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2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:30 · Peter Moore punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Home team on offense+29.1Score differential+16.0Garbage-time factor+15.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6Pregame prior+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:48: W. Ross 49 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +0.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 11:04: J. Holston run for 1 yd for a TD, (W. Ross KICK), (W. Ross KICK) — BC win probability +4.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:50: Keshawn King 65 Yd Run (William Ross Kick) — VT win probability +1.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:22: Connor Lytton 30 Yd Field Goal — VT win probability +1.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:18: Jaden Williams 17 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Connor Lytton Kick) — BC win probability +12.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10BC made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 7:39VT 4th & 20 at VT 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:44BC 4th & 9 at BC 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:48VT 4th & 21 at BC 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:04VT 4th & 1 at BC 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:38BC 4th & 4 at BC 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:01BC 4th & 7 at BC 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:00BC 4th & 20 at BC 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:55VT 4th & 13 at VT 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:02VT 4th & 1 at BC 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.1%−2.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:44BC 4th & 15 at BC 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:47VT 4th & 10 at VT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:22BC 4th & 3 at VT 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.5
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−4.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 8:32BC 4th & 11 at BC 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:54BC 4th & 13 at BC 5, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:12VT 4th & 5 at VT 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:57BC 4th & 15 at BC 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:48VT 4th & 1 at VT 40, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:46BC 4th & 12 at BC 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:25BC 4th & 13 at BC 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:20VT 4th & 11 at BC 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:30VT 4th & 5 at VT 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:11BC 4th & 12 at BC 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 5:18BC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1INT
11 plays · 0 yds · 0:4354% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:5556% → 57%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.4%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
56.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
56.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-6
56.6%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
56.5%
Peter Moore punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4943% → 42%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
57.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Taji Johnson for 1 yd to the BC 31Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
57.3%
pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
57.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill, broken up by Dorian StrongSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
58.0%
Danny Longman punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
4 plays · 48 yds · 5:4958% → 60%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
57.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 17 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
58.1%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+6
59.6%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 21
OPP 31
+49
60.3%
W. Ross 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 10 yds · 11:0456% → 62%
Q1 11:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.6%
J. Holston run for 1 yd for a TD, (W. Ross KICK), (W. Ross KICK)Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
57.0%
Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
62.8%
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the BC 13Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.8%
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Connor Blumrick for 1 yd to the BC 1Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.2%
pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 9:3844% → 38%
Q1 9:38
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
56.3%
Danny Longman punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
61.5%
pass incomplete to George TakacsSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
62.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 4 yds to the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5939% → 29%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
70.2%
pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
70.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 5 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
71.2%
Danny Longman punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
72.7%
Keshawn King 65 Yd Run (William Ross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:5033% → 32%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
67.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Cam Barfield for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-6
67.9%
Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 15Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
68.4%
Danny Longman punt for 50 yds , DJ Harvey returns for no gain to the VTech 32 DJ Harvey fumbled, recovered by VTech Tink Boyd , return for no gain to the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5170% → 69%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
70.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Drake De Iuliis) to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
70.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jalen Holston, broken up by Jaiden WoodbeySimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+2
70.0%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
69.9%
pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
69.4%
Peter Moore punt for 67 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2674% → 73%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
73.7%
Chance Black run for 5 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-1
73.2%
Chance Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 37Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
72.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
72.6%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
2 plays · -5 yds · 1:1228% → 27%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
71.6%
pass incomplete to Pat Garwo IIISimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
73.5%
Danny Longman punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 5:4474% → 91%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.9%
pass incomplete to Chance BlackSimilar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
73.1%
Peter Moore punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
91.1%
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
90.8%
pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14FG
6 plays · 65 yds · 4:2515% → 12%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
85.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
86.2%
pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
86.7%
pass incomplete to Pat Garwo IIISimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+8
87.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (8 Yards) to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
86.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
87.6%
Connor Lytton 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 9:5718% → 10%
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 4
-3
81.8%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 1Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 13
OWN 1
+2
82.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 2 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
83.3%
Danny Longman punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
89.6%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
91.2%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:188% → 7%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-6
91.6%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 2 Pat Garwo III fumbled, recovered by BC Pat Garwo IIISimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 16
OWN 2
+3
92.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 13
OWN 5
0
92.7%
pass incomplete to George TakacsSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 13
OWN 5
0
92.7%
Danny Longman punt for 76 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:2193% → 94%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
93.1%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+13
93.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 13 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
93.7%
Chance Black run for 9 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
94.1%
Chance Black run for 1 yd to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
94.3%
Jalen Holston run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 17
OWN 38
0
94.1%
pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+14
94.0%
Grant Wells run for 14 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-5
93.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Parker Clements) to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
2 plays · 86 yds · 2:116% → 18%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+49
94.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 49 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
81.9%
Jaden Williams 17 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Connor Lytton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:4987% → 92%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.2%
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+43
87.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 43 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
89.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
89.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, roughing passer (Kam Arnold) to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
89.7%
pass incomplete to Connor BlumrickSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.4%
Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.7%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.2%
Kaleb Smith 2 Yd pass from Grant Wells (William Ross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 12:1281% → 92%
Q3 12:12
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
81.1%
Peter Moore punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.2%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
92.4%
Jalen Holston run for 15 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
92.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Drake De Iuliis for 2 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-3
92.8%
Chance Black run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+6
92.4%
Grant Wells run for 6 yds to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · 15 yds · 15:0011% → 4%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
89.5%
Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
89.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
89.8%
Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
91.0%
Danny Longman punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-8
96.0%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
3 plays · 9 yds · 2:0994% → 95%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
93.8%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
93.9%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Peter Moore punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.7%
pass incomplete to George TakacsSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-7
97.8%
Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Danny Longman punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 3 yds · 8:254% → 2%
Q4 8:25
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
96.4%
Danny Longman punt for 23 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-13
98.0%
Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 14 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the BC 14Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+7
98.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
98.1%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 5:0998% → 99%
Q4 5:09
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-2
97.8%
Connor Blumrick sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
97.7%
Q4 5:09
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+13
97.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Connor Blumrick for 13 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
97.7%
William Ross 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
98.8%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 45Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.8%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
98.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Connor Blumrick for 4 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+6
98.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaiden Woodbey) to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
98.8%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:3698% → 99%
Q4 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Q4 2:31
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+1
98.2%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Peter Moore punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.6%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28Uncategorized
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:112% → 2%
Q4 0:11
4TH & 12
OWN 42
+3
98.3%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Xavier Coleman for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
98.0%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 9 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+6
98.1%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Lewis Bond for 6 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
98.2%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Xavier Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
98.2%
pass incomplete to Xavier ColemanSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Emmett Morehead pass incomplete, broken up by Bryce DukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
98.8%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:18
Jaden Williams 17 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Connor Lytton Kick)
-12.3
TD · Q1 11:04
J. Holston run for 1 yd for a TD, (W. Ross KICK), (W. Ross KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q2 13:50
Keshawn King 65 Yd Run (William Ross Kick)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com