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Georgia Tech 10 at UCF 27

UCF
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:25 · Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+40.6Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:13: Colton Boomer 21 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +1.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:54: Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 59 yds for a TD, (Jude Kelley KICK) — GT win probability +6.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:35: Quadric Bullard 29 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Colton Boomer Kick) — UCF win probability +9.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:41: Jude Kelley 42 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +7.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:37: John Rhys Plumlee run for 28 yds for a TD, (John Rhys Plumlee pass to Kemore Gamble for Two-Point Conversion) — UCF win probability +8.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 9GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:25UCF 4th & 2 at GT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25UCF 4th & 1 at GT 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13UCF 4th & 4 at GT 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:02GT 4th & 8 at UCF 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49GT 4th & 15 at GT 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:25UCF 4th & 12 at UCF 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39UCF 4th & 4 at GT 13, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:35GT 4th & 9 at GT 39, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:54GT 4th & 10 at GT 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44UCF 4th & 11 at GT 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:56GT 4th & 3 at UCF 5, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−9.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:53UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 8, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:41GT 4th & 5 at UCF 24, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−7.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:09UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 45, up 6
    Close callPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:06GT 4th & 2 at GT 17, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:23GT 4th & 9 at UCF 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:17UCF 4th & 5 at GT 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−2.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:00GT 4th & 9 at GT 26, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 5:54GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:35UCF Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:37UCF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1FG
24 plays · 71 yds · 9:4792% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
92.2%
PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass to the left incomplete intended for BAKER, Javon thrown to the UCF48. PENALTY UCF Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JACKSON, Samuel enforced 5 yards from the UCF33 to the UCF28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
92.2%
Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
92.2%
Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
92.2%
Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+4
92.2%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+10
92.2%
PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe thrown to the UCF50. PENALTY GT Holding enforced 10 yards from the UCF44 to the GT46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
92.2%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
92.2%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
92.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+5
91.4%
PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass to the right incomplete intended for BAKER, Javon thrown to the GT11, clock 11:25. PENALTY GT Offsides on KENNARD, Kyle enforced 5 yards from the GT39 to the GT34 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.5%
John Rhys Plumlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
91.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+5
91.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
91.4%
John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+7
91.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
91.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
91.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
91.4%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
91.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
91.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
91.5%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.5%
John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
89.9%
Colton Boomer 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:0510% → 11%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
89.8%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+11
89.8%
Dontae Smith run for 11 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
89.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 12 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
89.5%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the right incomplete intended for JENKINS, EJ thrown to the UCF20; QB hurried by MORRIS-BRASH, Tre'mon. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on ADAMS, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the UCF27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
89.3%
Nate McCollum run for 10 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
89.3%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the UCF 15Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
89.3%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the UCF 15Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
89.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
88.7%
Jude Kelley 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3INT
10 plays · 46 yds · 15:0092% → 89%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+1
92.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
50
+15
92.2%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 15 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
91.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
88.7%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
88.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
89.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
89.1%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
89.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
88.8%
John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Keion White for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:2212% → 13%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
87.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-2
87.9%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+12
88.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 12 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
87.7%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+6
87.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+17
87.9%
Jeff Sims run for 17 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
87.0%
Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-8
87.4%
Jeff Sims sacked by Walter Yates III for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+2
86.9%
David Shanahan punt for 34 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2487% → 85%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
86.9%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the UCF 39Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
86.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-3
86.4%
John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Sylvain Yondjouen for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+17
85.3%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 54 yds , Nate McCollum returns for 17 yds to the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:3115% → 21%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
85.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 14 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
78.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 59 yds for a TD, (Jude Kelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:0780% → 81%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
80.6%
Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
80.0%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 12 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
81.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+15
81.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 15 yds to the GTech 41 fumbled, recovered by UCF Isaiah Bowser for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
82.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 22 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
82.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
82.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
82.1%
John Rhys Plumlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
81.0%
Colton Boomer 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT TD
