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BC

Boston College 14 at Florida State 44

FSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:28 · Alex Mastromanno punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jaden Williams at the BC 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+2.8Home team on offense+34.2Score differential+30.1Blowout margin+16.8Garbage-time factor+14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:52: Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:05: Trey Benson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:55: Ryan Fitzgerald 30 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:19: Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 31 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:19: Treshaun Ward run for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT MISSED) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:55FSU 4th & 9 at BC 33, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24BC 4th & 5 at BC 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:07BC 4th & 12 at BC 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55FSU 4th & 3 at BC 12, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01BC 4th & 11 at BC 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:41FSU 4th & 5 at BC 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:20FSU 4th & 2 at BC 18, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07BC 4th & 17 at BC 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:58BC 4th & 4 at FSU 49, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:51FSU 4th & 8 at BC 39, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:41BC 4th & 11 at BC 19, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:12BC 4th & 13 at BC 44, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:28FSU 4th & 12 at FSU 19, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:47FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:52FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:05FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:19FSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:19FSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:31BC Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:30FSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:50BC Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5211% → 11%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:0389% → 89%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
88.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
88.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
88.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+32
88.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 32 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2811% → 11%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
88.9%
Zay Flowers run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
88.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
88.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
89.0%
Danny Longman punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 5:1989% → 91%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
88.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-4
88.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Travis,Jordan pass complete deep left to Ward,Treshaun for 21 yards to the FSU29 (Jones,Elijah) PENALTY FSU Illegal Block in Back (Gibbons,Dillan) 4 yards from FSU08 to FSU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+26
88.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 26 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
89.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
89.0%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
89.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 4 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
89.1%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
89.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+16
89.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 16 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
89.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 20 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
91.2%
Trey Benson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:589% → 9%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
91.1%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Shyheim Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 18Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
91.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
91.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for no gain to the BC 23Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
91.4%
Danny Longman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:1291% → 93%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
91.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
91.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+13
91.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 13 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
91.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+16
91.6%
Jordan Travis run for 16 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
91.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
91.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+2
92.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
93.4%
Ryan Fitzgerald 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:547% → 6%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 11 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+4
93.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+3
93.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
94.0%
Danny Longman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:2094% → 95%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.2%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+52
94.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 52 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
94.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 3 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
94.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
94.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
94.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:076% → 6%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
94.2%
Cam Barfield run for 9 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
94.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 2 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
94.2%
Cam Barfield run for 1 yd to the BC 42Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
94.2%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the BC 42Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
94.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:1495% → 96%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
95.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
95.3%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
95.3%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-5
95.2%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Turnetine,Jazston) 5 yards from B.C.19 to B.C.24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+6
95.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 6 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+1
95.5%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:135% → 5%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
95.1%
Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 16Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+22
95.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for 22 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
94.9%
Jaden Williams run for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
95.0%
Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
95.0%
Phil Jurkovec run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 17
OWN 31
0
95.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ ClinkscalesSimilar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+18
95.4%
Danny Longman punt for 52 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 18 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 0:4897% → 99%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
96.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 8 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
96.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
96.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 21 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
96.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+31
98.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 31 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Cam Barfield run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:021% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the BC 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
98.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 10 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
98.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
98.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+3
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Danny Longman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+72
99.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 72 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.4%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:481% → 0%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+11
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Cam Barfield for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
99.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
99.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 12 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
99.7%
Flowers,Zay pass incomplete short right to Gill,Jaelen, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Dent,Akeem) 15 yards from FSU22 to FSU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alex Broome for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+11
99.7%
Tate Rodemaker run for 11 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.8%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+6
99.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Trey Benson for 6 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-15
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rodemaker,Tate pass incomplete short right to Toafili,Lawrance QB hurried by DePalma,Vinny PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Pittman,Mycah) 15 yards from B.C.34 to B.C.49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+10
99.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 10 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 2 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Danny Longman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+13
99.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 13 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+8
99.8%
Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Trey Benson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Cam Barfield run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 7 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the BC 37Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morehead,Emmett pass incomplete short right to Bond,Lewis PENALTY FSU Holding (McClellion,Jarques) 10 yards from B.C.37 to B.C.47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-3
99.9%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Brendan Gant for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 44Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Sam Candotti punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+15
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Stickle,David) 5 yards from FSU24 to FSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
99.9%
A.J. Duffy pass incomplete to Deuce SpannSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
99.9%
A.J. Duffy pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jaden Williams at the BC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
100.0%
Xavier Coleman run for 11 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Xavier Coleman run for 9 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+9
100.0%
Xavier Coleman run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Xavier Coleman run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+7
100.0%
Xavier Coleman run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+24
100.0%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 24 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
A.J. Duffy run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
A.J. Duffy run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:05
Trey Benson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 0:19
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 31 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+2
FG · Q2 14:55
Ryan Fitzgerald 30 yd FG GOOD
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com