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ME

Maine 17 at Boston College 38

BC
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · John Gay run for no gain to the Maine 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:33: J. Fagnano pass,to S. Bowman for 17 yds for a TD, (C. Baker KICK) — ME win probability +0.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:04: Jaden Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — ME win probability +1.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. FG · Q3 11:14: Connor Lytton 46 Yd Field Goal — ME win probability +4.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:44: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Baker KICK) — ME win probability +6.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:48: Pat Garwo III run for 30 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — ME win probability +7.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11ME made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 14:56BC 4th & 9 at BC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:18BC 4th & 9 at BC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:18ME 4th & 3 at ME 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:58ME 4th & 3 at ME 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 11:58BC 4th & 15 at BC 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 8:47BC 4th & 15 at BC 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 6:15ME 4th & 14 at BC 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:51ME 4th & 13 at ME 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:55ME 4th & 19 at midfield, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:49ME 4th & 19 at midfield, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:54BC 4th & 2 at BC 39, down 6
    Close callPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:54ME 4th & 15 at ME 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:56ME 4th & 15 at ME 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:56ME 4th & 7 at ME 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:22ME 4th & 7 at ME 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:14BC 4th & 9 at ME 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−5.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:04BC 4th & 13 at ME 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−10.2
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:04ME 4th & 7 at ME 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:13ME 4th & 7 at ME 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:54BC 4th & 14 at ME 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:03ME 4th & 2 at BC 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−3.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−19.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:03BC 4th & 6 at BC 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  23. Q4 7:22BC 4th & 6 at BC 13, down 6
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−0.5
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:04BC 4th & 11 at ME 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−14.3
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:57ME 4th & 5 at ME 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.6%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ME made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:22BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:33ME Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3897% → 97%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
96.9%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Jamehl Wiley and Raffaele Salamone for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+8
96.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Danny Longman punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Danny Longman punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:203% → 4%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
96.7%
Joe Fagnano run for 8 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-1
96.6%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Cam Horsley for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 44Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Brian Cooey punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
96.4%
Brian Cooey punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:1196% → 96%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
96.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 11Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
96.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 4 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+11
96.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 11 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
96.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 29Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-8
96.4%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Justin Sambu for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
96.4%
Danny Longman punt for 17 ydsSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
95.7%
Danny Longman punt for 17 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:324% → 5%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
95.7%
Joe Fagnano run for 8 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+7
95.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 7 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
95.7%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 27Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
95.7%
Elijah Barnwell run for no gain to the BC 27Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
95.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+45
95.2%
Cole Baker 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:4595% → 95%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
95.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
95.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 2 yds to the Maine 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
95.2%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+51
95.2%
P. Jurkovec pass,to Z. Flowers for 51 yds for a TD, (C. Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:375% → 6%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
94.8%
Joe Fagnano run for 5 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
94.0%
J. Fagnano pass,to S. Bowman for 17 yds for a TD, (C. Baker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2194% → 94%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
94.3%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right incomplete intended for FLOWERS, Zay thrown to the BC20. PENALTY UM Holding enforced 10 yards from the BC25 to the BC35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.3%
Cam Barfield run for 9 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
94.5%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
94.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+53
94.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 53 yds to the Maine 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:157% → 7%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
92.9%
MAINE Penalty, Personal Foul (-6 Yards) to the Maine 14Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 18
OWN 14
0
92.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 18
OWN 14
+5
93.0%
Tavion Banks run for 5 yds to the Maine 19Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 14
+5
92.6%
Tavion Banks run for 5 yds to the Maine 19Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 13
OWN 19
+13
92.6%
Brian Cooey punt for 40 yds , Zay Flowers returns for 13 yds to the Maine 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:4793% → 92%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
92.9%
Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the Maine 38Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+9
92.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the Maine 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.1%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the Maine 29Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
93.1%
Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the Maine 21Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+12
92.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 12 yds to the Maine 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.8%
Jaden Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:0610% → 13%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for no gain to the Maine 14Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+12
90.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 12 yds to the Maine 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
90.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 20 yds to the Maine 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
89.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 9 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
89.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Freddie Brock for 4 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.8%
Freddie Brock run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-9
89.8%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Marcus Valdez for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 19
50
0
90.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 19
50
0
90.6%
Brian Cooey punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 19
50
0
87.3%
Brian Cooey punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5588% → 85%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
87.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
87.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
87.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Lewis Bond for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
88.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+2
86.1%
Danny Longman punt for 45 yds , Jacob Hennie returns for 2 yds to the Maine 18Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
85.4%
MAINE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5815% → 15%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 15
OWN 13
0
85.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
85.6%
Elijah Barnwell run for no gain to the Maine 13Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 15
OWN 13
0
85.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
86.3%
Brian Cooey punt for 58 yds, downed at the BC 29Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
85.5%
Brian Cooey punt for 58 yds, downed at the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:4886% → 84%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
85.6%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the BC 29Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+18
85.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 18 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
86.5%
MAINE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Shakur Smalls) to the Maine 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
84.3%
MAINE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Shakur Smalls) to the Maine 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.4%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Maine 19Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
