 17
OPP 24
0
75.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 17
OPP 24
-5
76.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 22
OPP 29
+6
77.0%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+40
70.2%
Gavin Stewart 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4170% → 67%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 15 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
72.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vincent Davis for 4 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
72.8%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
73.4%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
73.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 4 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
73.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 5
OPP 42
-5
71.1%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
66.9%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the GTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2234% → 38%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
65.7%
Jeff Sims run for 13 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
65.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
66.6%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
64.5%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
65.1%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+5
65.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
62.1%
David Shanahan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:1264% → 65%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
64.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 12 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
64.5%
Vincent Davis run for 10 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
66.0%
SLOVIS, Kedon pass to the left complete for 17 yards to MUMPFIELD, Konata caught at the PIT45 and advanced to the GAT45, out of bounds. PENALTY PIT Holding on DAVIS, Vincent enforced 10 yards from the PIT38 to the PIT28 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+14
64.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
68.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
64.9%
Kedon Slovis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 2:4146% → 58%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
53.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 7 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+10
53.8%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the left complete for 7 yards to MCCOLLUM, Nate caught at the PIT37 and advanced to the PIT35 (DENNIS, SirVocea). PENALTY PIT Holding on WILLIAMS, Marquis enforced 10 yards from the PIT42 to the PIT32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
51.7%
Nate McCollum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
51.9%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+13
54.1%
Hassan Hall run for 13 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
49.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
49.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 7 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
50.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
42.0%
Gavin Stewart 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0051% → 38%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
50.9%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34 Vincent Davis fumbled, recovered by GTech Kenny BennettSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
38.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Pitt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 2:0162% → 89%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 5
OPP 29
-2
38.2%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+12
38.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 12 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
38.1%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 21Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
11.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 21 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4522% → 19%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
22.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 12 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-9
23.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kedon Slovis) to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 19
OWN 39
-10
21.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Marcus Minor for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 29Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 29
OWN 29
0
20.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 29
OWN 29
0
18.7%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5491% → 95%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
9.1%
Hassan Hall run for 25 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
8.6%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+17
8.7%
Hassan Hall run for 17 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
8.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 5 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
8.6%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
8.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
8.6%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 6Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
5.1%
Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.2%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 1:546% → 38%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
6.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
6.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Branson Taylor) to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
6.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Matt Goncalves) to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+14
6.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 14 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
6.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 19 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
6.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+20
6.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 20 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
7.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
7.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 15 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
9.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vincent Davis for 5 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+26
38.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 26 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:1595% → 99%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+63
5.4%
Hassan Hall run for 63 yds to the Pitt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
4.1%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
1.5%
Jeff Sims run for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:004% → 26%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
4.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+30
3.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 30 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
4.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
4.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Karter Johnson for 15 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
6.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Karter Johnson for 5 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
25.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 18 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:57
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 26 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)
+28.2
TD · Q4 10:30
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 21 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-27.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com