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UVA

Virginia 20 at Syracuse 22

SYR
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2022 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:23 · Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+14.2Home team on offense+8.0Score differential+5.1Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:46: Keytaon Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +7.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:26: Perris Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT BLOCKED) — UVA win probability +12.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q3 0:24: Andre Szmyt 40 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +7.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:51: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +36.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:14: Andre Szmyt 31 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +38.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 7:27UVA 4th & 7 at SYR 33, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:17UVA 4th & 4 at SYR 31, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:00SYR 4th & 3 at UVA 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15SYR 4th & 10 at UVA 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:48UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:32UVA 4th & 3 at SYR 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:23SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−2.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:43UVA 4th & 13 at UVA 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:21SYR 4th & 10 at UVA 10, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:23SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, up 3
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:30UVA 4th & 10 at UVA 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:24SYR 4th & 7 at UVA 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−10.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:05UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 43, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:48SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:51UVA 4th & 4 at SYR 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−17.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:14SYR 4th & 5 at UVA 13, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−26.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−41.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:27UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.7%−6.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:18SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:46UVA Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:26UVA Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:51UVA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−2.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:1272% → 72%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
71.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 11 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
71.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 18 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
71.9%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+1
71.9%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Virg 7Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-10
71.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 17Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+17
72.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 17 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:3328% → 27%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
72.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 28Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
72.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
72.4%
Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+11
72.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 11 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
72.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
72.1%
Keytaon Thompson run for 9 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-1
71.9%
Perris Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-5
72.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
72.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+51
72.7%
Brendan Farrell 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
73.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 37 Sean Tucker fumbled, forced by Kam Butler, recovered by Virg Jonas SankerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4328% → 27%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
72.2%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
71.9%
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-2
72.2%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
72.8%
Brendan Farrell 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:0973% → 74%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
73.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Maximilian MangSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
73.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 12 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
74.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
73.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+6
73.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 6 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+29
73.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 29 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
74.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-5
74.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+15
74.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 15 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
74.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
74.5%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
74.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
74.3%
Andre Szmyt 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
74.1%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 28 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, forced by Leon Lowery, recovered by Syrac Garrett Williams , return for 5 yds to the Virg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2575% → 80%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
75.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
75.4%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
75.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-2
75.1%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 14Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
79.6%
Andre Szmyt 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1222% → 21%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
77.6%
Perris Jones run for no gain to the Virg 16Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
78.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 5 yds to the Virg 21Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
78.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
78.7%
Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5881% → 81%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
80.5%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+1
80.6%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-14
80.5%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Jonas Sanker return for 14 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5423% → 22%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
77.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
77.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
78.1%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+12
78.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 12 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
78.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5181% → 81%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 14 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
82.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
82.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-1
81.8%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 9
OWN 40
-5
81.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
81.1%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2820% → 19%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 9 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
79.5%
Perris Jones run for 11 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
79.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-3
80.3%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
81.1%
Daniel Sparks punt for 45 yds , Trebor Pena returns for no gain to the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:0982% → 87%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
82.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+21
82.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 21 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
82.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Paul Akere for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+29
82.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 29 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
84.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
84.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 7 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
84.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
84.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the Virg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
85.0%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Virg 5Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
85.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Aaron Faumui for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 10Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
87.0%
Andre Szmyt 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14END OF HALF
10 plays · 23 yds · 1:0315% → 14%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
84.7%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 3Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 17
OWN 3
+19
85.3%
Mike Hollins run for 19 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
84.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 7 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+6
84.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 6 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
84.7%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Leon Lowery for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 30Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-10
85.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 20Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+13
85.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 13 yds to the Virg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:0415% → 25%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.0%
Perris Jones run for 7 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
84.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 27Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
85.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 5 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
84.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 10 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
83.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
84.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+13
83.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 13 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
83.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Perris Jones for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
83.7%
Perris Jones run for 7 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
84.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+6
84.1%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
83.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Syrac 1Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.8%
Keytaon Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
74.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0424% → 37%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
75.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 4 yds to the Syrac 9 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (5 Yards) to the Syrac 4Similar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 1
OPP 4
+4
63.5%
Perris Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5470% → 69%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.8%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
69.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
68.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
68.6%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5032% → 29%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.2%
Perris Jones run for no gain to the Virg 23Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
68.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Perris JonesSimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
69.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Mike HollinsSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+12
70.8%
Daniel Sparks punt for 59 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 12 yds to the Syrac 30 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:3670% → 80%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
69.5%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
69.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+16
68.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 16 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
70.6%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
72.6%
Courtney Jackson run for 4 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
72.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 2 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
72.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 7 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
73.6%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-7
72.4%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Ben Smiley III for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+18
69.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 18 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
73.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
73.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
72.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
79.7%
Andre Szmyt 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:1427% → 27%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
73.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
72.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 8 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
70.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ethan DaviesSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
73.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:5880% → 79%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
79.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
79.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 7 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+14
79.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 14 yds Courtney Jackson fumbled, forced by Langston Long, recovered by Virg Chico Bennett Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
68.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Garrett Williams return for 5 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2482% → 83%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
81.5%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
83.7%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
83.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-10
83.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+9
84.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 9 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+1
84.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
83.0%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4323% → 58%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.8%
Perris Jones run for 9 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
74.0%
Perris Jones run for 9 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
75.1%
Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+12
73.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 12 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
72.7%
Perris Jones run for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+28
70.4%
Perris Jones run for 28 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
76.6%
Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
78.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 4:1653% → 89%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
53.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 10 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
54.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
54.2%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+15
52.8%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
58.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 15 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
60.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+9
60.4%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
61.0%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-5
61.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 18Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
61.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-12
59.3%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 17
OPP 25
+12
51.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
88.9%
Andre Szmyt 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:3318% → 16%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
81.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 12 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
83.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
81.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
84.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:14
Andre Szmyt 31 yd FG GOOD
+38
TD · Q4 5:51
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)
-36.6
TD · Q3 9:26
Perris Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT BLOCKED)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com