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WVU

West Virginia 33 at Virginia Tech 10

VT
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2022 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-1VT 7.1%Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 26 - HOME 10 · Q4 10:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:16 · Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense−35.5Score differential−16.9Garbage-time factor−9.6Pregame prior−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:50: Casey Legg 35 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:11: JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 24 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +15.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:19: William Ross 44 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +5.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:13: Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +14.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:36: Grant Wells pass intercepted for a TD Jacolby Spells return for 27 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:57WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25VT 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:19WVU 4th & 6 at VT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:34VT 4th & 1 at WVU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−1.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:18WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:04VT 4th & 14 at VT 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50WVU 4th & 3 at VT 18, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01VT 4th & 5 at VT 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:35VT 4th & 4 at VT 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:31WVU 4th & 2 at VT 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−1.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:04WVU 4th & 8 at VT 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−10.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:19VT 4th & 15 at WVU 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:10VT 4th & 8 at VT 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:16WVU 4th & 2 at VT 21, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−6.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:19VT 4th & 16 at WVU 35, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:52VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:11WVU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:13WVU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:36WVU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4854% → 53%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
46.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 6 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
46.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to CJ Donaldson for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
46.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DJ Harvey at the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0747% → 47%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
47.0%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+8
47.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 8 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
47.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 5 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-1
47.6%
Chance Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 6
50
0
47.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Christian MossSimilar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 6
50
0
47.3%
Peter Moore punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FG
19 plays · 92 yds · 6:5353% → 53%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
47.4%
CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+4
47.5%
CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+5
47.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to CJ Donaldson for 5 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
47.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 13 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
47.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+3
47.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+15
47.9%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Ford-Wheaton, Bryce, PENALTY VATECH pass interference 15 yards to the WESTVIR34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+16
47.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
50
+9
47.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 9 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
47.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
47.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 12 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
46.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 5
OPP 19
0
46.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+14
46.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 9 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
47.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 6Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
47.4%
Casey Legg 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:0648% → 54%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
47.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Connor Blumrick for 12 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
47.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 6 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
48.9%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+17
48.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 17 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
49.4%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
49.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+15
48.2%
Wells, Grant pass incomplete to Blue, Jadan, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference 15 yards to the WESTVIR28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.4%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
54.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 28 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FUMBLE
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:1647% → 48%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.8%
CJ Donaldson run for 13 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
52.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Cortez Braham for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
51.7%
CJ Donaldson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
51.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
52.1%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Ford-Wheaton, Bryce, PENALTY VATECH pass interference 3 yards to the VATECH48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
51.7%
CJ Donaldson run for 5 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
51.8%
CJ Donaldson run for 6 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
52.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
52.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the VTech 35 Tony Mathis Jr. fumbled, recovered by VTech Dorian StrongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:4254% → 55%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
53.8%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+21
54.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Christian Moss for 21 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
55.9%
Wells, Grant pass incomplete to Moss, Christian, PENALTY WESTVIR roughing passer 15 yards to the WESTVIR27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
56.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Connor BlumrickSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
56.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 9 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
56.3%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
55.0%
Grant Wells run for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:0745% → 43%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
54.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 14 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
54.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Jeremiah AaronSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
55.3%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
56.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
57.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DJ Harvey at the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:4856% → 55%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
56.0%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-5
55.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 19Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 17
OWN 19
-5
55.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 14Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 22
OWN 14
0
56.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Connor BlumrickSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+8
55.1%
Grant Wells run for 8 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+36
54.5%
Peter Moore punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 48 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:0645% → 49%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
54.8%
CJ Donaldson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 2
50
+10
53.7%
CJ Donaldson run for 10 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
54.2%
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
54.3%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+12
54.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
52.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
52.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to CJ Donaldson for 4 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
54.7%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
51.0%
Casey Legg 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:4555% → 55%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
55.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 12 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
57.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
56.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 5 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
56.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Christian MossSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+43
54.8%
Peter Moore punt for 53 yds for a touchback VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 0:4446% → 66%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 7 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+12
52.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 12 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
51.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 14 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
49.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
49.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
33.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 24 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1541% → 40%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
42.5%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-2
39.7%
Peter Moore punt for 54 yds , Reese Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 13 Reese Smith fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:2162% → 70%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
38.4%
CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+15
38.1%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to James, Sam, PENALTY VATECH pass interference 15 yards to the WESTVIR30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
36.9%
CJ Donaldson run for 18 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
35.1%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
35.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
34.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
34.3%
CJ Donaldson run for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+1
34.3%
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+8
34.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
31.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 14 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
31.7%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the VTech 9Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
31.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 1 yd to the VTech 8Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
32.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
29.6%
Casey Legg 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:2631% → 36%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
30.8%
Grant Wells run for 9 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+9
32.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 9 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
32.2%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+20
32.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 20 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
33.3%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jalen HolstonSimilar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
33.1%
Wells, Grant pass incomplete to Gosnell, Stephen, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference 15 yards to the WESTVIR22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
34.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
34.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Keshawn KingSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-5
32.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
31.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jalen HolstonSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+44
36.0%
William Ross 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5267% → 88%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+24
31.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 24 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
29.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
29.4%
CJ Donaldson run for 6 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
29.2%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-4
30.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+15
30.2%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Donaldson, CJ, PENALTY VATECH roughing passer 15 yards to the VATECH24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-7
27.1%
JT Daniels sacked by TyJuan Garbutt for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+3
27.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+14
28.7%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Prather, Kaden, PENALTY VATECH illegal use of hands 14 yards to the VATECH14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
26.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the VTech 6Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
11.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5718% → 17%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jalen HolstonSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.0%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
17.1%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
17.0%
Peter Moore punt for 29 yds, downed at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:3590% → 93%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
10.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 27 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
9.3%
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
8.5%
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+4
8.1%
CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
7.1%
Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:188% → 2%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.2%
Wells, Grant rush for 5 yards to the VATECH30, PENALTY VATECH holding 10 yards to the VATECH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-27
2.3%
Grant Wells pass intercepted for a TD Jacolby Spells return for 27 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:082% → 1%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.3%
Jalen Holston run for 15 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
2.4%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
2.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+20
2.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Chance Black for 20 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-6
1.6%
Grant Wells sacked by Taijh Alston for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 16
OPP 35
0
1.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jaylen JonesSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
1.3%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 50 yds · 5:3199% → 100%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
1.1%
CJ Donaldson run for 8 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
0.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
0.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-1
0.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+18
0.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 18 yds to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
0.5%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 13Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-1
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 14Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-1
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:11
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 24 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q4 14:13
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q4 9:36
Grant Wells pass intercepted for a TD Jacolby Spells return for 27 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com