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TEM

Temple 0 at Duke 30

DUKE
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2022 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:33 · Mackenzie Morgan punt for 39 yds, downed at the Duke 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+31.2Pregame prior+2.2Garbage-time factor+11.0Blowout margin+16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:49: Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) — DUKE win probability +8.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. SACK · Q2 11:43: D'Wan Mathis sacked by DeWayne Carter and Ja'Mion Franklin for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 18 — TEM win probability +2.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:52: Riley Leonard pass complete to Cole Finney for 12 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down — DUKE win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:08: Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 39 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) — DUKE win probability +5.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:33: Charlie Ham 37 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:45TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:34DUKE 4th & 5 at TEM 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:09TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:57TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:11TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:17DUKE 4th & 19 at TEM 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:35TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:02TEM 4th & 3 at DUKE 49, down 24
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:33DUKE 4th & 4 at TEM 19, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:05DUKE 4th & 1 at TEM 47, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:31DUKE 4th & 7 at TEM 21, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:33TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 42, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:14DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 28, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:43TEM 4th & 3 at DUKE 37, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:57DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:49DUKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:08DUKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5873% → 73%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 7 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
72.8%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+20
72.8%
Jaylen Coleman run for 20 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+52
72.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 52 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.8%
Jaylen Coleman run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.3%
Jaylen Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0227% → 27%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.1%
Amad Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
73.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 7 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
73.2%
D'Wan Mathis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 28 D'Wan Mathis fumbled, recovered by Temp D'Wan MathisSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
73.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 44 yds , Jalon Calhoun returns for no gain to the Duke 28 Jalon Calhoun fumbled, recovered by Duke Jalon CalhounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5074% → 74%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
73.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 8 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-5
73.7%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Maurice McIntyre) to the Duke 31Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
73.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+4
73.6%
Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+53
73.5%
Porter Wilson punt for 53 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1526% → 26%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
73.6%
Edward Saydee run for 6 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-7
73.7%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 8Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 11
OWN 8
0
74.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jakari NorwoodSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
74.2%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalon Calhoun at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:4174% → 75%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
74.3%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
74.5%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
74.6%
Leonard, Riley pass incomplete to Calhoun, Jalon, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Hill, Dominick) 10 yards to the TEMPLE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
74.7%
Jordan Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+5
74.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 5 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+9
74.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 9 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
75.0%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
75.1%
Jaylen Coleman run for 1 yd to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-2
74.9%
Riley Leonard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
74.8%
Charlie Ham 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:1725% → 24%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
74.4%
Hubbard, Darvon rush for 7 yards to the TEMPLE37, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Moore, Isaac) 10 yards to the TEMPLE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
75.0%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
75.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 12 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
75.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
76.2%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:1576% → 86%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
75.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 6 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+5
76.1%
Jaylen Coleman run for 5 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
76.3%
Riley Leonard run for 14 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+32
76.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 32 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
77.2%
Jaylen Coleman run for 5 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
77.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 6 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4617% → 16%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
83.1%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by DeWayne Carter and Ja'Mion Franklin for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+11
83.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
83.7%
Amad Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
83.6%
Jakari Norwood run for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
84.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jordan Smith TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
84.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 46 yds, downed at the Duke 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:4487% → 92%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
86.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Cole Finney for 12 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
87.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 15 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
86.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Cole Finney for 20 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
91.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 39 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4910% → 9%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
90.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jakari Norwood for no gain to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
90.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
90.8%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jalon Calhoun at the Duke 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:4792% → 94%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
92.0%
Jaquez Moore run for 12 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
92.5%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the Duke 43Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+19
92.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 19 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
93.1%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+15
93.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dominick Hill) to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-11
93.6%
Riley Leonard sacked by Darian Varner for a loss of 11 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 21
OPP 35
+4
93.6%
Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 17
OPP 31
-2
94.1%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 19
OPP 33
+51
93.8%
Charlie Ham 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:367% → 7%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
92.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 10 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
92.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+11
93.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
92.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Malik CooperSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
92.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Darvon HubbardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:2795% → 95%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 5 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+30
95.0%
Riley Leonard run for 30 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.0%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
95.2%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Eli PancolSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+32
95.0%
Charlie Ham 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
93.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:467% → 5%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
93.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+3
93.3%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+7
93.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 7 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
93.2%
Edward Saydee run for 9 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
93.9%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
94.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 3 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Datrone Young) to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
94.4%
D'Wan Mathis run for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
95.0%
Adonicas Sanders run for 5 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-1
95.2%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 49Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
95.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalon Calhoun at the Duke 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:1895% → 100%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
95.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 9 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+4
95.7%
Jaylen Coleman run for 4 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
95.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 7 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
96.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 16 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
96.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 22 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
96.5%
Jaylen Coleman run for 7 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 18
-15
96.5%
DUKE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jacob Monk) to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 18
OPP 33
0
96.9%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Eli PancolSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+14
96.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 14 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
99.5%
Charlie Ham 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:421% → 0%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Darvon HubbardSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
99.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 16 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.5%
D'Wan Mathis run for 13 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
99.6%
Amad Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 44 Amad Anderson Jr. fumbled, forced by Cam Dillon, recovered by Duke Datrone YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 5:09100% → 100%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.6%
Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-5
99.6%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Nicky Dalmolin) to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
99.6%
Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
99.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 1 yd to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
99.7%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
99.7%
Jordan Waters run for 19 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
99.8%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Eli PancolSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
99.8%
Charlie Ham 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis run for 13 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 34 D'Wan Mathis fumbled, recovered by Duke Ja'Mion FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 13 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.8%
Jaquez Moore run for 12 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.8%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the Temp 8Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 5 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.8%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Graham Barton) to the Temp 8Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Eli PancolSimilar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+26
99.8%
Charlie Ham 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 3 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
99.9%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Ian Stewart for 12 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 5 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 3 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Malik Cooper run for 6 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Quincy Patterson pass incomplete to James Della PescaSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-7
99.9%
Quincy Patterson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 42 Quincy Patterson fumbled, recovered by Temp Jakari NorwoodSimilar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Quincy Patterson pass incomplete to Malik CooperSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 39 yds, downed at the Duke 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
RaShawn Allen run for 6 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
RaShawn Allen run for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
RaShawn Allen run for 1 yd to the Duke 28Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Porter Wilson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+12
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Trey Blair for 12 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
100.0%
Quincy Patterson run for 12 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 7 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:49
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 7:08
Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 39 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)
+5
FG · Q3 5:33
Charlie Ham 37 yd FG GOOD
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com