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0422% → 12%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
78.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 13 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
77.2%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the right complete for 21 yards to JENKINS, EJ caught at the GT49 and advanced to the UCF41 (JOHNSON, Jason). PENALTY GT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LAY III, William enforced 5 yards from the GT38 to the GT33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+6
78.3%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
77.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
77.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+29
87.6%
Quadric Bullard 29 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Colton Boomer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:3513% → 16%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.0%
Hassan Hall run for 11 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
86.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+29
87.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 29 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
84.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 15 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+37
84.4%
Jude Kelley 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5616% → 14%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
84.1%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
84.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
85.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+31
85.7%
David Shanahan punt for 51 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 31 yds to the UCF 24 UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the UCF 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:1087% → 89%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.5%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 15 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.5%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 4 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
87.6%
Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
87.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offsides (Kyle Kennard) to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+15
87.1%
RJ Harvey run for 15 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
87.8%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
87.9%
PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass to the left incomplete intended for BAKER, Javon thrown to the GT15. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on WALTON, Zamari enforced 15 yards to the GT19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
87.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
87.8%
Ryan O'Keefe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-2
87.3%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
88.7%
Colton Boomer 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:4812% → 12%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
87.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 26 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
86.8%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+17
86.7%
Hassan Hall run for 17 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
85.5%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+15
85.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 15 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
85.4%
Jeff Sims sacked by Tre'mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+3
86.2%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+11
87.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 11 yds to the UCF 5Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 3
OPP 5
-1
88.0%
Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0389% → 88%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
88.9%
UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+3
88.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 8
0
88.3%
John Rhys Plumlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 8
OWN 8
0
87.5%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 31 yds, downed at the UCF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:0713% → 14%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
87.1%
Jeff Sims run for 13 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
86.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 19 yds to the UCF 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
85.8%
Jeff Sims sacked for a loss of 3 yards fumbled, recovered by UCF , return for 0 yards for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:0511% → 21%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
88.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
50
0
87.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
50
+21
87.4%
Dontae Smith run for 21 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
85.8%
Nate McCollum run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 35Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+11
87.0%
Jeff Sims run for 11 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
86.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
79.0%
Jude Kelley 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:3285% → 85%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.4%
RJ Harvey run for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
86.1%
RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
86.9%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
86.1%
RJ Harvey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
84.8%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 46 yds, downed at the GTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0320% → 17%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
80.3%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
80.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 5 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+1
81.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 1 yd to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
82.6%
David Shanahan punt for 40 yds, downed at the UCF 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:2987% → 96%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
87.3%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+6
87.5%
RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
86.9%
PLUMLEE, John Rhys pass up the middle incomplete intended for O'KEEFE, Ryan thrown to the GT47. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on SIMS, Myles enforced at the spot of the foul for 2 yards to the GT47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
87.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Targeting on THOMAS, Charlie enforced (Charlie Thomas) to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
96.4%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 28 yds for a TD, (John Rhys Plumlee pass to Kemore Gamble for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:146% → 6%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
94.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
93.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 26 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
93.4%
Hassan Hall run for 23 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
92.7%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the UCF 16Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
92.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 2 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-1
93.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 15Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+3
94.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 3 yds Nate McCollum fumbled, recovered by UCF Tre'mon Morris-BrashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:0697% → 99%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
96.6%
Johnny Richardson run for 15 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
96.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
96.9%
RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+6
96.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 6 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
98.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
98.0%
John Rhys Plumlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
98.5%
Colton Boomer 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
98.4%
Jeff Sims sacked by Ricky Barber for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+9
98.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 9 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
98.5%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 3:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
98.8%
RJ Harvey run for 14 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
98.9%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
99.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
99.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:35
Quadric Bullard 29 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Colton Boomer Kick)
+9.9
TD · Q4 10:37
John Rhys Plumlee run for 28 yds for a TD, (John Rhys Plumlee pass to Kemore Gamble for Two-Point Conversion)
+8.6
FG · Q3 0:41
Jude Kelley 42 yd FG GOOD
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com