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USF

South Florida 3 at Louisville 41

LOU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameTD+3.6LOU 93.6%Malik Cunningham 35 Yd Run (JamesTurner Kick)AWAY 0 - HOME 21 · Q2 10:53
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:53 · Malik Cunningham 35 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+27.5Home team on offense+13.4Score differential+9.4Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:05: Malik Cunningham 40 Yd Run (James Turner Kick) — LOU win probability +1.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:39: Jaelin Carter 26 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick) — LOU win probability +2.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:53: Malik Cunningham 35 Yd Run (James Turner Kick) — LOU win probability +3.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:12: Malik Cunningham 8 Yd Run (James Turner Kick) — LOU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:41LOU 4th & 16 at LOU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37USF 4th & 11 at USF 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41USF 4th & 8 at USF 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12USF 4th & 4 at LOU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:53LOU 4th & 5 at USF 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:56USF 4th & 2 at USF 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:16USF 4th & 19 at USF 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.2%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 35, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:56USF 4th & 17 at USF 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:07LOU 4th & 6 at USF 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:53LOU 4th & 10 at USF 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:42USF 4th & 21 at USF 44, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:12LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 29, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:55USF 4th & 10 at LOU 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:23LOU 4th & 4 at USF 8, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:45USF 4th & 2 at USF 16, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:35LOU 4th & 5 at USF 8, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:34USF 4th & 3 at LOU 36, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:05LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:39LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:53LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:12LOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:22LOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:1687% → 87%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
87.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 10 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-10
86.9%
(13:29) CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the right complete for 10 yards to HUDSON, Tyler caught at the LOU47 and advanced to the LOU48 (WILLIAMS, Christian), clock 13:27. PENALTY LOU Holding on BROWN, Renato enforced 10 yards from the LOU38 to the LOU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+4
86.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 4 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+5
86.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 5 yds to the SFla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5513% → 14%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
86.6%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+14
86.4%
Brian Battie run for 14 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
86.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 42Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-5
86.1%
Omarion Dollison run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+11
86.0%
Gerry Bohanon run for 11 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 6
OWN 48
-5
85.8%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TJ Robinson) to the SFla 43Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
85.8%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:2286% → 87%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
85.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 10 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
85.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 12 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
85.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 13 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
85.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
85.6%
Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+5
85.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offsides (Tramel Logan) to the SFla 40Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+40
86.7%
Malik Cunningham 40 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2214% → 14%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
86.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Michel Dukes for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.5%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4986% → 89%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+30
86.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 30 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
86.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 37 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-5
86.6%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Tramel Logan and Jatorian Hansford for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 42Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+16
86.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 16 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
88.9%
Jaelin Carter 26 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6FUMBLE
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:5512% → 12%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.1%
Brian Battie run for no gain to the SFla 25Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
87.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 18 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
87.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-3
87.3%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 49Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+7
87.6%
Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
87.6%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
87.8%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Lvile 43Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 9
OPP 43
+5
87.9%
(14:14) BOHANON, Gerry pass to the right incomplete thrown to the LOU39, clock 14:13. PENALTY LOU Offsides on CLARK, Kei'Trel enforced 5 yards from the LOU43 to the LOU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+8
88.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 8 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
87.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 32 Gerry Bohanon fumbled, recovered by Lvile Dorian JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:4189% → 94%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
89.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tiyon Evans for 8 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
89.7%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
89.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+8
89.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
89.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 11 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
90.0%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
90.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+35
93.6%
Malik Cunningham 35 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:567% → 6%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 8 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
93.6%
Andrew Stokes punt for 48 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:3494% → 98%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.4%
Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 19Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
94.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 15 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
94.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Matthew Hill) to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
94.9%
Trevion Cooley run for 18 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
94.8%
Trevion Cooley run for 22 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
(07:32) COOLEY, Trevion rush up the middle for no gain to the USF1 (SHULER, Jhalyn), clock 07:30. PENALTY Before the snap, USF Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the USF1 to the USF0 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-14
95.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for no gain to the SFla 1 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tyler Hudson) to the SFla 15Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
95.0%
Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the SFla 12Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
95.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the SFla 8Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.8%
Malik Cunningham 8 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 26Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
98.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3598% → 98%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
98.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:592% → 2%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Chris Carter for 1 yd to the SFla 21Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
98.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 10 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
98.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 14 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:1598% → 99%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
98.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
50
-3
98.5%
Tiyon Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 35 Tiyon Evans fumbled, recovered by SFla Matthew HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.5%
Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
98.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+1
98.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+5
98.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:024% → 1%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
98.2%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
99.0%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by YaYa Diaby for a loss of 10 yards to the SFla 18Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Andrew Stokes punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:5499% → 100%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 12 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 4 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+6
99.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the SFla 27Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+16
99.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 16 yds Tyler Hudson fumbled, recovered by Lvile Tyler Hudson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the SFla 9Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-2
99.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 11Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
99.5%
James Turner 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:071% → 1%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.4%
Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.5%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 14 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-13
99.4%
Katravis Marsh sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 13 yards to the SFla 44Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 21
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 21
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Andrew Stokes punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.7%
Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 10Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
99.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 15 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for no gain to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 6 yds to the SFla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Mychael Hamilton run for 3 yds to the SFla 36Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 6 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+37
99.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 37 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.8%
K'Wan Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 21Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.8%
Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 24 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+30
99.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 30 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the SFla 12Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+9
99.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 9 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
99.9%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 21 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
K'Wan Powell run for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the SFla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.9%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Elijah Downing for 7 yds to the SFla 8Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 4
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.9%
Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SFla 9Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+7
99.9%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Garret Reynolds for 7 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Colin McCreary punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Trevion Cooley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Chris Bell for 26 yds to the LOUISVILLE 40 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Bell) to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+16
99.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 16 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+24
99.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 24 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Brock Domann run for 3 yds to the SFla 8Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Bradley West for no gain to the SFla 8Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
James Turner 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+2
100.0%
K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Grant Goodman run for no gain to the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:53
Malik Cunningham 35 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)
+3.6
TD · Q1 3:39
Jaelin Carter 26 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick)
+2.7
TD · Q2 6:12
Malik Cunningham 8 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com