85.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 6 yds to the Maine 13Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+12
84.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 12 yds to the Maine 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 14INT
14 plays · 36 yds · 1:0021% → 25%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
79.5%
Tavion Banks run for 11 yds to the Maine 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
77.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 4 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
77.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
78.2%
Tavion Banks run for 10 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
77.5%
Tavion Banks run for 10 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
76.5%
Joe Fagnano run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
76.3%
Joe Fagnano run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
75.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 8 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
76.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 8 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
75.5%
Joe Fagnano pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3421% → 22%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
79.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Rohan Jones for 10 yds to the Maine 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
78.6%
Elijah Barnwell run for 3 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
78.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+7
80.0%
Brian Cooey punt for 33 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 7 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+7
78.3%
Brian Cooey punt for 33 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 7 yds to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0881% → 77%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
80.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+43
80.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 53 yds to the BOSTONCOLL 1 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaden Williams) to the Maine 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
82.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Maine 29Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
82.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
81.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
76.8%
Connor Lytton 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3026% → 35%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.1%
Elijah Barnwell run for 2 yds to the Maine 27Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+49
73.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 49 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
71.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
71.4%
Elijah Barnwell run for 3 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+17
71.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 17 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for no gain to the BC 4Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Baker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:3472% → 66%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
71.5%
Alex Broome run for 6 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+8
71.9%
Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
72.0%
Alex Broome run for 2 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
71.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+36
74.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 36 yds to the Maine 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
76.2%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the Maine 19Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
73.3%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the Maine 19Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-3
71.4%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Darius McKenzie and Khairi Manns for a loss of 3 yards to the Maine 22Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
66.4%
Connor Lytton 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5138% → 42%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
62.0%
Joe Fagnano run for 15 yds to the Maine 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
60.1%
Tavion Banks run for 2 yds to the Maine 39Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
58.7%
Tavion Banks run for 1 yd to the Maine 40Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
59.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+5
62.0%
Brian Cooey punt for 33 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+5
58.5%
Brian Cooey punt for 33 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 4:1964% → 49%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
64.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
64.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
66.3%
QB Keeper JURKOVEC, Phil rush up the middle for no gain to the BC41 (NURSE, Xavier;SALAMONE, Raffaele). PENALTY Before the snap, UM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the BC41 to the BC46 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
67.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
65.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
62.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+16
59.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 16 yds to the Maine 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
65.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+2
64.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 2 yds to the Maine 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
64.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 40
-5
60.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Kam Arnold) to the Maine 45Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
55.6%
Danny Longman punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jacob Hennie at the Maine 13Similar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
48.6%
FAGNANO, Joe pass up the middle incomplete intended for MONIOS, Michael thrown to the UM25. PENALTY UM Holding on FRANCOIS, Tyrie enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the UM13 to the UM6 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:5150% → 64%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 16
OWN 7
0
49.8%
Freddie Brock run for no gain to the Maine 7Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+9
50.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Michael Monios for 9 yds to the Maine 16Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+29
50.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Tyrese Baptiste for 29 yds to the Maine 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
44.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+37
45.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 37 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
42.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 7 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
42.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
43.8%
Joe Fagnano run for 1 yd to the BC 10Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+1
35.8%
Elijah Barnwell run for 1 yd to the BC 9 Elijah Barnwell fumbled, recovered by BC Josh DeBerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4146% → 37%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
45.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
45.6%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 9Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+4
43.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
43.0%
Danny Longman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacob Hennie at the BC 47Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
37.3%
Danny Longman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacob Hennie at the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 23INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:3574% → 76%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
26.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
26.0%
Joe Fagnano pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
24.0%
Joe Fagnano pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:4349% → 29%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
48.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 11 yds to the Maine 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
48.6%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 11Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
48.6%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Maine 11Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
36.8%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Maine 11Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
33.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
28.6%
Connor Lytton 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:0780% → 84%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
19.9%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the Maine 22Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
20.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
21.9%
MAINE Penalty, False Start (Michael Gerace) to the Maine 17Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-2
22.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Freddie Brock for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
17.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 5 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
17.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
18.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
16.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:0934% → 28%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
33.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the Maine 36Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
34.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the Maine 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
33.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the Maine 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
36.9%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 30Similar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
35.4%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 30Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+30
27.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 30 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4393% → 96%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
6.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 10 yds to the Maine 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
6.5%
Tavion Banks run for 5 yds to the Maine 36Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+10
6.4%
Freddie Brock run for 10 yds to the Maine 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
5.8%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
4.2%
John Gay run for no gain to the Maine 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+95.8
TD · Q4 1:48
Pat Garwo III run for 30 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q3 7:44
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Baker KICK)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com